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cantdecide
post Mar 28 2008, 02:07 PM

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Guys,

I've been quite busy lately and I like to find out more of the following. Can you please help me to shed more light?

1. In http://mreit.blogspot.com/, the dividend yield is about 8% but when I check Maybank2u AmFirst paid only about 2cents devidend last year. So how did we get 8%? Please help me to understand.

2. With MayBank at abt 8.50, what is the dividend yield?

Thanks for helping out. I will check in again later and see if I can catch these 2 counters.
cantdecide
post Mar 28 2008, 03:03 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Mar 28 2008, 02:36 PM)
Amfirst is giving out 3.6 cents for half year, lastest semi distribution. Annualised expect around 7.2 cents which translate to >8%.

Bare in mind Maybank just acquire a overpriced Indonesian banks, which will affect it cashflow in the future, so past dividend history is not a good indicator to judge future dividend yield.

Oh, thanks for the info.

I am aware of the 'bad purchase' by Maybank and is still monitoring this counter. Still prefer PBB than Maybank but the price of PBB is out of reach. sad.gif sad.gif sad.gif


Added on March 28, 2008, 3:06 pm
QUOTE(kinwawa @ Mar 28 2008, 02:47 PM)
wah....usually u r very patient one wor Cherroy tai kor...how come today u still buy although price is not dipping??? got any news or......get ur Bonus or xtra money liao? hehehehe......
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Probably it's pay day for him today. smile.gif smile.gif smile.gif

This post has been edited by cantdecide: Mar 28 2008, 03:06 PM
cantdecide
post Mar 28 2008, 03:20 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Mar 28 2008, 03:17 PM)
i still remember one of the forumer (GenX) said that for PANAMY, any price below 11.00 is a good buy biggrin.gif

oh yeah! panasonic88 MUST BUY OWN PANAMY shares!!!
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Wow!!! Panasonic88 must be very hot - 'can i tough you?' in her tagline. tongue.gif tongue.gif tongue.gif

How much is Panamy now?

Gosh! Have to go again. Hope to check in again before end of day.

Good luck everyone.
cantdecide
post Apr 1 2008, 04:17 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Apr 1 2008, 03:41 PM)
wow you really keep track on the counter i said tongue.gif
today's Top Losers mostly are plantation counters, KLK, ASIATIC, KULIM, PPB, IOICORP
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It has not been a good year for plantation counters with so many factors contributing to its already volatile movement.
* The Indonesian government decision on certain Palm Oil related rulings.
* The Indonesian government on company ownership.
* The volatile crude oil price - when it goes up, big cheers for all plantation counters.
* The biodiesel thing that never takes off - with more news saying that it will never take off due to the already high CPO price.
* The negative campaign The West is waging on palm oil.
* The never ending demand from China and India for edible oil.
All in all these counters are not really for the weak-hearted - like me. It is good if you can catch it at the right time (near the low) otherwise you have to hold on for a long time. However long depends on the demand from China and India and the demand for other purpose.

I have been monitoring ASIATIC since 3 years back when not many ppl (at least me) know that Genting actually a majority holder. Due to all these reasons and the volatile movement, it has always deter me from going in even when the price is affordable. Furthermore, not many counters are giving good dividend - stand to be corrected by everyone here.

Maybe when IOICORP hit ~RM6.50 - ~RM6.60 then I might consider taking in some. Otherwise the high price is one deterrant for me. sad.gif sad.gif sad.gif

Just my 2cents and some info gathered from reading.
cantdecide
post Apr 1 2008, 04:39 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Apr 1 2008, 04:24 PM)
agrees that most plantation are over-priced,

there will be a correction in between,
however, it wouldn't go down one line straight, they will always be a rebounding somewhere in between

like cantdecide said, timing is very important.
*
Ya, it won't go down in 1 straight line. Otherwise we might see another 'circuit breaker'. Perhaps it is a good idea for Bursa to test out the fixes that they have put in. tongue.gif tongue.gif tongue.gif

With all the hustle and bustle of CPO - especially by Malaysia government and companies - I don't think the price will go down. Our fund managers love plantation counters very much. They seem to always gasak all plantation counters that is available in the market.

QUOTE(cherroy @ Apr 1 2008, 04:31 PM)
If CPO continue to drop like today (drop a whooping >RM300), now around Rm3,000, plantation stocks have room for the downside.


Added on April 1, 2008, 4:34 pm

It is almost impossible to have dividend of more than 10% except those special one-off dividend due to special event occur. Mostly high dividend yield stock are trading at around 6-9% which is considering very good already.
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Oh, no wonder almost all plantation counters went south. Rupa-rupa CPO fall like a stone. Hope it will fall further to 'correct' the price of all plantation counters. Like to add IOICORP into my portfolio for its good management. smile.gif smile.gif smile.gif
cantdecide
post Apr 1 2008, 04:54 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Apr 1 2008, 04:45 PM)
CPO fundamentally demand and supply doesn't suggest a bullish trend for CPO even when the time it reached more than Rm4,000 time, is mainly because of speculative buying for commodities rather than because of shortage in supply. Instead, stockpile for CPO was and still in historical high.

