Better use discount net cash flow to take into account time value of money
PLUS 18% volume drop IS worth 20% extension, stop complaining opposition fags
PLUS 18% volume drop IS worth 20% extension, stop complaining opposition fags
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Jan 17 2020, 12:04 PM
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Newbie
27 posts Joined: May 2017 |
Better use discount net cash flow to take into account time value of money
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Jan 17 2020, 12:04 PM
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Newbie
27 posts Joined: May 2017 |
Better use discount net cash flow to take into account time value of money
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Jan 17 2020, 12:04 PM
Show posts by this member only | IPv6 | Post
#43
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Senior Member
5,613 posts Joined: Jun 2006 From: Cyberjaya, Shah Alam, Ipoh |
I think just let it be...
Toll is one of gomen main income coffers, our epf and khazanah stable income generator |
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Jan 17 2020, 12:06 PM
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Senior Member
9,333 posts Joined: May 2009 |
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Jan 17 2020, 12:08 PM
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Junior Member
103 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
This is not something numbers can explained. I think PH in general looked at the numbers and think its possible. When they won and look at the contracts instead, holy cow, this is where it starts to get interesting. As usual, BN already laid down the web and if PH want to change, it is basically bailing out all those cronies from BN.
It sucks... but at least we know why things are so complicated and who are responsible for this mess in the first place. The initial figures looks nice but the dirt was hidden beyond multiple layers of unspeakable truth. |
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Jan 17 2020, 12:10 PM
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Junior Member
154 posts Joined: Mar 2015 |
QUOTE(Avangelice @ Jan 17 2020, 09:15 AM) damn kronies still survivingwhy palm oil co last time kena superprofit tax toll co not kena ?! QUOTE(Namelessone1973 @ Jan 17 2020, 09:25 AM) If no tolls, then don't complain when your EPF dividend is 2.5%. Not only EPF but a lot of unit trusts and insurance funds are also invested in toll companies. Why? They are assured of good profits and gives out good dividends. A lot of people also do not know that toll companies are one of the favorite counters for foreigners on our Bursa. u pay tollu r paying your own epf dividen QUOTE(max_cavalera @ Jan 17 2020, 12:04 PM) I think just let it be... epf & khazanah are breeding kroniesToll is one of gomen main income coffers, our epf and khazanah stable income generator & inefficient cos who bleed the rakyat This post has been edited by brapa?: Jan 17 2020, 12:12 PM |
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Jan 17 2020, 12:11 PM
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Senior Member
1,365 posts Joined: Aug 2005 |
people should not have to keep paying toll on PLUS, which had cost RM5.9 billion to build, since the concessionaire had already collected toll worth RM37.4 billion over the past three decades.
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Jan 17 2020, 12:13 PM
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Senior Member
1,365 posts Joined: Aug 2005 |
QUOTE(dh007014 @ Jan 17 2020, 12:08 PM) This is not something numbers can explained. I think PH in general looked at the numbers and think its possible. When they won and look at the contracts instead, holy cow, this is where it starts to get interesting. As usual, BN already laid down the web and if PH want to change, it is basically bailing out all those cronies from BN. ask atuk, muhidin and etcIt sucks... but at least we know why things are so complicated and who are responsible for this mess in the first place. The initial figures looks nice but the dirt was hidden beyond multiple layers of unspeakable truth. i am sure they know about the contract |
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Jan 17 2020, 12:13 PM
Show posts by this member only | IPv6 | Post
#49
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Senior Member
5,826 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Selayang, Selangor |
QUOTE(prophetjul @ Jan 17 2020, 09:21 AM) The later owners are us, by way of Khazanah (government) and EPF.So basically the toll has become a tax. The original contract was massively lopsided and that's what led to massive profits by private companies. Right now whatever losses that are incurred by restructuring the deal will be felt by the people anyway in the way of lower returns for Khazanah and EPF. Mahathir and his highway deals already fucked us many times over already... there's nothing to do with them now that will benefit the people. The same deal with the IPPs, since all the IPPs have been bought up by 1MDB, so if they cancel the horrible deals or renegotiate the IPP contracts, its 1MDB (us, through the government) that will lose. I'm sure Najib who got us into that fucking mess by bailing out the IPPs through 1MDB towards the end of the IPP contracts will be the first to cry about government sabotage if the deals are renegotiated. We're fucked now, thanks to BN fucking things up for so many years with abandon. The people lose in every way. |
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Jan 17 2020, 12:14 PM
Show posts by this member only | IPv6 | Post
#50
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Senior Member
1,178 posts Joined: Aug 2014 |
QUOTE(Namelessone1973 @ Jan 17 2020, 09:25 AM) If no tolls, then don't complain when your EPF dividend is 2.5%. Not only EPF but a lot of unit trusts and insurance funds are also invested in toll companies. Why? They are assured of good profits and gives out good dividends. A lot of people also do not know that toll companies are one of the favorite counters for foreigners on our Bursa. You must be stupid.Might as well let EPF running all the money making companies. Stupid fck |
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Jan 17 2020, 12:16 PM
Show posts by this member only | IPv6 | Post
#51
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Senior Member
2,093 posts Joined: Apr 2005 |
Don't want to pay toll, take Route 1 la. NSE isn't the only way to get around.
