It takes years to replace a supply chain. Prc will likely to post enormous trade surplus in the next few years.
China hit record 1 trillion trade surplus but, China is still collapsing
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 Dec 10 2025, 06:40 PM
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Dec 11 2025, 11:14 AM
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QUOTE(MGM @ Dec 11 2025, 07:03 AM) And if China suceeds in advancing their AI & Semicon technology n industries they will rule the world's manufacturing. Most other countries will only survive as being their raw material suppliers cos they r just uncompetitive. Tariff, etc could shift price competitiveness. QUOTE(30624770 @ Dec 11 2025, 11:06 AM) Can you even replace the supply chain? Where can take over China's role? Given time and resources, almost everything is replaceable. it not necessary to replace prc by one country but could be by a few countries.prc current situation is like japan in the 1990's. prc may have trade surplus but domestic consumption may be depressed for a few decades. This post has been edited by icemanfx: Dec 11 2025, 11:16 AM |
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Dec 11 2025, 12:36 PM
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QUOTE(MGM @ Dec 11 2025, 11:58 AM) China is a top trading country with many other countries, doubt they dare to impose tariffs, except US. Industry and engineering is not static or fixed, it evolve overtime.THis time is different from 1990s, cos of AI, robotics, automation, and China is very strong in these.. China is also a powerhouse in infrastructure building, ship building & transport that few can compete. China is also strong in renewable energy sector esp Solar and Nuclear. |
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