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 REIT, real estate investment...

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cherroy
post Jan 22 2010, 12:51 AM

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QUOTE(mok thye yee @ Jan 22 2010, 12:48 AM)
Ya, Francis never mentioned which hotel he will put in .....

but if we look at hotel under YTL group stable except the two which are oledi in STARHILL :

(1) Pangkor Laut -- luxury hotel
(2) Tanjong Jara -- luxury hotel
(3) Majestic Melacca -- luxury hotel
(4) Vistana Penang -- mass market
(5) Vistana Telok Chempedak kuantan -- mass market
(6) may be some more in oversea that i cannot remember

But the point is how can these hotel be more profitable than L10 and StarHill .......
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It depended on valuation paid which dictate the yield of it.

Reit is not running the hotel, but own the properties and rent the properties to the hotel management company.

So all depended how much valuation paid and how much rental that can get from it.

Lot 10 and Starhill can get good rental, but properties valuation is high as well.

Reit is about yield, not only rental amount. For eg, you paid 500 millions for a mall, you might get 25 million rental, but it is 5% yield only, compared to a 50 million hotel but can get 5 million rental. In the end of day, the hotel will be seen a better yield properties.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Jan 22 2010, 12:53 AM
cherroy
post Jan 22 2010, 01:12 AM

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QUOTE(mok thye yee @ Jan 22 2010, 01:05 AM)
Agree on what u say

but

First but, if the hotel is not making money how can the hotel pay u good rental

Second but, yes rental yield is depend on valuation, BUT , u can give discount when u inject the asset into the reit esp in this case YTL to REIT by YTL

This is AND not BUT

and rental yield and asset value is just like chicken and egg, if the rental is good some how the asset value will go up, and the egg and chicken, oso same lar

does matter about the value and yield, over oledi, now the pressing issue is 

What value the Starhill Global wanna buy Lot 10 and StarHill Gallery, at NAV, NAV discount or NAV premium ????

How can francis do corporate deal like Sy Mota ? so many grey area
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Sadly to say, RPT is norm in reit across, as long it doesn't hurt shareholders benefit, then nothing to complain much. Even Genting had RPT as well.

Starhill Global should buy lot10 and Starhill at NAV or a little bit discount on NAV (like no more than 3-5%).

At NAV level, Stareit shareholders actually gain and realise the properties revaluation appreciation.

Next ultimate question, is what properties being injected, and valuation of it and yield of it. This is something we eager to know and need to know as soon as possible.
cherroy
post Jan 22 2010, 01:34 AM

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QUOTE(mok thye yee @ Jan 22 2010, 01:27 AM)
YES YES YES

now all YES no but

agreed. Francis sud present the complete plan and let the unit holder to decide, not make us puzzle.

He sud state clearly

(1) STARHILL & LOT how much sold
(2) HOTEL A,B,C,D how mcuh buy

if he is not ready, he should NOT disclose any information. This is basic corporate governance. cannot always buli the minority one coz all thses info is price sensitive.

GENTING RPT.... aiyo sick of them, everytime i see they do these lousy RPT, i just feel like write an open letter to Najib to windfall tax all their RM 5 billion.

"ONE HIT TWO SEPERATE"
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If not mistaken, I think on 1) do mention it will be sold at NAV and being paid by cash + preferred of Starhill Global

It is no 2) issue now, which I agree, if not ready, then don't need to disclose the rationalisation plan. When announced time, should have all the details and complete proposal.
cherroy
post Jan 23 2010, 12:15 AM

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The one that delivered good recent Q announcement is Qcapital, 4.x cents DPU. thumbup.gif
cherroy
post Jan 23 2010, 10:56 AM

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QUOTE(Jordy @ Jan 23 2010, 07:41 AM)
cherroy,

Please correct me if I'm wrong. I thought QCAPITA announced 3.9 sen dividend this quarter?
BrendaChee,

Don't assume that you will surely gain. You and I don't have a crystal ball to predict that. Also, nobody can predict the IPO price.
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Sorry, my mistake/bad. It is 3.9 cents. doh.gif
I just read full years earning of 8.x cents which I translate into 4.x cents per semi annual.

Most reit IPO gain nothing as a lot of time, there is little premium for reit IPO listing time. A handful come in negative premium as reit IPO generally at the price of NAV, while most reit is trading at discount to NAV.
cherroy
post Feb 1 2010, 02:32 PM

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QUOTE(jasonkwk @ Feb 1 2010, 09:19 AM)
Plantation,Retail, Industrial, Office,Hospitality and Health-care, which kind of REIT has the highest risk of not finding a suitable tenant?
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Primary factor is always location.

