QUOTE(dwRK @ Dec 16 2019, 01:30 PM)
nice exit around 50% pullback. profit is profit :thumbsup:
your 1.3330 entry keeps bothering me though

Yup, I agree that it was not the best entry but I chose to place my first pending short order there because it was the fibo 161.8 retracement level of the recent pullback (from 1.3228 to 1.3050).
The main rationale for shorting was the prominent divergence in the daily chart. Once I have determined this, I usually identify key fibo levels (in the smaller timeframe as well as the larger timeframe charts) to place short orders.
During the spike on Friday, GU actually hit many key fibo levels and stopped just a few pips shy of the 261.8 retracement level (1.3520) of the recent pullback (mentioned above).
All my short orders were between the 161.8 and 261.8 fibo retracement levels. Usually when there is prominent divergence in a bigger timeframe chart and we get a spike (new high), short orders placed in the region between these two fibo levels are “almost” fail safe.
More importantly, looking at the weekly chart, it was the first time we hit the fibo 61.8 retracement level (approx 1.3450) of the big fall (from 1.4378 to 1.1970). Hitting this key level for the first time and having a nice divergence made pullback very likely and further strengthened the rationale to short.
Btw, I am keeping an eye on this fibo 61.8 level. It may be a good opportunity to short if we get close to 1.3450 again. Failing to break and hold above it means that we will likely see fibo 50 once again (approx 1.3170). Cheers

Ps: Sorry for being so wordy 😂
This post has been edited by Alan Andrews: Dec 16 2019, 03:07 PM