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Smurfs
post Oct 21 2020, 02:44 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Oct 21 2020, 02:03 PM)
btw.... you can save whatever lines you draw on the chart.... do that ... and over time... you can view back and compare what has transpired since you drew those lines....  thumbsup.gif
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Oh yes that's what i've been doing...

Continuously analyze my earlier analysis....

You will find that sometimes your initial analysis is right...after 3 months, your realized that your initial analysis is wrong..

then

after 6 month, it matched with your initial analysis.. rclxub.gif rclxub.gif


Smurfs
post Oct 24 2020, 03:52 PM

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MI Technovation Berhad 5286

user posted image

Huge volume on QR date.

Seems the market is anticipating good QR result from MI equipment.

The QR released :

user posted image

Will they be disappointed?

Or are they looking forward to MI's expansion?

Chart will tell next week whistling.gif


Smurfs
post Oct 27 2020, 04:36 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Oct 27 2020, 02:40 PM)
Here's one you can observe .....

PIE

(observe la... no ask you chiak laugh.gif)
user posted image

looking like ...

left side of the cup... volume driving the stock price higher ... probably based on the article on the star on the same date...

https://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...revenue-in-2021

the bottom of the cup .....  the stock consolidate.... notice now the volume dries out .... maybe sceptical....

the right side of the cup .... stock got interest again .. and the stock is driven higher again... matching the high of 24 th Aug....

hencing forming the cup.....

and then the stock pulls back again.... nicely forming the handle....

the breakout of the handle...

user posted image

let's observe....  thumbsup.gif
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C&H setup eh? biggrin.gif

Well i think this "cup" is more established.

Pinjam ur chart, the volume showing "cup" too.

user posted image

Stock price pull back on light volume and climb on high volume, bull's commitment more than bear. Smell bullish.

However, still need 1 good earning as catalyst.

PS : If i tangan gatal and optimistic about this counter, i will take position during those days with super low volume .. ie when no body interested to sell / buy.
Smurfs
post Oct 28 2020, 12:31 PM

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Honestly i didnt expect this kind of drop for JFTECH... What i expect will be some consolidation near 4.4x area..

user posted image

Nevertheless, the stock price has been doing quite well since MCO.

user posted image
Smurfs
post Oct 28 2020, 07:01 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Oct 26 2020, 01:18 PM)
Corrected a fair bit...  sweat.gif

If I was late and only just got interested in the stock, I would have waited and watched out for a breakout play.... wink.gif

( so lucky I did not follow this stock tongue.gif )

user posted image

and the breakout on heavy volume... looked 'okay' for me....

user posted image

the trading data on Friday showed nothing out of the ordinary....

the 15 min time frame....

user posted image

the stock drove higher sharply in the morning and then, in line with the general market, the stock pulled back just a little....
...  but overall this stock has done remarkedly well since listing in 2018. I see there's a one for 2 bonus issue last year too...

user posted image

too bad .... I did not follow ......
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Update MI (5286)

The earning indeed disappointing the market...

user posted image

Lower low and lower high with volume confirmation..

Smurfs
post Oct 29 2020, 02:27 PM

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QUOTE(Smurfs @ May 19 2020, 08:50 PM)
From the Quarterly report, it seems that SUNREIT changed their distribution frequency from quarterly to semi-annually. Reason being is to preserve cash, containment of cost and re-prioritizing CAPEX  biggrin.gif

user posted image

From Current QR :
Net Property Income for Retail : -11.2% yoy
Net property Income for hotel :  -34.6% yoy

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


My wild guess DPU FY 2020 will be 7.70 sens. Hence :

SUNREIT yield : 0.77/1.6 = 4.8%
eFD promo rate : 2.59 %
10 yr MGS Yield :  2.91 %

Now the question is, can buy ah?

My 2 cents , please take it with a pinch of salt. Blow water only.
» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «

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Update SUNREIT :

DPU For FY 2020 = 7.33 sens

SUNREIT Yield : 0.733/ 1.43 = 5.12%
Current eFD promo rate : 2.30 %
Current 10 Yrs MGS yield : 2.63 %

Latest QR result:

user posted image


DPU drop-> REIT price drop. The golden rule.

