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 Malaysia property is Oversupply

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TSJazted
post Sep 5 2024, 12:37 PM, updated 2y ago

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Renting expected to gain popularity

KUALA LUMPUR: Renting a place to stay or a house could become more mainstream among the population, moving forward, in line with developments that are seen in other parts of the world.

This could happen following several macro developments in Malaysia on falling birth rates, a present level of high home ownership, the trend towards smaller families among married individuals, increased number of adults choosing to stay single or marry later and affordability.

These recent developments were heard at the real estate forum titled “Form to Future” organised by UEM Sunrise in Kuala Lumpur yesterday.

But Knight Frank Malaysia’s executive director for research and consultancy Amy Wong said while renting can become more popular among people in the main cities such as Kuala Lumpur, she believes owning a home will still be the main choice for people in the smaller second-tier cities such as Ipoh, Kuantan or Melaka.

Home ownership is at an all-time high at 76% but the other 24% may be waiting to inherit. But then also what is critical if it is about inheritance is to develop homes that can sustain through the generations.

“So this means developing good quality homes and not disposable homes,” Wong told StarBiz on the sidelines of the forum yesterday.

“I think the trend towards renting will be in the main cities such as Kuala Lumpur. But in the other second-tier cities, it will still be very much about home ownership.

Earlier in the forum, Urbanmetry’s founder and chief executive officer Koh Cha-Ly said this is a pertinent question to grasp following the ageing population trend society is moving towards.

“One thing about the ageing population in Malaysia is that of the 76% or so home ownership levels, what will happen to these (owned) houses when these people are not around anymore?

We are looking at the largest generation in Malaysia that will inherit a home in the next 10 to 20 years and it is going to be the largest number of people who will be born with a house,” Koh said.

“They will either inherit it from their parents or inherit land. And honing in further, what will happen to these homes if everybody buys a new house or vice versa?

“This is one question that the industry should start thinking of. It is not unprecedented. If you look at other ageing countries such as Japan, Europe or South Korea, they all have this problem and solutions have already been found,” Koh added.

She also highlighted that the people who would inherit a home will likely refurbish or renovate it themselves and with the advent of artificial intelligence, the barriers of entry to home development in terms of knowledge of knowing what to do or where to get the approvals or source the relevant materials will be lowered.

“To a certain extent, it is no longer a competition about if I can build a house at a cheaper price per sq ft.

“This is not enough for the tech-savvy younger buyer because the generation which will inherit land or a house has a chance of outcompeting in terms of price per sq ft construction,” Koh said.

Commenting on this, executive director of Socio-Economic Research Centre and veteran economist Lee Heng Guie said with the high home ownership rates, it is likely the younger generation may already not feel a need to own a home anymore.

“They may think otherwise since they can’t afford it. So they might opt to rent a house or room instead.

Malaysia’s population growth is 1.1% and with declining fertility rates, there are concerns that this will have an impact on productivity and labour force participation which will impact housing demand along with the ageing population. Aged-care facilities and community living will be in demand here moving forward,” Lee said.

Meanwhile, Bursa Malaysia’s director of the origination and listing division Leong See Meng suggested that given these developments, property developers should not just rely on incomes from property development as it can be quite lumpy.

To iron out the lumpiness, perhaps for the overhang units, they can be converted to rental housing or rental housing with an exit such as rent-to-own programmes.

“There is no harm in doing this, and if you come to Bursa Malaysia you can always do a secondary issuance, rights issue or private placement to fund this to take up the overhang units,” Leong said at the forum.

“Over time, this can also be a robust business to be translated to a rental housing real estate investment trust or REIT, for example.

“And if it happens, it will be the first in the country – not only for the sponsoring developer but also for Bursa Malaysia. This can potentially be replicated and is sustainable as well, moving forward,” Leong added.

Commenting further on this, Pelaburan Hartanah Bhd’s chief investment officer Norani Mustapha said at the forum that this was a global megatrend that had not reached Malaysian shores.

In Tokyo, New York City and London, people can’t afford to buy houses or flats and they’re mostly renting.

“And institutional investors are actually going in where they actually own the block and get a property manager to let out the space to whoever is interested,” Noraini said.

https://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...gain-popularity

This post has been edited by Jazted: Sep 5 2024, 03:39 PM
Lembu Goreng
post Sep 5 2024, 12:38 PM

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Why buy when you can rent

soul78
post Sep 5 2024, 12:45 PM

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Tare factor in Agenda De cool2.gif popz?
Boomwick
post Sep 5 2024, 12:46 PM

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Installment + maintennace + assessment = 3k
Rental = 1.5k

Saving 1.5k..
Avenger_2012
post Sep 5 2024, 01:55 PM

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As a landlord , i say thank you. Yes, rent is better.
friedricetheman
post Sep 5 2024, 02:06 PM

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QUOTE(Avenger_2012 @ Sep 5 2024, 01:55 PM)
As a landlord , i say thank you. Yes, rent is better.
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Sure boh? All landlords crying mother father these past few years.

Rental current rates cannot cover loans and expenses or repairs.
danielmckey
post Sep 5 2024, 02:08 PM

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They supply to foreigner not you.
jojolicia
post Sep 5 2024, 02:22 PM

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QUOTE(friedricetheman @ Sep 5 2024, 02:06 PM)
Sure boh? All landlords crying mother father these past few years.

Rental current rates cannot cover loans and expenses or repairs.
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What not, if coming from a 90%+++ with cashback mortgage loan outlay and zero entry cost 'wannabe landlord'

Its a no brainer math to begin with, then pikachu 😳

This post has been edited by jojolicia: Sep 5 2024, 03:18 PM
TSJazted
post Sep 5 2024, 02:23 PM

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QUOTE(danielmckey @ Sep 5 2024, 02:08 PM)
They supply to foreigner not you.
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if supply to foreign worker mostly will cause drop in rental for the unit

only expat like in mount kiara can increase the rental rate.