There is not much choice for fund managers to choice the stocks in KLSE. There are only a few big cap in the KLSE, although we have more than 1,000 counters, but those really big cap one are only a handful.
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Yes, the stockpile is in historical high and I am puzzle why ppl willing to push up the CPO price to RM4,000. Who stands to gain from it? This is something I can't understand why those speculators are willing to push it up so high? And, our government is not doing anything to correct this misleading information on the CPO stockpile. Darn disappointing.

Ya, reports say that we have about RM44billion (some 3 years back) of cash (savings in banks). Where would those bankers and fund managers put those cash apart from the big cap. Our KLSE is very unhealthy in the sense that we have about 1000 counters but only a selected few worth investing. To rub it in, some are making loss or even in PN state.


QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Apr 1 2008, 04:46 PM)
i love IOICORP, too, mainly is because the price is moving up and down a lot. noticed that it will move in between 6.30 - 7.00 (takes about two to three days time to achieve that)

ASIATIC on the other hand, is on the "quiet" type
but when it really wants to shoot, it will go up atleast 0.450 to 0.500 a day
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Oh, thanks for reminding me. IOICOPR went to RM6.30 during the 8/3 period. I overlooked that. Well, it won't touch that price any time soon unless the rumour you heard came to fruition.

That is the reason why I like ASIATIC. A humble counter with less fanfare. I can't sleep well buying a counter with all the hustle and bustle that make it move everyday - unless I know I got it cheap and it move around above my buying price. tongue.gif tongue.gif tongue.gif

Well, I still need to study these 2 counters as they do not fall into my dividend stock category. Sigh. Need to decide if I have to diversify.


Added on April 1, 2008, 4:55 pm
QUOTE(cherroy @ Apr 1 2008, 04:47 PM)
You will be 'scare' until 'peeing'.  tongue.gif  biggrin.gif

Now talk when drop 10% is good for shopping but when it actually occur, most people will be 'chicken out' already.  biggrin.gif
*
Ya, not many are brave enough to catch a falling dagger (I like this phrase - thanks for panasonic88 to coining it). smile.gif smile.gif smile.gif

This post has been edited by cantdecide: Apr 1 2008, 04:55 PM
cantdecide
post Apr 2 2008, 10:04 AM

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QUOTE(alivecmh @ Apr 2 2008, 09:31 AM)
Technology share is shooting, look at winsun.
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Any reason why Tech counters are moving up?

Sigh! I am still waiting for:
AmFirst to touch RM0.85 - very hard to get even queue for it for the past 2 days
MahSing to touch RM1.30 - faintest hope
IOICORP to touch RM6.30 - this is least likely to happen

cantdecide
post Apr 2 2008, 10:05 AM

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Oh, BTW, I saw a chart in TheEdge few days back showing Gamuda with 10% dividend yield nowadays after the sell-down. Anyone keen on Gamuda?
cantdecide
post Apr 2 2008, 10:47 AM

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QUOTE(verbatim @ Apr 2 2008, 10:35 AM)
Our market is now showing the Pre-GE trend.. Dow up, Bursa up but never sustain, but when Dow down, Bursa down badly. I think this is due to the political scenario which is very uncertain.. Who would dare to invest in Malaysia when a ruling PM lose 5 states, 2 of his MB choice over-ruled by the rulers, 3 deputy ministers refused to take up their posts and worst of all losing 2/3 majority in parliament.. I believe the worst of the worst is yet to come...  30 seats majority in parliament can just vanish if the unhappiness of sabah and sarawakian leaders turned into defection into Pakatan Rakyat... already two prominent leaders from there turned down their deputy minister post... Anifah and Ghapur.. I may be reducing exposure from now on... maybe to a level of 10% stock to 90% cash.

Just my views..
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There is nothing wrong with a simple majority in Parliment (less than 2/3 majority). The only time that you need a 2/3 majority is when the government like to simply change the constituitional acts for their own benefits. Even with a simple majority, they can still change the constituitional acts if it is meant for the benefits of every Malaysian. Let's not have the government have it their way to influence us with this 2/3 majority 'sales pitch' thingy. Finally, we can discuss this in other thread - the Real world issue thread. tongue.gif tongue.gif tongue.gif

Back to KLSE. Yes, it is burden by the many uncertainties of the after-GE issues and on top of that our KLSE has never been 'attractive' to many foreign investors after 1997. There is only so much the locals can move the KLSE counters as we have limited cash - compared to USD, Euro, etc. The government and BNM have to work out a better, attractive, conducive and most of all transparent environment that encourage foreign fund to pour in their moolah here. Without this, not many of them are willing to risk their moolah in other smaller counters. There is potentially the reason why only the selected few counters are seem to be attractive and active - because foreign fund like them for fundamental reason. That means the price is either sky-high or too illiquid for us to get in.

