I not a fan of buffet & kinda bias
The Timeless Wisdom Of Jesse Livermore
Whyis stock investing hard? Take a step back to think, and you realize that stock trading is the intersection of many realms of knowledge.
Business. The economy. Finance. Innovation and technology. Government policy. The market. And don’t forget psychology. The more an investor knows about each of these fields, the more likely he or she will excel in the task of buying and selling stocks properly.
In the field of psychology alone, you have multiple topics to ponder. The psychology of the herd is important. So is the psychology of the self.
Jesse Livermore, whose life spanned the 19th and 20th centuries, didn’t get a master’s degree in macro economics or a Ph.D. in cognitive
behavior. But his experience, hard work, failures and successes across many bull and bear cycles make him one of the most respected stock and futures traders of all time.
Livermore grew up poor in Massachusetts. He found his calling after discovering he had a knack for numbers and for seeing price trends.
Trading firms called “bucket shops” across the country kicked him out after he amassed profits despite stringent house rules in margin.
He eventually became a powerful buyer and short-seller on Wall Street. Tragically, a self-inflicted bullet ended Livermore’s life on Nov. 28,
1940. But his book “How to Trade in Stocks”remains a gem. As the following quotes from the first chapter “The Challenge of Speculation,”
show, he defined genius in trading psychology.
Why not let Livermore’s wisdom help you?.“Profits take care of themselves, but losses never do. The speculator has to insure himself against considerable losses by taking the first small loss.” Your insurance policy: Sell a stock if it falls 8% from your purchase price. No questions, no exceptions. Nobody will care if you sold at a loss. The market surely won’t.
“Successful speculation is anything but a mere guess. To be consistently successful, an investor or speculator must have rules to guide him.”
.“Speculators in stock markets have lost money. But I believe it is a safe statement that the money lost by speculation alone is small compared
with the gigantic sums lost by so-called investors who have let their investments ride. From my viewpoint, the investors are the big gamblers. They make a bet, stay with it, and if it goes wrong, they lose it all.”
Livermore offers a few examples. On April 28, 1902, New Haven & Hartford Railroad sold at $255 a share. On Jan. 2, 1940, it traded at
$0.50. Chicago Northwestern went from $240 in January 1906 to “5/16, which is about $0.31 per share” on Jan. 2, 1940. Nearly 70 years later, some of America’s biggest banks took similar paths.
“A few thoughts should be kept uppermost in mind. One is: Never sell a stock, because it seems high priced. You may watch the stock go
from 10 to 50 and decide it is selling at too high a level. That is the time to determine what is to prevent it from starting at 50 and going to 150
under favorable earning conditions and good corporate management.” In a three-year rally from 2004 to 2007, Google GOOG didn’t stop at
200, 300, 400, 500, 600 or 700.
“One other point: It is foolhardy to make a second trade, if your first trade shows you a loss. Never average losses. Let that thought be written
indelibly upon your mind.” “It may surprise many to know that in my method of trading, when I see by my records that an upward trend is in progress, I become a buyer as soon as a stock makes a new high on its movement, after having had a normal reaction. The same applies
whenever I take the short side. Why? Because I am following the trend at the time. My records signal me to go ahead!” Jesse Livermore, “How to Trade in Stocks”
QUOTE(moody5 @ Nov 24 2010, 12:23 PM)
Read the books by Jesse Livermore or related to him if you are interested to be a Trader.
Tittle:
Reminiscences of a Stock Operator
How To Trade In Stocks