This post has been edited by Jazted: Sep 5 2024, 02:26 PM
daijoubu
post Sep 5 2024, 02:30 PM

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QUOTE(soul78 @ Sep 5 2024, 12:45 PM)
Tare factor in Agenda De cool2.gif popz?
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They didn't factor in how fast IQ dropped in the existing population, case in point here
whyamiblack
post Sep 5 2024, 02:32 PM

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Actually, Malaysia's population growth is 2% for 2024. 1.1% was 2022 number and fertility rate is 1.910 which is a decline from 2023 but an increase from 2021 still (1.80) which means fertility rate went upwards despite the short recession.

I'd go further to double check the article but honestly, not very interested anymore with so many misleading points. Research what you read.
katijar
post Sep 5 2024, 02:39 PM

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Tl;dr
submergedx
post Sep 5 2024, 02:43 PM

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Oversupply? I see the demand in Mont Kiara & DPC are still selling like hotcakes.
lonely66
post Sep 5 2024, 02:47 PM

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QUOTE(submergedx @ Sep 5 2024, 02:43 PM)
Oversupply? I see the demand in Mont Kiara & DPC are still selling like hotcakes.
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means still selling la n not fully 100% sold until today whistling.gif
Avenger_2012
post Sep 5 2024, 02:49 PM

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QUOTE(friedricetheman @ Sep 5 2024, 02:06 PM)
Sure boh? All landlords crying mother father these past few years.

Rental current rates cannot cover loans and expenses or repairs.
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Sure or not ‘all landlords’? I know plenty are still making money, myself included - it’s a matter of location.
brkli
post Sep 5 2024, 02:58 PM

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QUOTE(whyamiblack @ Sep 5 2024, 02:32 PM)
Actually, Malaysia's population growth is 2% for 2024. 1.1% was 2022 number and fertility rate is 1.910 which is a decline from 2023 but an increase from 2021 still (1.80) which means fertility rate went upwards despite the short recession.

I'd go further to double check the article but honestly, not very interested anymore with so many misleading points. Research what you read.
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not accurate, no worries. important is able to cherry pick "facts" to suit your narrative. just like any fictional story teller would do.
iSean
post Sep 5 2024, 02:58 PM

iz old liao.
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How to buy? Landed house in Klang Valley minimum RM 500k nowadays...
When housing so damn expensive, even with RM 5k salary, most can't fork out RM2k/month with emergency savings left.

A simplified calculation, haven't included those other misc. fees, from ChatGPT:

To estimate how long it would take to pay off a RM 500,000 house in Malaysia, you'd typically consider factors like the interest rate, down payment, loan term, and monthly income. Here's a basic breakdown:

Down Payment: Banks in Malaysia generally require a 10-20% down payment. For a RM 500,000 house, you'd need RM 50,000 to RM 100,000 as a down payment.

Loan Amount: After the down payment, the loan amount would range between RM 400,000 and RM 450,000.

Interest Rate: Mortgage interest rates in Malaysia vary but are often between 3% to 4.5% per annum, depending on the bank and loan tenure.

Loan Tenure: Home loans in Malaysia typically range from 10 to 35 years.

For a RM 450,000 loan over 30 years at an interest rate of 4%, your monthly repayment would be around RM 2,148.
For a RM 450,000 loan over 20 years at the same interest rate, the monthly repayment would be around RM 2,727.
Repayment Duration: If you opt for the maximum tenure of 30 years, you'll take 30 years to pay it off. You can shorten this by making larger monthly payments or choosing a shorter tenure like 20 or 15 years.
SUSM4A1
post Sep 5 2024, 03:01 PM

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QUOTE(iSean @ Sep 5 2024, 02:58 PM)
How to buy? Landed house in Klang Valley minimum RM 500k nowadays...
When housing so damn expensive, even with RM 5k salary, most can't fork out RM2k/month with emergency savings left.

A simplified calculation, haven't included those other misc. fees, from ChatGPT:

To estimate how long it would take to pay off a RM 500,000 house in Malaysia, you'd typically consider factors like the interest rate, down payment, loan term, and monthly income. Here's a basic breakdown:

Down Payment: Banks in Malaysia generally require a 10-20% down payment. For a RM 500,000 house, you'd need RM 50,000 to RM 100,000 as a down payment.

Loan Amount: After the down payment, the loan amount would range between RM 400,000 and RM 450,000.

Interest Rate: Mortgage interest rates in Malaysia vary but are often between 3% to 4.5% per annum, depending on the bank and loan tenure.

Loan Tenure: Home loans in Malaysia typically range from 10 to 35 years.

For a RM 450,000 loan over 30 years at an interest rate of 4%, your monthly repayment would be around RM 2,148.
For a RM 450,000 loan over 20 years at the same interest rate, the monthly repayment would be around RM 2,727.
Repayment Duration: If you opt for the maximum tenure of 30 years, you'll take 30 years to pay it off. You can shorten this by making larger monthly payments or choosing a shorter tenure like 20 or 15 years.
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klang valley leh

is normal to be expensive

just like all other MAIN city the world.

u ingat landed in london tokyo beijing new york is cheap meh?
emburrar
post Sep 5 2024, 03:03 PM

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Best time to buy
sonypshomer
post Sep 5 2024, 03:07 PM

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deswai guru lugi 70M

https://forum.lowyat.net/index.php?showtopic=5480568&hl=

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