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 Military Thread V28

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darth5zaft
post Nov 25 2021, 06:53 PM

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QUOTE(HangPC2 @ Nov 25 2021, 11:07 AM)
user posted image
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They can still sell us tempest.

Not sure if we can afford it though.

This post has been edited by darth5zaft: Nov 25 2021, 06:56 PM
darth5zaft
post Nov 25 2021, 09:24 PM

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QUOTE(ayanami_tard @ Nov 25 2021, 08:08 PM)
kekekek

Maybe if KFX or TFX I still belip
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I think KFX & TFX would likely cost more then tempest since KFX nor TFX is not a mass market jet. Tempest meanwhile have 3 country that would likely committed to 100 jet each.

Personally i doubt we get any of it be it TFX,KFX nor tempest.
darth5zaft
post Nov 25 2021, 09:27 PM

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QUOTE(ayamxxx @ Nov 25 2021, 08:06 PM)
Look at LCS, one of the issue is the Variation order requested by the company, not approved since PH, PN and now gomen of the day. Believe the technology is too expansive to digest especially on the cost over run. Now this System, doubts the gomen really heading to proceed it.
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Well they cave in to rakyat pressure

Rakyat want 6 ship, no downgrade at same cost as when RM3 = USD1.

The only way to do this is for BNS to again absorbed the VO like with the kedah which is only possible if LMS batch 2 is again assemble by BNS.
darth5zaft
post Nov 25 2021, 11:49 PM

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QUOTE(ayamxxx @ Nov 25 2021, 09:52 PM)
The amount is too big to digest, hence the company asking for the VO. If for project base, it wont be fair for the company to take it all. Now u see the company asking the gomen to accept their vo cost as they cannot move without the fund. PH, PN both buying time and not approving it but same time attending numerous site visit and agreed principally the project need to move on
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They did it before though.
They are a billion ++ in debt when they bailed out the Kedah.
Gov then promise subsequent ship be built by them, which gov never did.


Personally am glad it terbengkalai.

The project had gone too toxic as navy & BNS are at odds with one another. BNS want to make as much money as possible to pay their debt so they go around dictating what system, equipment, weapon etc etc while the navy want a 'usable' ship and thus they want different system, equipment, weapon etc etc.

It odds they all fighting when a solution is staring at their faces. Navy should get the monopoly on what ship, equipment, weapon they want while BNS should get the monopoly on final assembly.

Anyway the 1st 2 ship are pretty much ready. The gov back then refuse signing off system installation as the navy wanted a different system & SAM or something. With the first 2 ship on dry dock there's no place to assemble the 2 last ship and thus the terbengkalai.


Heard that 3 equipment would be replaced & final design would be ready end of next year. It just popping out & popping in the new equipment, then system installation & the first 2 ship pretty much ready for sea trials.




darth5zaft
post Nov 27 2021, 11:13 AM

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QUOTE(James831 @ Nov 26 2021, 12:58 AM)
are we might be possible witnessing open war in Europe and Asia soon?



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Doubt it would go down the open war route.
Nuclear warhead, nuclear sharing & defense agreement make such open hostility unlikely.


Though the asymmetrical hybrid war had started for a while now particularly in weak buffer state ie Philippines & Ukraine. It a combination of military postering, economic postering on top of operatives in elections & propoganda unit of other nation internal politik

Country in the buffer but stronger like Poland, Vietnam, Taiwan, Korea Hungary & turkey are scared shitless & goes nationalistic spend like crazy on military.

Germany like Japan are US main allies and both of them are useless because they felt the guilt of being the antagonist in WW2 in their conscious. But are still scared & pretty much run around like headkess chicken.

Country next to the border like sweeden, Germany,MY, got confused on what to do & become indecisive. They want money but also want security. While country further away like Spain, Italy, SG,Thailand would distance themselves thinking it got nothing to do with them & at most would just offered moral support.

Indonesia like France think they are hotshot abang kawasan. Don't Wanna yield to be seen as subservient to US but still want a security relationship with US but still are pretty friendly with the antagonist.


darth5zaft
post Dec 13 2021, 07:53 AM

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QUOTE(KLthinker91 @ Dec 11 2021, 11:12 PM)
Finns going to buy 64 F-35A
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Do we really need 36 LCA?

How bout just buy 12 like sinki the just buy a MRCA next MP
darth5zaft
post Dec 13 2021, 01:57 PM

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QUOTE(KLthinker91 @ Dec 13 2021, 08:12 AM)
I don't think the SAF are buying just 12 in total, that's just their initial buy.

