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howyoulikethat
post Jul 13 2020, 01:59 AM

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From: Land of Honah Lee
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 5 2020, 03:17 PM)
somebody once told me that trade only stocks above ma200

Back test on the Mayban chart lo .... ( laugh.gif Mayban again... yeah it is sure one good example on testing ....  thumbup.gif  )

The longer stretch from the chart when Maybank was above the 200ma was from end 2016 to end  2017.

Maybank SHOT up from 8.20 to 9.80. A possible profit of ... err ... 1.60 to play for....
The assumption is ... one is so chun to get in at 8.20 and then chunchun sell at 9.80....
get it any other price... the profit diminish....
dumb dumb get at 9.80.... even with the dividend collected... still losing money....  bangwall.gif

See how unreliable the 200ma is?
*
If MA is unreliable, what would you recommend us to use?
howyoulikethat
post Jul 13 2020, 07:41 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 13 2020, 07:42 AM)
All indicators got their pro and cons. You just need acknowledge when and where you can go wrong per indicator you use. Knowing your trading personality will help too.

Test, test and test. Paper trade various types of setups. Explore. Find out the best you.
*
Do you mean that I should study all indicators available first? Did you paper trade the same stocks or different stocks before you could confidently pull the trigger?
howyoulikethat
post Jul 14 2020, 04:06 PM

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What do you all think about Comfort's huge rise in price and volume today? Big shark collecting or throwing?
howyoulikethat
post Jul 16 2020, 09:53 PM

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Maybe tomorrow's show is small drama only. Many hoping to average down or buy their first glove stocks.
howyoulikethat
post Jul 17 2020, 12:32 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 17 2020, 12:25 PM)
Had some time. Read Kenanga's TopGun report...

[attachmentid=10540873]

This is what TopGun has achieved as it is...

[attachmentid=10540874]

IMO, the following is kinda useful when TopGun reports its next earnings...
Cos you wanna get a grasp whether the bar has been set too high or in other words, you do not want to have TopGun release its earnings only to have all these fella saying... below estimates (which realistically should have been the earnings came out okay but we, the scientists, in an effort to BS the target higher, we simply gave chincai sky high rocket estimates.. )

2020 total net profit estimates is 1402.1 million.
currently TopGun has managed 575 net profit for its first 3 quarters.

Hence they are suggesting that the net profit for the coming quarter should be 827.1 million.

For simple comparison, last year, same quarter, TopGun only managed 80 million profit. (80 million fly to 827.1 million!)
For simple comparison, the last reported quarter, ie 2020 Q3, TopGun reported an already very respected 347 million. Which means this scientist is suggesting that TopGun profit increased by 137%.

Simple maths... nothing fancy...
so the very first part here is to ask... has the bar been set very high for the next coming QR report?

But you see, the Target Price was not set based on these number estimates... aha... got some tricks leh...
What is CY2021 estimate profit?
A cool  3996 million !!!
more a less suggesting that TopGun will average ONE BILLION ringgit profit per quarter...

and that's how they got the TP (TP tu stand for Toilet Paper ah? tongue.gif) of rm32.00
*cough*

High estimates? or simply chinchai whack sky high profit estimates?

you be your judge yourself ....
ps... when these scientists come out with new estimates almost every other week, you should know they are frying the stock up!
brows.gif
*
Thanks for the heads up, Boon3 thumbsup.gif
howyoulikethat
post Jul 24 2020, 11:17 PM

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Thanks for the enlightenment! thumbsup.gif
howyoulikethat
post Aug 11 2020, 12:11 PM

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Another counter which may suffer a fall is GKENT. Goreng so fast this week. Political stocks next to be gorend-ed? biggrin.gif
howyoulikethat
post Aug 18 2020, 05:07 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Aug 18 2020, 03:21 PM)
Goreng now by the boss?

See it is simple really.

How can I be sure that TG will not have a meh moment like SM?

