QUOTE(xander83 @ Feb 26 2021, 04:07 AM)
Why not because RM and AUD correlation already broken when AUDSGD broke 1.02
It happens before when AUD was at 3.4 and SGD was almost 3.2
Currently AUDSGD already broken 1.05 anytime within Q2 I won’t be surprised overshooting to 1.08
RM now fair value with weakening USD should be at 3.98 atm but it is artificially at 4.03 thanks to BNM
QUOTE(paogeh @ Feb 26 2021, 04:55 AM)
@hansel
looking at the AUD/JPY and AUD/USD chart ......
the safe strategy for this 2 pair , buy at the DIP ,
eg : AUD/JPY 61.00 (Mar2020) and AUDUSD 0.56(Mar2020)
Taking 1 standard lot.
Hold AUDJPY from 61.00 ===> 84.00 ===> 2300 pips x 10usd = USD23K profit just for 1 lot .
similar with AUDUSD.
last check with IC market swap ..... both long/short , have to pay swap of USD1--3+ ......
taking 365 days ===> USD2 x365 ==> USD700+
1 Lot ==> if capital USD5K to hold...
USD23K - USD700 ===> USD22k ----- not bad ...
Return = > 22k/5k = 440% return in a year
the RISK :
1. AUD crash
2. USD or JPY strengten , like 2008 ==> or major RISK OFF
3. AUD interest rate fall
4. USD or JPY interest rate rise
5. The AUD up trend might not continue
that;s what i could think off .
not many ppl would like to hold FX > 1 year ....
QUOTE(dwRK @ Feb 26 2021, 12:03 PM)
not sure boss... in general lower liquidity drives up demand...
will depends on respective central banks printing and how they balanced their economy...
vacine should be fully rolled out and life back to normal... US printing should slow down... trade wars won't be over...
end of the day I know nothing...

QUOTE(dwRK @ Feb 26 2021, 12:12 PM)
boss Hansel probably took a huge 10mil soft jpy loan...bought aud now parking in his fca... he bought so low can afford to hold forever...

main concern is myr rates... low is good when he cash out... so far doesn't look like going to be an issue...
Tks all bros for many opinions,... will read closely and think carefully before acting. Yeah,... bro dwRK,.. I took a very high 9-digit AUD loan and bet on this pair. Did this with my private banking facility in SG. Bought three round,.. if I remembered correctly.
Tired tonight....