Combat jet aircraft require a lot of maintenance especially something like the F-35 stuffed with stealth and electronics. With 12 aircraft, you'd have very few aircraft available for operations - basically only 2 or 3 at any moment of the day.
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No i mean they just buy 12 m346.

What the purpose of buying 36 to 54 LCA.
darth5zaft
post Dec 13 2021, 04:49 PM

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QUOTE(KLthinker91 @ Dec 13 2021, 03:29 PM)
lmao

they buy the trainer version for training only. we buy trainer and LCA version for training and combat.
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I know it going to be use in combat
Particularly as a close air support
Which mean we would fly it slow & low
Some of it would crash.

Which beg the question why not just let the army took are of it with an actual attack heli?
darth5zaft
post Dec 13 2021, 05:04 PM

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QUOTE(Mai189 @ Dec 13 2021, 03:31 PM)
It may not be just 12. Sg typically buys equipment in small batches and it is not known to disclose its military purchases or rather they just dont talk about it and military enthusiasts find out by themselves.

I think they initially bought only 8 f15SGs. Now, it is confirmed that they have at least 40 F15SGs (Boeing gave civilian production numbers to some of them prior to transfer to RSAF - likely because Sg want it that way). But keen observers note that F15Sg serial numbers 8373 and 8378 have been sighted i.e. the ostensible 73rd and 78th F15SGs. My guess is that they have bought 80 F15SGs in total over the years.
user posted image

RSAF F15SG based in SG^

user posted image

RSAF F15Sg attached to CONUS@Mountain Home.^

It does add up considering the F15Sgs replaced some (if not all) of the 60+ Super Skyhawks and 49-50 F 5 S/Ts. The remainder will be replaced by F35s which will also replace the F16Vs.

On how many F35s they want, see what they (SG) told the F35 programme office  - up to 100 F35s:

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-lock...744095420080707
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Pretty much doubt it.
Doesn't seem anyone is replace their F15 with F35.


darth5zaft
post Dec 13 2021, 06:21 PM

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QUOTE(Mai189 @ Dec 13 2021, 05:11 PM)
Thats not what i wrote. The F15Sgs replaced some or all of the Super Skyhawks and F5 S/Ts see my post.

The RSAF also bought 6 MRTTs (so far) to replace 4 KC 135Rs. Connect the dots...more and bigger tankers because of more air frames (now and/or in the future).
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It seems they maintain more or less around 100 jet.
So i doubt they eventually bought 100 f35
Most country are currently reducing it's f35 committed number


Probably around 60 only while the F15 would be replaced by another air superiority platforms?
darth5zaft
post Dec 13 2021, 06:30 PM

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QUOTE(KLthinker91 @ Dec 13 2021, 05:44 PM)
because jet is jet, heli is heli; both have different advantages and disadvantages

helis are crazy fragile, as both the USSR and USA have found out. in Afghanistan, the mujahideen shot down Hinds and Hips with machine guns. in Iraq, the USA famously lost dozens of Apaches damaged and some destroyed.

the advantage of combat air support using jets is that they are MUCH less vulnerable, can sometimes react faster, and in some cases carry heavier payloads. consider; an attack helicopter can only carry rocket pods and an autocannon, while combat jets can carry that and/or at least a couple of heavy bombs that can hit harder than anything a helicopter can do

case in point:

user posted image
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Yeah I know fast jet are more flexible.

Just curious since an actual MRCA can do the job of LCA as well. Why not just buy the MRCA.

So why not just end the LCA acquisition at 18 (or 25 for m346) and just start buying a MRCA next MP?
darth5zaft
post Dec 13 2021, 06:36 PM

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QUOTE(Mai189 @ Dec 13 2021, 06:30 PM)
Likely 80 F15Sg + > 80 F35A/Bs by early 2030s.

They were operating 60+ Super Skyhawks + 49-50 F5 S/Ts + 70 F16s before they started retiring the older air frames from 2000.

RSAF is in transition.

Sgs style is to upgrade and then replace. So I would expect the F15SGs to be upgraded to maybe EX standard. It is not a major upgrade as the F15SG is already a 4.5 gen jet equipped with AESA and some of the latest EW systems.
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I though they only bought 4 F35? With 8 more as options
Most Probably because their original f16 (that they already sold to Thailand) already reach end of service live

They themselves said they only start buying f35 in numbers starting in 2030s as f16 replacement.

