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TScherroy
post Mar 11 2008, 02:39 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Mar 11 2008, 02:37 PM)
market is trying its very best, can see that.
GENTING & RESORTS are one of the company who always perform share buyback
and their dividends are so little  sweat.gif
*
That's the reason I don't like Genting as long term target although it is one of the fundamental strong one.
TScherroy
post Mar 11 2008, 03:15 PM

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QUOTE(dsugums @ Mar 11 2008, 03:09 PM)
Penang bridge cant do much since work started oredi


Added on March 11, 2008, 3:12 pm

Why Poh Kong not doing very well? I thought they are backed by gold assets?
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For second bridge, just premilinary work only. But the first bridge expansion work is already half way already.

Poh Kong is not a gold manufacturer (digging gold mine) one lah.
TScherroy
post Mar 11 2008, 03:52 PM

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I noticed today market is quite 'funny' to monitor also.
Market goes up then lose steam, then goes up again (almost the same with previous high level) then lose steam again. <-- typical technical rebound but can't have a break through.
TScherroy
post Mar 11 2008, 04:44 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Mar 11 2008, 04:09 PM)
I think Telekom should be better.

just 2sen opinion.
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Telekom spin off its cellular business to TM International.
So what left in Telekom is fixed line business and broadband only.
TScherroy
post Mar 11 2008, 05:03 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Mar 11 2008, 04:49 PM)
Asia markets up > London up > US ?

It looks like Asia is having a bigger say today !


Added on March 11, 2008, 4:57 pm
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Not actually, Asian bourses are among the hardest hit around the world. See how much STI and Nikkei has drop, from 3,700 to current 2,800 level, Nikkei from near 18,000 to less than 13,000
Meanwhile, US and Europe just drop more than 10-15% from its peak, while Asian bourses are more severe, left not much room to drop further unless Asian economy also fall into recession.
TScherroy
post Mar 11 2008, 11:08 PM

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QUOTE(dreams_achiever @ Mar 11 2008, 09:49 PM)
i think he just emphasize warren buffet tend to invest for long term whenever he buy stocks.
If WB bought SAPCRES, i will invest my whole bullets into this stock..kaka... tongue.gif
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WB likes those well managed company and lesser political 'flavour' one. biggrin.gif

Sapcres? Too tiny for him. If you keep track on his investment, often one shoot already 1 billions (USD), so the size of Sapcres is too small, buy up the whole company already. Haha. rclxms.gif tongue.gif


QUOTE(SImPle PLan @ Mar 11 2008, 10:37 PM)
Tis time not cut rate, instead it is pumping of 200Billion to the banks. shocking.gif  shocking.gif .
Frankly tat amount of fund is huge. Even i dun think our bank negara has tat amount of fund.
But is tat means tat the fed wont cut rate coz they choose to pump fund into the market instead.
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It just shows the severity of US credit market currently that Fed is desperate to cure it. Current main problem is, after subprime 'bomb' exploded, banks and financial instituition reluctant to lend money even with each others. It is actually not lack of liquidity but lack of confidence in credit market as nobody knows who is carrying those 'bomb' and amount of it. So Fed keep on pumping liquidity (money) into the market, hope credit market will be restoring to normal conditiion and banks willing to lend again. If Banks reluctantly to lend, it is just like putting handbreak on the economy.
TScherroy
post Mar 12 2008, 09:10 AM

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QUOTE(chinkw1 @ Mar 12 2008, 08:57 AM)
What contribute to DJ suddenly up yesterday? Is it someting to do with Fed?
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Fed will pump 200 billion into the financial market by allowing banks and primary mortagager borrow with thier mortgages as collateral for 28 days.


Added on March 12, 2008, 9:13 am
QUOTE(kinwawa @ Mar 12 2008, 09:07 AM)
hahhahaa.....this is wat called 'gamble' lo....those who bought on Monday sure happy n laughing to the bank.......who has the last laugh now????

hope this wont be a short term uptrend la since i'm looking more at long term gain....hai....
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You never know, FKLI is trading at 20 points discount compared to cash market currently, which might indicate something else.

A single move by Fed won't solve all the problem, it is a temporarily fix as those 200 billion loan are meant for 28 days period.
Time is the ultimate solution of subprime mess and eventually market will get through it.