Let says one invested in SUNREIT during 19th May 2020 ,with price 1.55, one will currently now sitting at loss -9.2% 8% typo

Some of the highlight in the latest QR :

user posted image

user posted image

user posted image

Borrowing increased too, for the acquisition of Sunway Pinnacle :

user posted image

user posted image

With current climate of prolonged global low interest rate environment, REIT will be the place for those yield chasing pension funds / institutional funds. Take a look at the largest 30 shareholders of REIT, mostly are those fund houses. A few % in yield different means almost nothing to individual investor, but for large institutional fund houses, we're talking about millions, or hundred of thousands perhaps?

user posted image

user posted image

However as an individual investor, the bet, or should i say investment strategy still remains, is to bet on its recovery. Here are some questions to ask ourself before investing in sunreit.

- Why SUNREIT?
- What is my expectation out of SUNREIT?
- How do I react if the price of SUNREIT drop further?
- Can the properties of SUNREIT earn me more DPU for years to come?
- When will be the recovery?
- What if it never recover?

icon_question.gif

This post has been edited by Smurfs: Oct 29 2020, 08:52 PM
Smurfs
post Oct 29 2020, 02:38 PM

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SUNREIT cont..

I remembered 2nd October...It was the 2nd day of continuous 3 digit Covid new infections in Malaysia..

user posted image

user posted image

No sign of consolidation yet.....
Smurfs
post Nov 1 2020, 06:54 PM

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Just becareful of "endowment effect"..

Sometime traders/ investor are not aware of this "endowment effect" is actually steering their thoughts unconsciously...
Smurfs
post Nov 3 2020, 02:53 PM

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Well anything can happen , even to the so called "safe heaven", REIT...

America's malls under pressure : CBL, Pennsylvania REIT, file for bankruptcy

Smurfs
post Nov 6 2020, 10:50 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Nov 6 2020, 10:05 AM)
Smurfs

Update on the C&H

Here is pie

user posted image

and here is the other one mentioned the other day... tongue.gif

( lol ... my ex .... )

user posted image
p/s no vested interest laugh.gif
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Good stuff thumbup.gif

Homeritz and friends, Latitude has been trending up recently.
Smurfs
post Nov 16 2020, 06:29 PM

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QUOTE(Smurfs @ Oct 29 2020, 02:27 PM)
Update SUNREIT :

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


However as an individual investor, the bet, or should i say investment strategy still remains, is to bet on its recovery. Here are some questions to ask ourself before investing in sunreit.

- Why SUNREIT?
- What is my expectation out of SUNREIT?
- How do I react if the price of SUNREIT drop further?
- Can the properties of SUNREIT earn me more DPU for years to come?
- When will be the recovery?
- What if it never recover?

icon_question.gif
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Update SUNREIT NOV-16

user posted image

That volume on 10 Nov, is due to the news of 90% effective coronavirus vaccine. Since then, recovery theme can be seen across bursa..

Nevertheless, like trading every other stock, the risk is always depends on your buying price.

Buying price is very important.
Smurfs
post Dec 5 2020, 11:22 AM

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QUOTE(squarepilot @ Dec 5 2020, 10:32 AM)
user posted image

how effective of using moving average/SMA/EMA with so many different range and types?

this stock shows many trader use SMA50 to trade?
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Moving Averages(MA) presents a "smoothen" version of price's general direction, ie averages of stock prices.

Some trader use MA as support / resistance. They sometimes act as support or resistance within a trend; and in some cases, they are similar to trend lines. The main difference between MA & trend line will be ; MA is calculated, trend line is drawn by human. If you ask 10 people to draw trend line, you might get 10 slightly different trend lines. But if you ask 10 people to generate MA on the chart, all 10 should arrive at the same result.

Some trader use the "golden cross" & "death cross" to catch big moves. However, they produce really infrequent signal. And it is not foolproof too.

Some trader see when the stock price crossed MA 50 line with volume commitment, they long the stock, this could be the case for OCK. They place a bet on possible directional change in the market.

But to me Moving average (MA), be it SMA / EMA / LWMA, to me is still a laggard indicator. It can be use as REFERENCEs, but dont jump into trade because MA told you to do so. It didn't yield much results sweat.gif

Cheers icon_rolleyes.gif

P/S In terms of sensitivity, LWMA > EMA > SMA. Sometimes too much signal can become interference, ie noises.

