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 Malaysian Estimated Weekly RON95/RON97 Price, RON95 ◆, RON97 ◆ on 7/3 (Estimation)

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djhenry91
post Feb 28 2017, 07:05 PM

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sudah calcuate include myr/usd around 2.29 or 2.30
djhenry91
post Feb 28 2017, 07:11 PM

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QUOTE(isr25 @ Feb 28 2017, 06:55 PM)
Don't know 28/2 MOGAS95 closing figures, but unless it goes up to like USD80 (impossible), estimated March 2017 fuel price will remain at RM2.30/liter, with a small chance to go down to RM2.35/liter.

My money is at 2.30.
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should see 27/2 i jus check back CME website..
if want see 28/2 need wait tomorrow morning only know.
djhenry91
post Feb 28 2017, 07:45 PM

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QUOTE(isr25 @ Feb 28 2017, 07:12 PM)
Yup. It updates at 6am tongue.gif

Anyway, just for reference, I am using BNM 5pm (closing time) and middle rate for my USD/MYR calculation.
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for USD/MYR i use investing.com so very syok wan
djhenry91
post Mar 1 2017, 08:42 AM

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TS formula to predict next month is very good..
i got mine as well..thinking adding diesel and RON97 for fun..
need dig out where to find MOPS price


new update for estimate RON95 fuel price
they decide to set announce weekly fuel price instead of monthly
they will announce new fuel price either monday or saturday for each week

weekly fuel price

This post has been edited by djhenry91: Mar 4 2017, 05:47 PM
djhenry91
post Mar 4 2017, 09:01 PM

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lol..this thread only alive if almost reach fuel price announcement..
next month sure very active due to weekly fuel price changes..
djhenry91
post Mar 6 2017, 09:11 AM

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QUOTE(isr25 @ Mar 6 2017, 08:41 AM)
My take on it is that - the weekly fuel announcement mechanism, and subsequent "petrol price war" that they intend, we will need to see how it goes. This thread might be of use, or might not be useful at all. I'll keep tracking and updating it - as I said, for my hobby. Feel free to check it out, if not, then don't check it biggrin.gif

Anyway, did a scenario what will happen if we did a weekly petrol pricing:

Week 1 (30/1-3/2) - RM2.27 (RM2.25?)
Week 2 (6/2-10/2) - RM2.29 (RM2.30?)
Week 3 (13/2-17/2) - RM2.30
Week 4 (21/2-24/2) - RM2.28 (RM2.30?)
Week 5 (27/2-3/3) - RM2.20

So it's better for the consumer. I'm not sure how the mechanism will announce - every Friday? Every Saturday/Sunday? Every Monday? Will need to see how the system works definitely...

Anyway, I highly doubt that petrol stations will offer lower than the "ceiling" price... But we shall see.
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malaysia mentality offer ceiling price instead lower than ceiling price
djhenry91
post Mar 22 2017, 06:03 PM

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correct la..for the cost
djhenry91
post Mar 22 2017, 07:32 PM

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QUOTE(isr25 @ Mar 22 2017, 06:44 PM)
Yup, thanks for the tag, will update the spreadsheet to take into account 23 March - 29 March (7 days) for the first weekly oil price announcement.

It's kind of good though coz the current market rate of fuel is about RM2.10 at the moment biggrin.gif
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if RM2.00 or below i happy liao
djhenry91
post Mar 22 2017, 08:41 PM

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QUOTE(isr25 @ Mar 22 2017, 07:55 PM)
Highly unlikely liao, unless oil price goes down or our ringgit grows stronger. RM2.10 now, or RM2.05 lowest next week looking at the trend
Me too bro. I doubt they wanna take a hit on their margins, unless it's like 1-3 sen discount laugh.gif let's see next week
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RM2.05 ok for me.. hmmnow is petrol station willing offer what price
djhenry91
post Mar 30 2017, 11:29 AM

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QUOTE(jasonhanjk @ Mar 30 2017, 09:45 AM)
Still no reduce price from different kiosk?
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need approval from government
djhenry91
post Apr 12 2017, 04:27 PM

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QUOTE(BacktoBasics @ Apr 12 2017, 04:23 PM)
Confirm? You speculating? Where is the source?
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u check TS google spreadsheet..
RM2.24
i make my calculation estimate is RM2.23
even KPKDDK watver is say petrol price will increase...
terima kasih to US send missle to Syria..
oil price increase,so petrol price follow
djhenry91
post Apr 19 2017, 04:36 PM

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QUOTE(jasonhanjk @ Apr 19 2017, 04:35 PM)
Official:
根据油站业者透露,最新燃油零售顶价一律上涨,RON95售价上涨3仙,而RON97则上涨2仙,以及柴油涨5仙,生效日期从4月20日至4月26日。

Ron95 +0.03
Ron97 +0.02
Diesel +0.05
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according to petrol station operator??
djhenry91
post Apr 19 2017, 05:30 PM

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i go pump 1st..dont care liao
djhenry91
post Apr 19 2017, 06:19 PM

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QUOTE(WiLeKiyO @ Apr 19 2017, 06:16 PM)
Is the fuel price really predictable?
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this time really surprise..TS and I calculate almost the same estimate price..mana tau gov go increase 3 sen pulak
djhenry91
post Apr 19 2017, 08:04 PM

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QUOTE(isr25 @ Apr 19 2017, 06:31 PM)
Yes, they told the formula and how to calculate it numerous times, but since the weekly announcement, not as accurate prediction as before.
Really fishy man... now I wonder if they also used mean of platts NY or Singapore for Saturday and Sunday
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NY platts? impossible wat..but weekend where got trading for MOGAS 95??
djhenry91
post Apr 19 2017, 08:16 PM

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QUOTE(isr25 @ Apr 19 2017, 08:11 PM)
Our Saturday is their Friday tongue.gif

But the Ringgit does not trade over the weekend though... hmmm... let me run a couple of scenarios to see how they derive that 3 cents increase. E.g Maybe they used all 3 ringgit values through the day i.e opening, mid-day and closing time?
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hmm..i using close settlement price..
but MOGAS follow SG day ma..is jus tht slow nia..
maybe monday exchange rate use Monday wan? Monday wan use Tuesday?

if u use different session which is 0900,1130,1200 and 1700 thn average it and count it per day? thn wednesday to calculate estimate final price thn average 5 day exchange rate?

djhenry91
post Apr 19 2017, 08:26 PM

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i try and result same je lol..
Attached Image
djhenry91
post Apr 19 2017, 08:53 PM

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QUOTE(isr25 @ Apr 19 2017, 08:32 PM)
laugh.gif so something really fishy going on... noticed all the cybertroopers who normally post about fuel prices also quite silent since the change to weekly pricing... maybe coz couldn't justify these price increases?

Anyway - 14/4 no MOGAS95 trade coz Good Friday holiday in Singapore
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ya..even i delete 14/4 still show same hahaha
djhenry91
post Apr 22 2017, 09:06 PM

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QUOTE(xcoselete @ Apr 22 2017, 06:27 AM)
How accurate is the RON95 data from CME website?
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i can say 99% of coz is delayed..
why i say 99% because other 1% is this week petrol price is way different what TS and I calculate
djhenry91
post Apr 23 2017, 06:27 PM

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QUOTE(xcoselete @ Apr 23 2017, 03:11 PM)
Actually you can find MOGAS95 on the CME website
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he talkin about tht mogas95 from CME website no tell euro5 euro4

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