If really want to choose between the option above, my view, health-care, as it is more customed made generally. But still location overwrite all the factors, as land is the most precious value of the asset, not the building.
cherroy
post Feb 1 2010, 03:32 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Feb 1 2010, 02:55 PM)
But not necessarily healthcare. As what i know KPJ REITS is owned by kpj hospital. Unless KPJ really close shop else KPJREITS don have worry for tenants issue. Correct me if wrong.
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err.... I understand the issue. I was comparing type of properties itself, healthcare or hospital building has few interest as compared to retail, industrial if really want to auction time or when seeking for tenant without talking about RPT issue.
cherroy
post Feb 3 2010, 12:03 AM

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QUOTE(jasonkwk @ Feb 2 2010, 08:15 PM)
What is the meaning of "last date of lodgement "?

I repost this since no one reply.
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Last date of lodgement is the last date you must register your share.

But since after CDS and electronic transferred nowadays and automatically register as shareholder already, it is irrelevant to most investors out there.

But still they need it, as this is the official last date the share must register in order to entitle the dividend, as one must remember, although it is full CDS now, shareholders can still demand physical share paper/cert being issued to them as well.
cherroy
post Feb 3 2010, 01:05 AM

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QUOTE(Gregory @ Feb 3 2010, 12:54 AM)
After round of calculation, i still didn't get 90% income distribution from BSDREIT.

There are up to 69mil translate around 12.4 sen for distribution to unit holder. But they only allocated 51.8 mil ~ 9.3 sen.

By rough calculation, that translate approximately 75% of the net profit which contradict with 90% reit policy which to exempt from income tax act 1967.

is it possible they take out the performance based rent income and gain on disposal of investment properties?? but that is consider taxable income correct me if i wrong. BSDREIT website also stated they may distribute as bonus dividend.

this issue has been cracking my head this few days. Anyone can help me on this. Thousand TQ
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Under the tax exempted law/ruling, 90% of reit income must be distributed, while those income is based on rental or operation income. Gain in disposal of investment properties is excluded.

Correct me if I am wrong.
cherroy
post Feb 3 2010, 10:46 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Feb 3 2010, 08:11 AM)
SIFU Cherroy,

I plan to enter some UOAREIT this week. Been eyeing this counter for quite sometimes. Any comment for this counter? You are holding some UOAREITS right?

1. OPR will probably goes up during march 2010 i am afraid this will affect UOA net profit as more $$ will be going into servicing interest hence will affect the reits pricing i believe. Other concern is when interest rates go up normally means cool down inflation which may leads to properties price come down. All these factors will have impact on reits pricing. Correct me if wrong.

2. Where can i get the latest debts to equity ratio among the reits ?

As i only manage to check on the latest yield and NAV of each reit.

http://m-reit.blogspot.com/
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Check the respective reit website, there are details info inside their financial report. Every reit has their own website.

I have no comment much on it although I hold some.

OPR won't be going too much, my view, it won't be raised more than 0.5% for 2010.
Yes, high OPR means higher interest charges on borrowing.

Based on experience and opinion, BNM won't raise too much on interest rate, as even last time when petrol price being raised to Rm2.70 and inflation rampant time, BNM only raise merely a few basic point only. Economy growth and recovery is overwrite inflation risk for most central banks around the world, sadly to say. Actually I am more lean or favourable central banks to raise interest rate to cool down and pre-emptied the inflation risk, although I am holding reit.

I am more concern about new and more supply office space coming out in the next 2-3 years, which could depress the rental as well as competition wise to get tenants.

QUOTE(jasonkwk @ Feb 3 2010, 09:39 AM)
in other words, If I buy share on the last date of lodgement, since it is register automatically, do I still entitled to the dividend?
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No, you must buy before ex-date, not lodgement date.

Lodgement date is 2 business days after ex-date which is to facilitate the transfer of share in CDS. For eg. you buy today, today your CDS account won't be credited with the purchased shares. It is after 2 business date of ex-date, then the share is credited into your CDS.
So share registrar will use lodgement date for identify the shareholder.

But you must buy before ex-date, not lodgement date
cherroy
post Feb 3 2010, 11:35 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Feb 3 2010, 05:11 PM)
What i mean is if you want to cash out for reits is quite hard if you want to sell in big volume. You might have to sell at low price. That is the issue you need to take note when buying low liquidity stocks.
You have to consider if you want to sell at big lots in case of any bad news than you may have to suffer bigger lose.
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Anything within 1,000 lots should be no problem for disposing. Buyer might not be showing up, but if put 1,000 lot at a few cents lower, can easily being 'eaten' away quickly.


cherroy
post Feb 4 2010, 12:31 AM

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QUOTE(Gregory @ Feb 3 2010, 11:53 PM)
agreed on gain in disposal of investment properties, how about performance based income?

according to 4qtr report, 69 mil (realised operating profit) minus 6.5 mil will get 62.5 mil, yet still less than 90% distribution.

and TQ for yr help Cherroy.
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I am not familiar with this reit, this plantation reit is a bit complex than the rest ordinary office/industrial/retail reit.

But do read the fine clause in the income tax act.
QUOTE
Pursuant to to S61of Income Tax Act 1967, the fund/reit will be exempted from income tax on all its income as the fund intends to distribute at least 90% of its taxable profit to unit holder.


