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 USD/MYR and SGD/MYR

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gashout
post Nov 7 2024, 09:34 AM

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QUOTE(dwRK @ Nov 7 2024, 08:58 AM)
pls guys... my sushi, kimchi n bbq dinner gonna be a lot more expensive... pity us locals here...  vmad.gif

next pit stop gonna be 4.5... lets see how soon we get there... smile.gif
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QUOTE(Ramjade @ Nov 7 2024, 09:20 AM)
Your sushi is going to become more expensive.😂
Next year got salmon tax☹️🤬
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just had salmon for lunch,,,pan fry,,, burp!
gashout
post Nov 8 2024, 06:58 AM

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QUOTE(Captain89 @ Nov 7 2024, 08:34 PM)
Confirm usd will strengthen one
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are we gonna see 4.5 soon?
gashout
post Nov 8 2024, 10:50 AM

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QUOTE(fuzzy @ Nov 8 2024, 10:12 AM)
Fed rate cut so it will fall, just not as drastic as a month ago when markets thought Feds would be much more aggressive.
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ok, good. need to convert some funds to usd...
gashout
post Nov 9 2024, 04:31 PM

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QUOTE(premier239 @ Nov 9 2024, 03:30 PM)

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recheck one year later.
gashout
post Nov 9 2024, 05:09 PM

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QUOTE(Wedchar2912 @ Nov 9 2024, 05:07 PM)
can meh? is this one of those article that talk only but didn't provide any justifications? economists are like shamans...

OPR up till 7%... then possible.

leave it to the will of the gods, sure... anything is possible with such excuse.
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economists are like fortune tellers. no need accountabilities... and statements often are 'may', 'should', 'would', 'could', 'possibly'.

it's a nice job...
gashout
post Nov 13 2024, 02:54 AM

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QUOTE(dwRK @ Nov 11 2024, 11:27 AM)
this week 4.43.... 100% correct... or 100% wrong... hahaha...

user posted image

profit liao if you short around 4.4 pivot as mentioned few weeks back... profit again if buy back at the green band...  biggrin.gif
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QUOTE(dwRK @ Nov 12 2024, 03:55 PM)
reached faster than i tot...
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4.5 soon? Heng ah!
gashout
post Nov 14 2024, 08:44 AM

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QUOTE(TOS @ Nov 14 2024, 01:05 AM)
DXY hitting 106.5, expect 4.47 later this morning!
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didn't happen. im sad sad.gif
gashout
post Nov 14 2024, 09:44 AM

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QUOTE(TOS @ Nov 14 2024, 09:29 AM)
?

https://www.xe.com/currencyconverter/conver...From=USD&To=MYR

I see 4.4706.

Don't trust the number before 9 am laugh.gif
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you are so right! how did you know it's 4.47 exactly?
gashout
post Nov 14 2024, 10:09 AM

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QUOTE(TOS @ Nov 14 2024, 09:58 AM)
Simple, but not-always-correct maths. Check how much DXY rises up from its 5pm GMT +8 value and multiply that number by the 5 pm USD/MYR rate published by BNM.

Step 1

user posted image

I obtain a value of 106.043 as of 5 pm yesterday Malaysia time. (In the screenshot, it's UTC, so that would be 9 am)

Also, BNM website shows a rate of 4.4540 as of 5 pm yesterday.

https://www.bnm.gov.my/exchange-rates?p_p_i...et_quotation=rm

Step 2

When I posted at 1:05 am this morning, DXY hits 106.50, so that is an increment of 106.50/106.043 = 4.473

Which is why I guessed it's around 4.47 when market opens today. But there is no guarantee it's exactly the case as new economic news may have changed the prospects of the currencies by 9 am today.

Moreover, DXY tracks USD against other developed market currencies like EUR, CHF, JPY. MYR is not freely-floated like those currencies and is not a developed market currency, hence there will be some discrepancy.
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so it's % rise x current rate.

thanks a lot!

gashout
post Nov 14 2024, 01:49 PM

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QUOTE(TOS @ Nov 14 2024, 10:57 AM)
Breached 4.48!
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rclxm9.gif
gashout
post Nov 15 2024, 08:10 PM

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QUOTE(BenChiew @ Nov 15 2024, 03:17 PM)
Good for you. I waited a little too long....
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Wait longer. 5.0 coming
gashout
post Nov 29 2024, 07:10 AM

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recheck my number. after a good run on crypto. my current currency distribution is

ratio currency
myr 17.96407186
nzd 5.522288756
usd 76.51363939

gashout
post Dec 7 2024, 05:44 AM

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QUOTE(TOS @ Dec 3 2024, 10:36 AM)
Bloomberg Markets | Currencies

Yen Carry Trade That Rattled Markets Shows Signs of a Comeback

Wide yield gaps and low volatility are driving the carry trade
Bearish wagers on the yen rose to $13.5 billion in November

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/202...d=homepage-asia
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why tos get sussed
gashout
post Dec 9 2024, 01:10 PM

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QUOTE(boyboycute @ Dec 9 2024, 01:02 PM)
Unker think u have a working crystal ball.

Everyone should ALL in follow your footsteps.

Unker continue to top up EPF for 5-6% dividend.
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miss also doing that, preparing for max self contribution in 2025 too drool.gif
gashout
post Dec 12 2024, 03:04 PM

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QUOTE(Wedchar2912 @ Dec 12 2024, 02:06 PM)
can i join in the fun comment?

tesla:  I stupid... paper hand and sold at 200 after 40% gain...
dbs : also stupid cos i sold at 40....
epf  : also stupid cos not working anymore
myr:  lagi stupid... kept on converting to overseas... but i think is making mtm gain here...

morale of the story...? haha. depends on how one see it... for me, definitely I am stupid.  hmm.gif  tongue.gif
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haha, i think you are one of the T1 here... tongue.gif
gashout
post Dec 18 2024, 04:40 PM

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how does the rate cut affect usd/myr... ?

what should we do now? or too late?
gashout
post Dec 19 2024, 12:04 PM

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QUOTE(dwRK @ Dec 19 2024, 11:14 AM)
https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/04...change-rate.asp
we all know your position/desire... lol...
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QUOTE(Medufsaid @ Dec 19 2024, 11:18 AM)
user posted image

RM4.14 is kenangan manis now
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Why rate cut. But currency goes up.. I don't understand.

I thought rate cut means better to park money elsewhere.

But I'm not complaining! My 4.5 finally is here.

gashout
post Dec 19 2024, 12:48 PM

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QUOTE(Wedchar2912 @ Dec 19 2024, 12:39 PM)
doesn't matter.... analysts and economists will come up with explanations regardless...

for us, ringgit weaker is better... all our FC denominated assets get translation gains... including EPF's position....
here's me praying for 4.8 by year end... hehehe
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Heng ah.
gashout
post Dec 19 2024, 02:48 PM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ Dec 19 2024, 02:16 PM)
Coz Fed is saying there will be fewer cuts next year than the market is expecting.
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fed also says they have avoided recession, but no one picked it up.


gashout
post Dec 25 2024, 08:55 AM

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QUOTE(boyboycute @ Dec 24 2024, 10:52 AM)
This is probably a good price to get out from USD and SGD to buy Ringgit
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usd is falling slightly, should be buying usd more

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