QUOTE(Smurfs @ May 21 2020, 10:24 AM)
At the end come back to the strategy part, we dont buy into REIT if the yield is very close to the FD rate.
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QUOTE
Sibuk on another Reit
Cmmt. Listed Jul 2010.Retail price 98 sen.
The chart...
[attachmentid=10313751]
If bought during ipo retail price at 98 sen, price is now 1.04.
About making couple bottles of beer money I guess.
But the dividend is not bad. Since total collected is 69.46 sen.
[attachmentid=10313752]
But since the chart shows the stock is tanking since 2013, what would happen
if one chased and bought high at 1.90?
Would dividends save the day?
So if I minus out the dividends from fy2010 to fy2012..
The total dividends received would be only 49.75 sen.
So if buy at 1.90, total dividends received is only 49.75.
With share price at 1.04, mati lembu kuat kuat if chased this Reit.
Note the fy2014 dpu plunged... but recovered the next year.
Note the dpu has been declining since fy2015...
How smurf?
Cmmt. Listed Jul 2010.Retail price 98 sen.
The chart...
[attachmentid=10313751]
If bought during ipo retail price at 98 sen, price is now 1.04.
About making couple bottles of beer money I guess.
But the dividend is not bad. Since total collected is 69.46 sen.
[attachmentid=10313752]
But since the chart shows the stock is tanking since 2013, what would happen
if one chased and bought high at 1.90?
Would dividends save the day?
So if I minus out the dividends from fy2010 to fy2012..
The total dividends received would be only 49.75 sen.
So if buy at 1.90, total dividends received is only 49.75.
With share price at 1.04, mati lembu kuat kuat if chased this Reit.
Note the fy2014 dpu plunged... but recovered the next year.
Note the dpu has been declining since fy2015...
How smurf?
QUOTE
Aha! Thanks for the FY2013 DPU correction. Other figures looked correct. (this is what happens when you are free but just armed with a handphone. tongue.gif )
Right off the bat, I am now thinking, ok, what if one took the drastic correction towards the end part of 2013 as an OPPORTUNITY?
Ya? I mean, you be looking at some logical reasoning to buy, yes?
For example, the DPU/DY looked extremely attractive yes? And then will cheat a bit lor, assuming one used the help of the charts and use the breakout of the big correction trend, as an additional tool to help one's buy decision. So agak abit la. Use a price of 1.40 as an entry price? Date of entry around Feb 2014.
Same exercise, would the dividends help the reit investor.
This would see the investor collect the dividends of 8.91, 8.60, 8.43, 8.22, 7.90 and 3.22 which equals to total dividend of 45.28.
So current price is 1.05. Dividends received 45.28. Cost of investment 1.40.
So got untung quite a few bottles of beer la.
But then, this is almost close to a 5 year investment....
and if one had purchased higher than 1.50 (well I cheated and used back data to help me choose the 1.40 entry price tongue.gif ) during that fy2013 correction, one can lugi besar!
So far, based on the few examples I posted, it certainly looks like a high DY does not guarantee much when one is selecting a reit. If buy at wrong prices, one definitely lugi ringgit.
Like you said, declining DPU is one big flag to watch out for.
Do I pass my initial Reit workouts ah?
Right off the bat, I am now thinking, ok, what if one took the drastic correction towards the end part of 2013 as an OPPORTUNITY?
Ya? I mean, you be looking at some logical reasoning to buy, yes?
For example, the DPU/DY looked extremely attractive yes? And then will cheat a bit lor, assuming one used the help of the charts and use the breakout of the big correction trend, as an additional tool to help one's buy decision. So agak abit la. Use a price of 1.40 as an entry price? Date of entry around Feb 2014.
Same exercise, would the dividends help the reit investor.
This would see the investor collect the dividends of 8.91, 8.60, 8.43, 8.22, 7.90 and 3.22 which equals to total dividend of 45.28.
So current price is 1.05. Dividends received 45.28. Cost of investment 1.40.
So got untung quite a few bottles of beer la.
But then, this is almost close to a 5 year investment....
and if one had purchased higher than 1.50 (well I cheated and used back data to help me choose the 1.40 entry price tongue.gif ) during that fy2013 correction, one can lugi besar!
So far, based on the few examples I posted, it certainly looks like a high DY does not guarantee much when one is selecting a reit. If buy at wrong prices, one definitely lugi ringgit.
Like you said, declining DPU is one big flag to watch out for.
Do I pass my initial Reit workouts ah?
post #4635
CMMT price is now 81 sen vs those posting price of 1.04 (posting made Sep 2019!)
DPU for the period is 0.98 vs 1.71 a year ago.
May 22 2020, 10:05 AM
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