QUOTE(Cubalagi @ Jun 22 2019, 04:30 PM)
Serious. Govt has money challenges. Debt is high, revenue is less due to removal of gst n economy not so hnnggh. Promise to rakyat are a lot still to be fulfilled. Defence expenditure will be lowest priority for many years.
So how to build credible defence? ATM should forget all this expensive Rafale, Typhoon, Gripen. Not happening for a long-long time. Even if buy, the numbers will be so insignificant in war.
So better start to think like a miskin underdog force. Realign strategy and equipment.
This thinking is not entirely wrong, but does have some flaws
Economy works in, broadly, 10 year cycles. Right now we are on the cliff of a recession. Say the next year or 2 years it happens. That means in just 6 to 7 years we will see a boom again. Defence expenditure planning can take that into account.
It's possible to build a credible defence, but the question is a credible defence against what of course. The disadvantages of SAMs is that they are limited purpose units which would be useless if, for example, an Mh370 happens again and a fast jet needs to be sent up to see what's going on using pilot eyeballs.
Jets are also useful in case tensions rise with our neighbours - not Singapore, perhaps, but other neighbours. They can support ground troops and represent a powerful political card. So at least
some capability here would be very useful.
Even though during a budget crunch period we can only buy cheaper trainer and light combat aircraft, they are important to have because they will provide training and exercise for fighter squadrons in preparation for the possibility of buying more expensive jets in the future. Whereas switching entirely to turboprops and SAMs would basically kill the TUDM fighter capability for literal decades, through loss of experience.
Anyway, even with the current budget its possible to build a "credible defence" force, IF the country spends carefully and the money doesn't mainly go to benefit "local industry" instead... Ahem ahem...
This post has been edited by KLthinker91: Jun 24 2019, 01:46 AM