The key word is taxable profit, if the performance based income is not classified as taxable profit (Sorry I don't know or sure about it, may be other can clarify on this issue) or being granted exempted status or whatever special clause, then 90% need to work out based on taxable profit figure.

That's why gain in disposal of properties is not included in 90% calculation because capital gain is not a taxable income/profit.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Feb 4 2010, 12:32 AM
cherroy
post Feb 14 2010, 06:05 PM

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QUOTE(jtleon @ Feb 14 2010, 02:02 PM)
Wish Everyone a Happy Chinese New Year

I'm currently looking at both ATRIUM and UOA.
I prefer ATRIUM over UOA, because of their assets.
ATRIUM has 4 industrial sites each only have 1 tenant, which is simple, and with the leasing contract, income is consistent
only 1 of them has leasing contract until Sept 2010, others will at least untill next year or so.

I didn't take a look on all their historical data, but the most current one seems promising.

This will be my first time purchasing a REIT, I assume the process are the same as buying a stock. smile.gif

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There is always pro and con.

Atrium's EPS suffer greatly when one of its tenant moved out, last 2-3 Quarter ago, which DPU from 2.x cents drop to merely 0.8 cents.

While for more diversified tenant, you can avoid or reduce this effect to minimal.

While if everything is well, surely less tenants give you less headache.

So, can't say which is for sure good.





cherroy
post Feb 17 2010, 03:07 PM

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QUOTE(jtleon @ Feb 16 2010, 11:12 AM)
Do you think it is better to seperate our investments in REITs with different assets?
likes
STAR in tourism & hospitality (after disposing starhill gallery and lot10, do we have update on which properties they will add using the available fund?)
ATRIUM in industrial
UOA in office
HEKTAR in retail
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Different people may have different view, there is nothing right or wrong or which is better.

But personally view that,
It is better to have diversificaiton on assets to spread out the risk.

Among all, Axreit is seems to be the one more diversified, from office space to industrial. But recently, it is more towards industrial, as newer acquisition mostly on this side.

Office space is the most lucrative, but office space will be under some pressure in the next 2-3 years due to more supply with more and new building coming into the market, while economy situation is so so, aka demand may not pick up quick enough to meet the more supply.
cherroy
post Feb 20 2010, 01:43 PM

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QUOTE(sohkeong @ Feb 20 2010, 11:15 AM)
you mean realised profit is from rental collection and unrealised profit is from disposal of assets n etc?


Added on February 20, 2010, 11:32 amthx jordy, i just go through the annual report.. now i understand why the dividend so low due to realized profit EPS was just 8.75cent

but i dont understand why the adjustment of NAV value is considered part of the profit?? can explain further?
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When you make profit, you NAV goes up in your balance sheet, because the company has more money now due to profit.

NAV adjustment come from properties revaluation which is paper gain. It is profit lead to NAV increment, not NAV increment lead to profit.
cherroy
post Mar 10 2010, 11:45 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Mar 10 2010, 09:32 AM)
I don like right issue as it will dilute DPU.

i PREFER them the raise their gearing and service the loan instead.
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As long as the right issue or private placement money is used to acquire properties that deliver at least as same as current yield, it won't dilute the DPU.

Actually I prefer them to raise money through private placement instead of gearing as long as those money being used to acquire properties that higher than current yield (or at least at par),
mainly because interest rate only has one way to go i.e. up only, while with low gearing, it poses lesser risk on the reit itself in term of defaulting or difficulty in refinancing the loan itself, as reit won't repaying the loan, but servicing the loan only, while most loan/borrowing are quite in short to midterm only, which several years down the road, refinancing always needed.
cherroy
post Mar 10 2010, 02:20 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Mar 10 2010, 12:06 PM)
For private placement, what if the issue price per unit was far below market price? E.g. RM 1.00?
That is my concern on private placement as small investors like us will be on the losing end.

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I taught they are going to issue new shares at RM1.30, or no?

As far, from several private placement had been issued, like Axreit, the private placement is based on market price average price at time being.
cherroy
post Mar 11 2010, 04:29 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Mar 11 2010, 11:47 AM)
Many investors have factored in RPTs , as non events..or acceptable practices.

Next , they would factor in Gearing  as non events.
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There could be the reason why reit price is always traded at discount to NAV
cherroy
post Mar 17 2010, 02:20 PM

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QUOTE(kamemada @ Mar 17 2010, 09:27 AM)
Hmmm nothing to buy at REIT counter at the moment?
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I may buy Stareit, I just hope the new injection of properties will enhance its yield.
cherroy
post Mar 17 2010, 04:24 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Mar 17 2010, 04:13 PM)
Cherroy what is your view on UOA newly proposed acquisition?
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If fund through the RM1.30 private placement and with better yield ahead, then seem ok for me. As there is little details, how new rental income from the new building.

As in current situation, I wish to see any new acquistion is fund through private placement, as borrowing cost will become higher only in near future, while as reported office space supply will be more due to completion of several new building which could depress the rental.
At the moment, I wish to see on reit is they secure borrowing on long term basic, which lock down the interest rate. So don't need refinance too often.


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