So 60 F35 in the early 2030 seem a bit far fetched don't you think?

With plan for 4 JMMS i doubt they even get the F35A though. Most likely an all fleet of F35B?
darth5zaft
post Dec 13 2021, 07:15 PM

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QUOTE(Mai189 @ Dec 13 2021, 06:58 PM)
Many f35 purchasers buy an initial small lot before commiting to a bigger purchase. In Sgs case, they do in fact buy in batches - likely a policy decision to make defence purchases palatable to neighbours. Anyway, it works if the goods arrive in the time frame they want. More F35s will be built in the coming years than typhoons + rafales + suks + migs combined. Not a prob for Sg to get say 80 to 100 F35s by early 2030s. Note: they will retire the F16Vs by that period.

My sense is that they will follow Japan i.e. buy a mix of As and Bs. They do not need to test the As - they can get inputs from Israel and Australia. But their only reference point for Bs is the US marines so thats why they bought the 12 f35bs initially.
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LoL palating the neighbors konon.
Obviously it's got more to do with the oldest F16 SG has in stock is only 20 years old. That's why they say they would bought more begining by 2030s.


darth5zaft
post Dec 14 2021, 07:09 AM

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QUOTE(KLthinker91 @ Dec 13 2021, 07:52 PM)
you first asked about heli mah biggrin.gif

answer is higher operating costs I think. two engines will always be more expensive than one, and multi-role that can do both missions effectively will usually be more expensive than single-role, especially a single-role cheap aircraft like the M346 or Hawk.

it's a ladder of cost vs effectiveness in the "mud-mover" role: Tucano < Hawk < F-16 < F-15E, for example. how far we want to be on the ladder... depends.
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QUOTE(ayanami_tard @ Dec 13 2021, 07:50 PM)
the AF is only buying 18 rn. whatever come after that just possibility.maybe we buy 60, maybe only 18

Also, you didn't know but within malaysia's context, we still need something that's cheap enough to operate but capable enough to not simply be aerial target. Before the AF retire its MiG-29N/NUB fleet, the af big boss said that the cost to fly them stands at around 75 million usd per year. simply for a plane that's used for interception and cap. With FA-50 cost per flying hour being quoted at around 2500/hour, that means we can have them fly all the time while keeping our actual hard hitting assets fresh and ready at moment notice.

Even countries like Taiwan with defence budget much higher than ours are looking for something along the line of FA-50 simply to deal with tongshan shenanigans, with their top of the line Mirage 2000-5 quoted to cost them close to usd30k/hour to fly and it's expensive to intercept plaaf intrusion on regular basis, something we will have do deal with in the future

Get 2 squadrons T-50/FA-50 for cap and air interception, and station one of them in S&s on permanent basis. Get kuwaiti hornet (preferably all of them tho at least complete our hornet fleet to a full strengh squadron) and upgrade them to 25x, sell off the migs to fund these two. Then we worry about which 5th gen fighter we should get
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Yer lor.
Seem everyone else is settling on a combo of attack heli & MRCA rather than go for a dedicated LCA.

Attack heli aren't that expensive & there's like a lot of preloved one sitting in storage somewhere

Thats why I wonder.
They are dialing back on a commitment to get more afterwards.

They gone from 3 squadrons to 36 to MAYBE another 18 afterwards.

Which kinda makes it sound like they didn't want it


darth5zaft
post Dec 14 2021, 12:53 PM

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QUOTE(Mai189 @ Dec 14 2021, 09:08 AM)
Im trying to explain to you that they buy stuffs in batches and offered a plausible explanation.

They renew and replace their equipment as needed. They do have the $$$$ 2 do that.

The F35s will be bought in batches and introduced in batches from 2026 onwards. The F16Vs meanwhile will be drawn down in early 2030s. Thats the plan.
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And money doesn't grow on tree.
They don't really give out universal healthcare didn't they?

And yes. People usually order their new jet 5 years before their current jet are due to retirement.

Thus there won't be 60 f35 by Early 2030s. 60 F35 by end of 2030s sure.
darth5zaft
post Dec 14 2021, 02:08 PM

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QUOTE(Mai189 @ Dec 14 2021, 01:01 PM)
Oh stop being silly. This is 2021. Theyve got many years to make orders so that they can have up to 100 F35s by early 2030s.
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And why would they?.

