QUOTE(lwb @ Jul 7 2009, 05:34 PM)
i have trust in crisis pricing because i've personally experience and profit from it.. (am aware that it's selfish to wish for one.. because it's a real loss to a real person)..
unfortunately.. being realistic, it tells me that one would need an income in excess of rm10k/mth to close a 90-10 deal (and that's at given low rate of 3.55% annum).. that would put alot of mere ordinary locals "out of reach"..
the rise of prices in the island has been tremendous for the past 2 years.. it's on par with equity returns(double digits). how do you quantify a bubble then? let's look at the support..
i'm not familiar with the markets there.. i only read that there's about a third(30%) of foreign purchases involved.. is it a catalyst effect?
i know this can be a little overfetched.. a third of the island has been developed, but there're tracks of hilly land at the north and northeast region of the island still untouched.. i'm not familiar with the right ratio of what determines a sustainable development is.. (or perhaps it's very costly to dynamite the coastal hill from tg.bungah to batu feringgi for development as well?.. or this is just wishful thinking?)
It might be out of reach of ordinary working class, but Penang state is not short of people with earning more than 10K per month, a lot of Kopitiam owner and hawker (fairly famous one) and lot of small businesmen are earning much more than that.
So you have a lot of potential demand while supply is rather limited.
Yup, a lot of high end properties are well sort after by foreigners as investment. As comparison to some oversea counter part, properties price is cheap here and exchange rate is favourable to foreigners as well.
Those hilly area need more cost to develop eventually the price of the properties won't come cheap. So you lack of supply of cheaper alternative properties around in Penang except some location which is well known for low cost building, flat or apartment. For strategic and landed houses, there is little cheap properties around in Penang.
It is all about supply and demand factor.
If really want cheaper alternative, across the sea, Butterworth, Bkawan, B.Tengah, then you will find lot of cheaper alternative same properties, mostly landed one. A lot of working class is actually live across the sea now as properties in island is too expensive to have one.
You can see the contrast difference of properties pricing between the island and mainland.
If inflation is always a threat, properties price won't be collapsing. As do remember, Malaysian are well known for their high saving rate, if inflation is a threat, people would rather hold on the properties as it is the one asset class that people can offset the inflation instead saving in the bank.