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Jan 17 2020, 12:20 PM
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Junior Member
460 posts Joined: Oct 2008 |
QUOTE(darkhunter16 @ Jan 17 2020, 11:49 AM) The contribution of these tolls to Kwsp is less than 2% of total profit My point is, if abolish, then EPF dividend drop, then people still complain PH sucks (remember TM share price drop, everyone complain).Source:https://www.kwsp.gov.my/-/epf-records-moderate-q3-2019-results-amidst-cooler-market-condition Abolish tolls won't affect a lots. Let assume originally they can give 6% interest.. A reduction of this 2% means interest could be 5.88%. Huge effects? Depends on how much savings in your EPF account PLUS should remain status quo because EPF affects more people than PLUS users. I rather they focus on intracity toll (not all tolls have EPF/gov ownership) better as those not benefit general populations . |
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Jan 17 2020, 12:21 PM
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Junior Member
49 posts Joined: Feb 2009 |
Don't forget PLUS still got 30Billion of sukuk debt need to redeem
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Jan 17 2020, 12:22 PM
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Senior Member
8,650 posts Joined: Sep 2005 From: lolyat |
QUOTE(Nachiino Etamay @ Jan 17 2020, 09:14 AM) Tak percaya check sendiri Back when PLUS highway and other highway was build based on IRR 20%! Assuming Capital structure of RM33 billion, for simplicity purposes, FCFF = operating cash flows - capex but BEFORE bond payments and dividends. Before: 2019: RM2.5 bil FCFF, 2038 RM5.6 bil FCFF After: 2019: RM1.9 bil FCFF (18% reduction), 2058: RM4.5 bil FCFF (18% reduction) both have IRR of 9.4%. ie: the toll IRR hasnt changed before and after the reduction. possible upside due to increased volume, however, government actually still owes PLUS when FHR2 and Bukit Kayu Hitam toll terminated, in the RM200 millions. so its possible that it will be used to pay for this too. |
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Jan 17 2020, 12:23 PM
Show posts by this member only | IPv6 | Post
#55
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Senior Member
2,093 posts Joined: Apr 2005 |
QUOTE(RViN @ Jan 17 2020, 12:13 PM) The later owners are us, by way of Khazanah (government) and EPF. Well the people kept bn in power for 60 years and now when ph want to do the painful things needed to correct past bn mistakes, all cry mother father and kerajaen sepenggal. How to do anything like that? When bn ficked you all the first time, you didn't frick them back, so why complain now?So basically the toll has become a tax. The original contract was massively lopsided and that's what led to massive profits by private companies. Right now whatever losses that are incurred by restructuring the deal will be felt by the people anyway in the way of lower returns for Khazanah and EPF. Mahathir and his highway deals already fucked us many times over already... there's nothing to do with them now that will benefit the people. The same deal with the IPPs, since all the IPPs have been bought up by 1MDB, so if they cancel the horrible deals or renegotiate the IPP contracts, its 1MDB (us, through the government) that will lose. I'm sure Najib who got us into that fucking mess by bailing out the IPPs through 1MDB towards the end of the IPP contracts will be the first to cry about government sabotage if the deals are renegotiated. We're fucked now, thanks to BN fucking things up for so many years with abandon. The people lose in every way. |
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Jan 17 2020, 12:24 PM
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Senior Member
1,365 posts Joined: Aug 2005 |
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Jan 17 2020, 12:25 PM
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Junior Member
93 posts Joined: Aug 2014 |
QUOTE(yhtan @ Jan 17 2020, 12:22 PM) When you sell a highway, you need to revalue your debt, equity and recalculate your capital structure.The last transaction was last decade. so the capital structure is more reflective of now. It was transacted at high-single-digit-IRR which is standard for IRR now. IRR during that time was 20%, because risk was soo high and loans was expensive. corporates were borrowing at 10%-15% cuz its soo risky. |
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Jan 17 2020, 12:29 PM
Show posts by this member only | IPv6 | Post
#58
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Senior Member
2,093 posts Joined: Apr 2005 |
QUOTE(M4A1 @ Jan 17 2020, 12:24 PM) Lol.Not for tolled highways. User pays the full toll! Why need the whole country to subsidize Klang valley residents and pay compensation to tollways? Bn sign the lopsided agreements but no balls to follow it. Keep kicking the can down the road. And people are so easily bribed and lalai. No they want to cry mother father and kerajean sepnggal. Lol. This post has been edited by dickybird: Jan 17 2020, 12:32 PM |
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Jan 17 2020, 12:31 PM
Show posts by this member only | IPv6 | Post
#59
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Senior Member
2,093 posts Joined: Apr 2005 |
Self entitled free toll fucks should just go fick themselves la.
No money but drive civic ketam then complain toll expensive. Mcb This post has been edited by dickybird: Jan 17 2020, 12:32 PM |
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Jan 17 2020, 12:37 PM
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Senior Member
8,650 posts Joined: Sep 2005 From: lolyat |
QUOTE(Nachiino Etamay @ Jan 17 2020, 12:25 PM) When you sell a highway, you need to revalue your debt, equity and recalculate your capital structure. Ya, they have to refinance and negotiate for lower financing rate over the years. If u look at WCE, the cost was RM6.6bil and given single digit IRR.The last transaction was last decade. so the capital structure is more reflective of now. It was transacted at high-single-digit-IRR which is standard for IRR now. IRR during that time was 20%, because risk was soo high and loans was expensive. corporates were borrowing at 10%-15% cuz its soo risky. TBH the current arrangement is fine, profit channel back to Khazanah and EPF. |
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