Their F16 still young & the F35 still a turt at this point In time thus haven't enter mass production stage yet. Why would they do the silly thing and ordered the turt version, when the good one is around the corner.

And why would they even want 100 f35 when other country even US are reducing their commited purchase while NGAD is around the corner. Not mentioning the proliferation of loyal wingman type things.

Also geopolitical wise SG are scared of her 2 immediate neighbors & thus why they seek US protection. Changing circumstances create a situation where relationship with her 2 neighbors are more of an interest to US. And US want to fight her number 1 customer. The fallout in HK create a situation of trading with PRC shifting to SG, making SG heavily dependent on PRC trade.

So i say what likely happen is SG to excellerate diversification away from US weaponry.
darth5zaft
post Dec 14 2021, 05:40 PM

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QUOTE(Mai189 @ Dec 14 2021, 05:21 PM)
I dont know what youre going on abt. Their F16s, upgraded to F16vs, are at the end of their lifespan. And no; many countries buying more f35s 2 like israel and australia. As far as i know, Sg has no mutual defence treaty with anyone!. FPDA is consultative. Not going to bother abt ur other fantasy on trade.
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Said the guy who sendiri shiok fantasizing of 100 f35 by Early 2030s and sinkie throwing away f16 after just 20 years of operation.

Literally thinking money do grows on trees šŸ˜‚


Anyway with AUKUS the Aussie are literally at the front of the line for the NGAD. So i doubt they would bought the F35 for the growlers & super hornet replacement. Everyone else are busy with their 6th gen program.

And yes, SG has no defense treaty with anyone, they think their neighbors are the enemies & refuse US 'instruction' basically milk the US during good times and abandoned them when they needed a favor. With that kind of behavior off course you won't get any allies.
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post Dec 14 2021, 08:36 PM

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QUOTE(Mai189 @ Dec 14 2021, 06:58 PM)
Singapore's defence budget expected to hit $18.57 billion (between USD $13.7 to 14 billion) in 2026

A new report has said that Singapore is expected to spend $18.57 billion on defenceĀ by 2026, up from $15.23 billion in 2021.

The spending will be driven by factors as diverse as terrorism threats to sustaining its large overseas military training presence such as those in Australia.Ā 

This represents an expected Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 4.6 per cent, up from its current figure of 2.58 per cent, according to the report published by London-based data analytics and consulting firm GlobalData.

The report also ā€œoffers detailed analysis of Singapore defense market with market size forecasts covering the next five yearsā€, and analyzes factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

Located at the southern tip of the Malay peninsula, Singapore is strategically located at a vital maritime chokepoint that is traversed by a significant amount of the world’s seaborne trade.

The prosperous island nation, with a population just short of 6 million people, is highly dependent on the maritime trade which uses its port as a transhipment point, however it has almost no strategic depth to speak of, measuring just under 300 square kilometres in size with its widest point being less than 50Ā kilometres from one end to the other.Ā Ā 

Key acquisition programs currently being undertaken by the southeast Asian island nation include the Lockheed-Martin F35B Lightning II Joint Strike Fighter, indigenous ST Engineering Land Systems Hunter Next-Generation AFV, and the Invincible-class Submarine (Type 218SG) diesel-electric attack submarines being built by Germany’s ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems (TKMS).

Singapore is also introducing the European MBDA Aster 30 ground-based air defence system into service, integrated into its bespoke integrated Island Air Defence System (IADS). It is also introducing the Boeing CH-47F Chinook and Airbus H225M transport helicopters into service, replacing earlier versions of both types (CH-47D/SD Chinook and AS332M/M-1 Super Pumas) in the Republic of Singapore Air Force.

In addition, Singapore also has other acquisition projects in the pipeline. It will seek new Joint Multi-Mission Ships (JMMS) to complement and/or replace its four Endurance class Landing Platform Docks. This is likely to be a through deck ship, with Singapore having previously said it will require the JMMS to operate more helicopters and possess improved air traffic control capabilities compared to the Endurance-class.

Singapore’s navy is also seeking a new Multi-Role Combat Vessel (MRCV) to replace its six 62m Victory-class missile corvettes. These will be larger vessels than their predecessors, and in addition to being armed with anti-ship and anti-aircraft missiles, are envisaged to act as motherships to a host of unmanned surface, underwater, and aerial vehicles and able to fulfill a variety of mission sets.