Well it really got to beat the numbers BY SURPRISING ALL TO THE UPSIDE.
If the jokers are now calling 1.4b, then TG better kwai kwai beat the numbers by at least 10% at least....

so TG better bring home 1.5 B in profits!!!
can ah?
*
So far, the market has already known that SM would be able to churn out 400M and hence the huge rise prior to the quarter result. Today's surge is also so far the biggest in share price. TG may really do the impossible. ohmy.gif
howyoulikethat
post Aug 18 2020, 10:26 PM

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It's okay, we wait and watch the show unfold. laugh.gif Either today is the start of the next rally up or a fake rebound.
howyoulikethat
post Sep 25 2020, 11:53 AM

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But seeing the volume gradually increasing towards the end, wouldn't it show that the sharks are back collecting Comfort glove? hmm.gif
howyoulikethat
post Oct 2 2020, 03:13 PM

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Thank you for your detailed sharing, Boon kor! Learned a lot today! thumbup.gif
howyoulikethat
post Oct 21 2020, 11:08 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Oct 20 2020, 09:00 AM)
New high ....
user posted image
but .... there's a lot of real estate to cover before it can challenge its all time high of its gogo 2000s......  sweat.gif

user posted image
*
Were you there when the dot com boom led to tech stocks reaching phenomenal highs? How irrational was it? Was it as crazy as the glove mania 3 months ago?
howyoulikethat
post Nov 7 2020, 01:38 PM

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Hi, Boon3. Do you think Krono would be able to move further upwards as it has broken its resistance with some volume? DOes it really qualify as a breakout? It doesnt seem very convincing to me as its catalyst was the China contract.


user posted image
howyoulikethat
post Nov 8 2020, 10:34 PM

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Thanks a lot for the detailed comments, Boon3! notworthy.gif I guess if I were to trade Krono, it be difficult to reach the Aug volume now, unless more contracts are awarded and better QR ahead. Personally, I prefer to buy on dips but it is always interesting to learn about technical analysis. thumbup.gif
howyoulikethat
post Nov 9 2020, 10:10 PM

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QUOTE(squarepilot @ Nov 9 2020, 01:27 PM)
well, you are right on this.

user posted image

price would be gap up.

paper trade buy at opening price  laugh.gif
*
I thought Krono would earn more & my gut feeling is Krono may fall, but I'm often wrong on market perception.
howyoulikethat
post Jan 14 2021, 12:18 PM

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How would one interpret yesterday's charts for tech stocks which saw increase in volume & green candle?

How do we determine whether it is a sign of bullishness or a one-off?

For example, the breakout of glove stocks last week seem not so convincing now.
howyoulikethat
post Jan 14 2021, 06:58 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jan 14 2021, 12:57 PM)
Well, what type of player are you?

You need to address this. Cause if you are a longer term player, such indicators are mere footnote. By itself, the volume and the candles cannot indicate the trend.

Glove's? Wow. Did you follow my postings here on my fake trade on TG. From buy to sell....................
*
I'm more of a buy & hold for longer term kind of person. But always interesting to learn some technical analysis views from you all. Yup, I did read up some of your TG postings here from time to time.

Btw, why change the title to BWC ah? What does it stand for? hmm.gif

This post has been edited by howyoulikethat: Jan 14 2021, 06:58 PM
howyoulikethat
post Jan 27 2021, 05:53 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jan 27 2021, 12:39 PM)
Sitting is a very important phase, in regardless one is a trader or an investor.

I am in a sitting period too. I once sat more than a year before, not trading. wink.gif

So don't get too worked out over sitting.
icon_rolleyes.gif
*
Which year was it, if you don't me asking? 2017?
howyoulikethat
post Mar 10 2021, 12:25 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Mar 10 2021, 08:55 AM)
isn't that it?

and the dividends.... wasn't it as expected?
in the stock market, try not to make an opportunity out of everything .......

many a times, it's just best not doing anything.
*
What do you think of D&O's chart? Its uptrend was steep & had a minor correction recently. Do you think it has correlation to Tesla due to automotive LED exposure?
howyoulikethat
post Mar 10 2021, 03:02 PM

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I suppose it's sector related? The techs move pretty closely to Nasdaq's movements.

I wonder if they will chase this into another Supermax like last year laugh.gif

Just curious, do you take macro factors like USA markets or interest rate in your trading? Or pure chart?

Edit: Btw, Boon kor, I should've listened to you when you said "the scientists" have begun forecasting next year. Today, while most "scientists" reduced TPs, some "scientists" reduced their magic numbers so drastically. If only I had cutloss on gloves then...

Anyway, thanks coz now I read more critically at those "scientist repot". thumbsup.gif

This post has been edited by howyoulikethat: Mar 10 2021, 03:09 PM

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