What's the number of new cases going to be today?

It was 55 yesterday. And its 7-days moving average is 116.

The 7-days moving averages were:
26-Sept, 1
03-Oct, 17
10-Oct, 32
17-Oct, 85
24-Oct, 98
31-Oct, 116

If 31-Oct is the turning point, and R-nought is less than 1.0, the number of new cases, each day this week, should be less than 116... or at high double digits, before falling to less than 10 cases each day in the 3rd week of November.

Let me clarify further on the post.

The post was to use a 7-days moving average on the earlier post showing the number of new cases since 15-Sept. The daily numbers are erratic... thus a moving average can show a trend more clearer.

As can be seen, the trend is clearly increasing each week... from 1 to 116 cases (average number of new cases per day in that week.)

The 7-days moving averages were:
26-Sept, 1
03-Oct, 17
10-Oct, 32
17-Oct, 85
24-Oct, 98
31-Oct, 116

If last week was the turning point, then the average daily cases this week should be less than 116 or total new cases of 812 this week.

Why last week could be the peak? If you look carefully at the weekly averages, the incrementals are slowing down from week to week. (The curve is flattening.)

225 new cases today. Yesterday was 55. The daily numbers are too erratic to tell whether last week is the peak or it is still increasing. Let's wait and see what the numbers will be for the rest of the week.

(Why want to track the changes? It is one way to predict when the cmco would be lifted or extend further.)

yesterday selangor 255 no?

all efforts done all gone in vain...everyone tried their best followed SOP

manatau due to negligent by certain parties...

how many MCO or CMCO will be the same