The JMMS and MRCVs are almost certainly to be built in Singapore by local defence contractor ST Engineering Marine Systems although substantial input from foreign contractors to assist in the design of vital subsystems is likely to be required. A recent example are eight Littoral Mission Vessels (LMV) currently being commissioned into the Republic of Singapore Navy, with Saab having a hand in the design of the integrated bridge and mast.

Singapore’s army is also seeking a wheeled 155mm self-propelled howitzer to replace the last towed howitzers in its inventory, and will complement the Primus tracked howitzers, rapid firing self-propelled 120mm mortars and HIMARS guided artillery rockets. Like the two former systems, the new wheeled howitzer will also likely be a homegrown design by ST Engineering’s Land Systems division.Ā 

Other likely acquisitions will be replacements for the Republic of Singapore Air Force’s fleet of ten Lockheed-Martin C-130B/H Hercules transports and nine Fokker 50 light transports and Enforcer 2 Maritime Patrol Aircraft. The oldest of the C-130 fleet has gone past six decades in service with the older B models limited to local training missions, although Singapore has not publicised an intention to replace these.

An increasingly complex regional defence picture is also driving many of Singapore’s defence acquisitions, with conventional arms and defence Research and Development (R&D) featuring prominently in its defence budget.

It’s Defence Science and Technology Agency is investing in research in bespoke areas that suit Singapore’s unique environment. This includes emphasis on unmanned systems and reduced crewing requirements, with Singapore being the first customer and assisting in the testing and certification for Automatic Air-to-Air Refuelling in the Airbus A330 Multi-Role Tanker Transport (MRTT), which among other things, reduces the aerial refuelling officers’ cognitive workload.Ā 

It has also worked with Airbus to develop a unique boom control law for the MRTT unique for the Boeing F-15 Eagle, and has developed a command and control information system that uses Artificial Intelligence to assist in determining priority for time-sensitive targets in cluttered urban environment and can determine how best to engage a target to ensure a better success rate with lower risk of civilian casualties.

https://www.australiandefence.com.au/defenc...e-market-growth

Mai's note: Nothing new here. Covid may have slowed the budget growth a bit. But it is clear Sg's defence budget will reach $ USD15 billion by end 2020s. Also, we need to note that Sg doesnt borrow 2 spend. And yet make surpluses or have balanced budgets most of the time so they can sustain the military budget indefinitely.
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Someone forgot that Singkie ekonomi going to grow 2% annually indefinitely
darth5zaft
post Dec 14 2021, 08:42 PM

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QUOTE(Mai189 @ Dec 14 2021, 06:12 PM)
Oh bummer! Now I remember you! Too many crazies here.

Btw, your math fail.  By the time the RSAF F16s are retired, many will be reaching 30 years of operation. They bought F16s in batches and delivered* from 1994 to 2004.

Who are the heck are - everyone else are busy with their 6th gen planes. Apart from the US, the rest are struggling to even fund 5th gen planes.
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So said the overproud kepochi shooting Sinki is great when people are talking about m346šŸ˜‚. No one care Pon.

Not to mention bad at math too . Since he think they going to retire the f16 as soon as it's finished being upgrade and not 5 to 10 years down the road.


https://www.defensenews.com/air/2020/02/18/...-fly-next-year/

Anyway I doubt you are even a Sinki. Aren't sinki supposed to be smart or something?

.

darth5zaft
post Dec 18 2021, 10:36 PM

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QUOTE(Mai189 @ Dec 18 2021, 05:14 PM)
Actually, I have never wrote that the F16Vs (tail serial numbers indicate that they have bought about 90-100 F16s - see my previous post which corresponds with how many
F35s they want i.e. up to 100. Also see tail numbers for F15SGs...now at 70-80 aircrafts) are going to be retired as soon as they are upgraded. I said that they will be withdrawn in the early 2030s (Sg's Menhan actually said 2030). This will be the time when the last of the purchased F35s reach IOC.

It is 2021-22 now. 2030 is some 9 to 10 years down the road. That is why I said that there is something wrong with you.
As for Sg's growth rate, a developed economy should not grow so much - 2% to 3% is fine. But fyi, SG will grow >7% this year and about >5% next year:

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/business/si...ast-mti-2334551

But what is more important than basic comparison of GDP or GDP per cap is basically money and surpluses. SG simply has the money to sustain and increase its defence budget because it is making money and has tons of it.

SG's 2021 defence budget:

https://www.janes.com/defence-news/news-det...et%20of%20SGD13.
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Punya suka lah bero.

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