Less is more.

This post has been edited by Smurfs: Dec 5 2020, 01:52 PM
Smurfs
post Dec 5 2020, 12:59 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Dec 3 2020, 03:33 PM)
Chart for MI

user posted image
user posted image
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MI !

anyway can see the descending triangle.. looks bearish at the moment.

BUT the pull back was done on lower volume..and the stock is now consolidating.

Have to watch 3.8x support level..if breakdown, it is likely to attract additional sellers.

However, it can also be an opportunity to take position...

P/S UWC more interesting biggrin.gif
Smurfs
post Dec 14 2020, 10:08 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Dec 14 2020, 09:15 AM)
Ah..... see how MI is doing right now ...

user posted image
user posted image

It appears to be breaking down ....

and if one had anticipate ... and went in as the early bird  .....  sweat.gif  sweat.gif
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Breaking down whistling.gif
Smurfs
post Dec 14 2020, 11:04 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Dec 14 2020, 10:15 AM)
Yup .... what should happen, happened. smile.gif
It's interesting the situation...

I can't understand why some wants to be in ... (there's similarity with Unisem. Unisem had losses cos they had to write off their bad investment... once it was taken completely off its books .... profits will surge)

But then ... the naughty chart ... lol.... showed the bears within the stock. laugh.gif

So how?

Lemme guess... you will be basing on value soon..... tongue.gif
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No sexy stories / catalyst to drive MI's price up...

It is still trading at below average volume.. lack of volume.

Unless the board gatal want to play those "bonus issue" game , to spice things up a little bit to attract punters tongue.gif

The chart clearly showing only 1 direction as for now, no buy signal yet... wait for trend reversal lo hmm.gif

But what if... the reversal is a bear flag mega_shok.gif and stock price continue to dive.
Smurfs
post Dec 14 2020, 03:01 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Dec 14 2020, 11:56 AM)
laugh.gif Your trading lingo ... wow!

Well.. once the MI earnings back to normal (last month was a surprise cos the earnings decline) ... it could be a sexy idea... tongue.gif

See .. this is why trading is always exciting ....

If you are interested ... watch the candles... if the reversal candle is sighted tomorrow ... it should attract some ......

cool2.gif
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Here is another descending triangle :

user posted image
Smurfs
post Jan 11 2021, 12:01 PM

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Eh topic changed....

What's the latest rules & regulation then biggrin.gif
Smurfs
post Jan 11 2021, 12:22 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jan 11 2021, 12:08 PM)
Dunni what rules.. laugh.gif
How the topic! Sexy? Or do you have a better suggestion? biggrin.gif
You got any cpo stocks? tongue.gif
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Probably a thread that discuss more on strategy would be beneficial for all...when to buy, when to sell, position sizing, breakout play, value investing, dividend play bla bla bla..

No i dont have any CPO related stocks..

I'm not good at stock that are closely related to commodity prices, be it energy / CPO / steel stock icon_question.gif


Smurfs
post Jan 11 2021, 12:47 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jan 11 2021, 12:26 PM)
That actually would be nice but I don't want to lead. wink.gif

I see. Had been watching Danco but somehow... err...
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What was your concern?

lack of volume?
Smurfs
post Jan 11 2021, 06:54 PM

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QUOTE(statikinetic @ Jan 11 2021, 03:29 PM)
I see, so that explains the name of the coffee shop!

Here's another company I finished the FA on that could potentially take a look at in construction.
What are your thoughts on TCS (0221)?
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Just had a glance on TCS.. Seems like they are mainly involved in building & constructing residential & commercial building, especially projects from SP Setia, Mahsing, Tropicana etc.

So if property market is improving, new launches from Msia Developer will be catalyst for the group, if they manage to secure those contracts.

Competitor will be inta bina, Kerjaya Prospects?

QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jan 11 2021, 03:36 PM)
Ok. Will do later. smile.gif

smurfs is also very good with fundamentals. Taught me a lot on reits.  blush.gif
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sweat.gif

Blow water is my strength !

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