So if we cant make a killing in KLSE, some ppl may resort to other means to earn the extra millions - like selling submarines, buying land to build own castle, etc. That is why we see all this happening. tongue.gif tongue.gif tongue.gif

Edit: typo.

This post has been edited by cantdecide: Apr 2 2008, 10:48 AM
cantdecide
post Apr 2 2008, 11:16 AM

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QUOTE(alivecmh @ Apr 2 2008, 11:11 AM)
i think should be 3k+ after deduct the processing fee.
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Congrat!!!! rclxms.gif rclxms.gif rclxms.gif

How nice if we can make 2 or 3 such killings every month. rclxm9.gif rclxm9.gif rclxm9.gif tongue.gif tongue.gif tongue.gif
cantdecide
post Apr 2 2008, 11:20 AM

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QUOTE(PBB boleh @ Apr 2 2008, 11:18 AM)
only if u got 54k to spare... sweat.gif
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Hmm...this is another thing......

Not necessarily cold-hard-cash 54K right? The bank give some margin financing and with existing shares, I am sure it can be much lower.

Just another example of rich getting richer - very easily.
cantdecide
post Apr 2 2008, 11:57 AM

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QUOTE(kinwawa @ Apr 2 2008, 11:25 AM)
if u dun have the money...dun buy so much la...dun play contra n gamble....if u kena burn few times....ur money will go down the drain in no time....

....dun always dream of striking rich so easily.....step by step is the way as ur wealth will nt be vulnerable to shrink so easily too.....

just my 2 cents ....ehehehehhe
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Huh? Err. I was asking do we really need cold-hard-cash 54K for that transaction and was making a statement on money-grows-more-money. Was that somehow lead to seen as dream big and making quick cash with contra?
cantdecide
post Apr 2 2008, 12:06 PM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Apr 2 2008, 12:01 PM)
if you intend not to keep the shares (Contra 3+1day), no need 54k, but pay up if there are losses. If you intend to keep , then must have 54k.
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OK, I need some clarification cos what I understand is very different.

I have a Maybank trading account and the remiser told me for me to buy any share I need to have about half of the cash in the account. For example, 10lots of Counter A cost RM5,000 then I need to put in about RM2,500 before I can buy. Of course during the T3+1 I don't have to cough up the remaining RM2,500. So the question is do I need to put in RM54K (or RM27K) for alivecmh's earlier transaction? Put aside all potential loses, gains, processing fees, just simple calculation.
cantdecide
post Apr 2 2008, 12:13 PM

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QUOTE(babana @ Apr 2 2008, 12:10 PM)
i guess what u are referring to is margin financing (which can be really dangerous especially when the mkt is goin down). u r right in terms of not needing to put in the full amt for the transaction. however, there is a catch to it. u need to have existing shares to pledge as collateral before u can be able to obtain margin financing. n these shares will be revalued at the end of the trading day everyday based on the closing mkt price. so say if u pledged 100 lots transmile last yr at RM12, u would need to top up alot alot more as it is now RM2+...lol
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OK, thanks for the info.

BTW, does anyone know why QCAPITA (Quill Capital) drop RM0.28 today? Is it dividend distribution or something else? Any info would be helpful as REIT is in my list. tongue.gif tongue.gif tongue.gif rclxms.gif rclxms.gif rclxms.gif
cantdecide
post Apr 2 2008, 12:19 PM

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QUOTE(babana @ Apr 2 2008, 12:10 PM)
i guess what u are referring to is margin financing (which can be really dangerous especially when the mkt is goin down). u r right in terms of not needing to put in the full amt for the transaction. however, there is a catch to it. u need to have existing shares to pledge as collateral before u can be able to obtain margin financing. n these shares will be revalued at the end of the trading day everyday based on the closing mkt price. so say if u pledged 100 lots transmile last yr at RM12, u would need to top up alot alot more as it is now RM2+...lol
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QUOTE(jongkolkhoo @ Apr 2 2008, 12:12 PM)
if you put in 2,500 , you will buy under dup. which means under contra. and after t3+1, you have to top up another 2,500 if not, maybank will force sell your purchase.
in addition to what your remiser tells you , let me add a bit. you get to buy more that 2x what you put in (cash) if you have shares already bought under maybank.

