QUOTE(ragk @ Dec 4 2018, 12:47 AM)
Studying GENM pass few year financial report, Cash were increased drastically but same goes to debt, so most of the Cash are actually coming from loan. But most of the debts are long term.
And alot of money has been used in investing (to the theme park i guess) so Free Cash Flow are very negative in the pass few years.
Any add-on on positive side?
Great point on the cash flow.And alot of money has been used in investing (to the theme park i guess) so Free Cash Flow are very negative in the pass few years.
Any add-on on positive side?
Many fails to realise this issue.
All they see is 'how much cash' in their balance sheet and they would then proclaim the company as cash rich without considering the fact that the company debts had increased a lot too.
It's like a guy having lots of cash FD but on the same hand, he has lots and lots of borrowing too.
How cash rich is the fella?
The other MASSIVE sticky point... recent HIGH.
People cement their believes on these recent HIGHS.
Genm used to be around 5.8 or so.
Now at around 2.90, it's half.
So it's cast in stone that this represents the discount in their 'investing'...
Big name blue dropped 50% wo.
Genting wo.
How to chap lap?
Hence they discount the real issue om why the stock dropped like crazy in the first place...
With the increased taxes, perhaps the FV should be around 3.20 to about 3.60. G
Give or take here and there.
Now with this theme park issue... the sticky issue is whether the expected future visitor will be hit... if so, what are you looking?
still 3.20 to 3.60?
isn't that a bit too optimistic?
How about 3.00?
Fair?
and next, the other sticky point is the theme park again...
now what are they going to do with it?
Any potential substitute theme?
Any risks of write downs?
There were some mentions of some food operators operating in Genting solely because they were sold on the idea a FOX theme park will be there.
Now it tak jadi.
What will they do?
Any potential lawsuits?
People talk about winning streaks and losing streaks (or bad lucks)...
So far, in my opinion Genting group is not ONG at all....
anyway, I think people tends to over react in investing....
yes sometimes, they can win but when luck is not there...
they can be caught in a big big hole .....
remember the oil crash?
There might be a positive...
assuming IF the dividends hold...
the current price SUGGEST a fairly decent dy...
just sharing some 3 sens
Dec 4 2018, 10:29 AM

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