KLCI is approaching its 2/3 of technical rebound of the 123 points drop on Monday, might be crucial for it to hold on, otherwise based on chart, it is still a technical rebound rather than market turn the corner.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Mar 12 2008, 09:15 AM
TScherroy
post Mar 12 2008, 01:35 PM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Mar 12 2008, 11:32 AM)
I do not think Sapcres is much political linked. Probably few years back when EPF was a big shareholder. EPF sold most of it last year.
This year, the Canadian counterpart has been buying in.
*
Sapcres was political linked, I had posted its history before.
Before it was political linked i.e. before bought by Renong group, it is indeed a good stock.


Added on March 12, 2008, 1:46 pm
QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Mar 12 2008, 11:04 AM)
today U.S market up a whooping 400++ points
i am glad that i do not have that kind of urge to cheong into market and make my purchase (be in cw or normal shares)

little gal has grown up biggrin.gif
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Need to look at bigger picture sometimes.
Yup, DJ up 400+ points but just prior before yesterday, DJ was down more than 200+ and 100+ and has a consecutive losses of several days, it just recoup the losses due to positive news from the Fed. Not very big deal actually. If it can pull a string of several hundred points rise consecutive for few days and rise back to 13k+ level, then it is big deal and can say market turn the corner.

Remember US market is not like ours, there are plenty of short position espeicially currently bearish trend so whenever some news that are bullish for the market, short sellers are squeezed to cover their position.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Mar 12 2008, 01:48 PM
TScherroy
post Mar 12 2008, 02:14 PM

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QUOTE(Relish @ Mar 12 2008, 01:55 PM)
i think it means another 50k unit of shares gonna be sold at starting price of rm0.10 each

just my guess icon_rolleyes.gif
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QUOTE(ankw @ Mar 12 2008, 02:06 PM)
RESORTS 50,000 new ordinary shares of RM0.10 each issued. employees shares will listing on the market and be able to sell. there cost price is RM0.10 each only. Employee share option scheme.

additional 50,000 shares will be in the market to sell
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False.

It is 50k unit of par value of Rm0.10 is being issued for its employee under the ESOS. But the ESOS subscription price is not Rm0.10. It was pre-determined by previous market average value with some discount (usually), the employee of the company are not buying at Rm0.10.

If one really interested to know the issuing price then need to check back when the ESOS is approved and when the price is detemined.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Mar 12 2008, 02:15 PM
TScherroy
post Mar 12 2008, 03:01 PM

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QUOTE(jongkolkhoo @ Mar 12 2008, 02:37 PM)
ohmy.gif  shakehead.gif

any idea the bridge project awarded to which counter ?
(i better avoid this counter )
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UEMBuilders is the party that is doing the bridge expansion project, second brigde don't know.
TScherroy
post Mar 12 2008, 03:02 PM

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QUOTE(ankw @ Mar 12 2008, 02:38 PM)
did u guys notice that some of the warants is more expensive that the mother shares in term of the market price. eg IJM RM5.65 IJM-WB RM1.60 + conversion to mother share price of  RM4.80 = RM6.40 (over price).

IJM-WB price should be RM0.80 in order to be tandem with the mother share price.
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Warrant fair price is not calculated like that especially those has long time before expire one.

It is norm for warrant price has some premium over the mothershare, as you save the cost of holding of mothershare.
Just like IJM case, you save the initial capital of Rm4.80 while getting the same effect of rise of the mothershare. Those Rm4.80 can be saved in FD to earn interest out of it if the warrant has 3-4 years to go.
Also At Rm1.60, the max you can lose is Rm1.60. But if you bought mothershare at Rm5.65, and if mothershare drop to Rm2.65, you lose Rm3.00, compared to Rm1.60 with warrant.

There is a formula to calculate the fair price of warrant as well.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Mar 12 2008, 03:07 PM
TScherroy
post Mar 12 2008, 03:08 PM

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Market 'colour' starts changing liao.
TScherroy
post Mar 12 2008, 11:07 PM