i.e. i have 7k cash in my maybank trading account but i can buy more than 60k worth of stock (contra)
correct me if i am wrong..  sweat.gif
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QUOTE(dsugums @ Apr 2 2008, 12:12 PM)
Check your account status how much margin they are giving. Normally it depends on how much value you have in your premier account (cash and share value). You can buy shares with cash value or trading value (margin). After 3+1 days, if you not settled, bank will give you a friendly call to top up your account or ask you to sell.
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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Apr 2 2008, 12:16 PM)
by right, you just pay up on T+3

as for alivecmh case, since it is such a huge amount, if i were a remisier, i will also take extra precaution, what if the share goes down and my client can't afford to pay up, the remisier will be the one who kena.

you may talk to your remisier, for my case, my remisier knows me well (in terms of financial and punctuality during pay-up.). there is some trust in between us, so as long as you are not those "bad kaki" who always hutang this and that, your remisier will allow you to do so, pay up only on T+3.
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Thanks everyone for the info. Now I am a fair bit wiser. Basically the 50% 'down payment' is Maybank's safety net in case I cabut.

So if I deal with other remiser in other bank or brokerage, I just have to pay up on T+3. Am I right?

cantdecide
post Apr 2 2008, 12:51 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Apr 2 2008, 12:42 PM)
i checked, the latest dividend payout was in 18-March, 10 sens interim.
the next one coming up is 15 sens interim, but that will be on December liao.

due to low liquidity, the price tends to swing significantly.
look at today, someone throw 20 lot out, the price terus go down 0.08
i believe the price will jump back to 2.80 eventually

see, one liner, pretty stable laugh.gif
user posted image
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Ya, this is really a better-than-FD-counter but don't expect much movement - capital gains. Its stable price give something similar to FD, no worry to sleep at night. tongue.gif tongue.gif tongue.gif

Let me count my bullet see if I can shoot this counter. smile.gif smile.gif smile.gif
cantdecide
post Apr 2 2008, 12:58 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Apr 2 2008, 12:53 PM)
yaya, APOLLO is another "old man" stock. tongue.gif

i think i will get this one instead.
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Mind to share your strategy (the one TP that you always talk about)?

For me it's just simple strategy, buy and keep as long as it does not drop more than 10% - sometimes can be lenient to allow 20%. Basically transfering my FD to this counter. tongue.gif tongue.gif tongue.gif
cantdecide
post Apr 2 2008, 01:10 PM

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QUOTE(aretla @ Apr 2 2008, 01:05 PM)
is the one that selling layer cake??  tongue.gif  tongue.gif  tongue.gif

btw.. pana.. u made right decision with mahsing..
i a bit fed up wit its movement tis 2 days.. doh.gif
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What was pana's decision on MahSing? Please share any view and info on MahSing as I am monitoring it too. Thank you.
cantdecide
post Apr 3 2008, 12:24 PM

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QUOTE(verbatim @ Apr 3 2008, 12:13 PM)
what else? u guys go read in malaysiatoday... 15 april will be a crucial day for all malaysian....
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Can you please summarise the news or point to the actual URL? Can't seem to see the news at malaysiatoday.

Thank you.
cantdecide
post Apr 3 2008, 01:15 PM

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QUOTE(achcmy @ Apr 3 2008, 12:27 PM)
Come on la bro... Don't be lazy... It requires constant updates around malaysian political news... In fact 15 April is nothing new... Just that it's approaching only...  tongue.gif
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It's not about laziness. I went to the website and say nothing obvious about 15th April. Yes, I have to admit I do not have time to constantly update myself with all the news after GE. It has been a crazy time for me lately. sad.gif sad.gif sad.gif cry.gif cry.gif cry.gif

Would really appreciate if someone can point me to the URL as I am again crazy with so many reportings to do. sweat.gif sweat.gif sweat.gif

Thanks.

QUOTE(dsugums @ Apr 3 2008, 12:51 PM)
The sooner he resigns, the sooner the market will stabilize. At least the market will be assured that UMNO politics is almost settled. Now the big mouth Mahathir stirs shit every other day and FF not dare to come in.

Anwar is not the real worry to the stock market until he stands in the election and wins!
*
Opps, I think I found out what is happening on 15th April.


QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Apr 3 2008, 12:51 PM)
Yes, for speculative short term and high volume trading, whether or not fundamentals are crap or good, timing is everything.


Added on April 3, 2008, 12:53 pm

That's when Anwar can stand for election again, meaning in best/worst case scenarios he has the chance to become Prime Minister.
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I beg to differ that market will stablize when AAB steps down. It may turn out to be even worse. There is no telling or forecasting from anyone that it will get better.

Just ask the darn government to do their job to govern and grow this country well. Stop doing all the stupid politicking to get ppl votes or whatsoever when you are wrong. There is no point to make everyone suffer and ended up they all earning big bucks, drive big cars and better still send their children to overseas. Hypocrits!

Gosh! Chill!! Chill man!!! tongue.gif tongue.gif tongue.gif

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