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Just like Pana said, once it is over, then it is over. I also had said 4239590 times already, once the particular 'goreng' season over, then no more fish is waiting you to catch, just lot of 'dead body' around.
Don't be too stubborn (no offence though) in stock market, follow the market trend. Fighting against the market is not a good strategy especially for short term trading purposes.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Mar 12 2008, 11:09 PM
TScherroy
post Mar 13 2008, 10:47 AM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Mar 13 2008, 10:37 AM)
i feel happy for you when i see UEMWRLD price cheong up to 3.2x
as i remember you said you got it at 3.0x
mana tau, i read about your post, you said you were in a meeting and you missed the chance to sell high, aiseh....
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TNB tariff 90% won't be reviewed as BN gov suffer major blow in election, that's why you see after election result come out, it is one of the stock suffer the most.
It is making worse by the oil price touching USD 110 which will mean high cost for diesel, coal and fuel price. Its finance result can easily turn into negative if fuel price continue to rise and without tariff increment. <-- that's the major concern and lead to share price drop so significantly.
TScherroy
post Mar 13 2008, 10:54 AM

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QUOTE(sinclairZX81 @ Mar 13 2008, 10:49 AM)
It's still going down. Who would have thought can reach this price??  rclxub.gif
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It was around Rm4.+ back 1998. I can remember because back then, I and my family members all aim to enter at Rm5.00 but it still plunged down afterwards, some 'chicken out' after below Rm5.00. biggrin.gif
TScherroy
post Mar 13 2008, 10:56 AM

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QUOTE(jongkolkhoo @ Mar 13 2008, 10:54 AM)
I buy and keep also lose money ..    vmad.gif  vmad.gif  vmad.gif  and have to wait so long then lose money. now i think better play contra..
lose also lose in 3 days  mad.gif  mad.gif  rather than wait to lose. doh.gif  doh.gif  doh.gif  doh.gif
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In stock market, even you have holding power, it doesn't mean you will make money out of it over long term, especially choosing the wrong stock to hold. <-- that's why people need to study and making analysis out of it to prevent choosing the wrong stock for long term.

Also long term holding is not mean hold for 3 months or 6 months, for a really good fundamental stock, long term holding might mean holding for 3-5 years at least.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Mar 13 2008, 10:57 AM
TScherroy
post Mar 13 2008, 11:02 AM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Mar 13 2008, 10:57 AM)
i see...

cherroy, i still remember one of your post stated that, you are eyeing on GENTING & TNB biggrin.gif

so, are you changing your mind on getting TNB now?

imo, TNB is still a good share, but at current situation (oil price keep on surging, uncertainty on tarrif increment by gorvnment), it is not advisable to play for short term, more like a long term investment  rolleyes.gif
*
Still eyeing, but will wait the market more stablise a bit before commit, I still feel market still too volatile and has not settle down, especially if you have read my previous post, I am not convince even though DJ was up 400+ in previous day.
But Rm 6.70, although might have some room to downside, but can consider take 1 or 2 then use average down method, if you have enough bullets then go for mid-long term.

I got plenty of patient as the most important is to have enough 'bullets'. No point shooting the bullet fast in the down trend market, one piece at a time. icon_rolleyes.gif

In currently market situation, short term (80%) will mean losing money, as market is in down trend mood. Only can gain through some technical rebound in between, but you need to enter the low point which is hard to time one. Timing the market is the most difficult and almost impossible to do it, it depends on luck if you can get the lowest. No point searching for it.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Mar 13 2008, 11:05 AM
TScherroy
post Mar 13 2008, 11:25 AM

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QUOTE(jongkolkhoo @ Mar 13 2008, 11:20 AM)
thanks for the advice.. i guess I am stressed because of red. should change and wear green ..
i'll take your advice and shut down comp and see market later today. now better go and kacau my staff . make them work and let them know i mean business. hahaha  icon_rolleyes.gif  laugh.gif  laugh.gif
*
Believe or not, one makes better decision if monitor less on the market.
TScherroy
post Mar 13 2008, 11:35 AM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Mar 13 2008, 11:06 AM)
thanks for sharing your thoughts wink.gif
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I am a little bit worry on US front as well. Believe or not, USD is in crisis now, just newspapers and media not that widely report. You see when in Asian financial crisis, currency of respective countries drop more than 50%. Now USD situation is almost the same, drop around 40-50% against Euro, 30% against Yen, and at least 20%+ against others.

TScherroy
post Mar 13 2008, 02:01 PM

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QUOTE(drsaleh @ Mar 13 2008, 11:58 AM)
UEMworld (true, political link, but does the co and the management is good?)
*
Wah, this is the first time I heard people say this company management is good. whistling.gif
No offence.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Mar 13 2008, 02:02 PM

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