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 Malaysian Estimated Weekly RON95/RON97 Price, RON95 ◆, RON97 ◆ on 7/3 (Estimation)

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Lone Wolf X
post Apr 10 2020, 06:27 PM

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As per MOF media release they are still using the APM formula.

Unless there is some other new formula used.

QUOTE(dinozilla @ Apr 10 2020, 05:59 PM)
now its appears to me they operate like some kind of delayed price adjustment...to minimize impact
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Lone Wolf X
post Apr 16 2020, 11:43 AM

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It's crazy to see that petrol price is continuously lower than crude price. You don't see that often! That's how bad the market is right now.
Lone Wolf X
post Apr 17 2020, 09:42 AM

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Shell premium petrol is v-power racing only some station selling find out the nearest here https://www.shell.com.my/motorists/shell-st...on-locator.html


It's expensive because of the petrol additives added / secret sauce.

QUOTE(wild_card_my @ Apr 17 2020, 09:01 AM)
At shell, what is RON100 called? Im a bit confused. Want to try the RON100 but they have Vpower  (red color, not sure RACING variant or not) for RM2.60/L

If it isn't RON100 why is it so expensive compare to regular RON97?
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This post has been edited by Lone Wolf X: Apr 17 2020, 09:43 AM
Lone Wolf X
post Apr 17 2020, 05:14 PM

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No change in petrol price 😂
Lone Wolf X
post Apr 17 2020, 05:47 PM

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The Malaysian Government is unable to be transparent about petrol price setting.
Not being specific about the current government but this is a historical problem.
The only saving grace that I hope for that the government comes clean and set the tax taken currently as a carbon tax.
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Lone Wolf X
post Apr 18 2020, 09:24 AM

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Yup, this is correct. Colour is regulated by government to help differentiate the type of product (petrol or diesel).

QUOTE(jamespaul @ Apr 18 2020, 07:56 AM)
Additives does not give it color. Color is caused by dye. Dye is used to help visual differentiation
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Lone Wolf X
post May 1 2020, 05:43 PM

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Petrol 95 maintain at 1.25
Petrol 97 maintain at 1.55
Lone Wolf X
post Dec 3 2020, 07:49 AM

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Thanks for the update.
With more and more countries approves and successfully implement the vaccine for COVID there is only one way the price is moving 🆙

QUOTE(isr25 @ Dec 3 2020, 06:42 AM)
Calculation and table of estimated prices can be found at this link: https://goo.gl/cpYiBN

If calculating 26/11 to 2/12 cycle (Thursday to Wednesday - weekends are using Friday prices), the actual retail price for RON95 & RON97 should be RM1.65 and RM1.95 respectively (±1 sen).

If we follow the Automatic Pricing Mechanism and Sales Tax Act, the government is allowed to "tax" us higher by 60sen per litre for petrol products sold.

Normally, the government applied a hidden tax of approximately 8 sen. Thus, I estimate that RON95 and RON97 would increase by 6 sen from last week to RM1.73 and RM2.03 respectively (±1 sen).

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Lone Wolf X
post Jan 12 2021, 02:37 PM

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QUOTE(isr25 @ Jan 12 2021, 08:49 AM)
Just before the MCO, indication is that the fuel price will go up this Saturday by 8 sen (as of 11/1). For those that are not WFH / working in essential sectors, do fuel up before Saturday. https://goo.gl/cpYiBN
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This is early, have they changed the price cycle?
Lone Wolf X
post Feb 25 2021, 11:10 AM

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Logistics mainly from my view.

Fleet management, load volume and movement.
Better for the oilco books basically

QUOTE(Chrix @ Feb 25 2021, 10:47 AM)
What do you think is the reasoning behind the change of cut off day?
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Lone Wolf X
post Mar 11 2021, 05:23 PM

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Factual error.

The 5 refineries in Malaysia is able to meet the petrol demand in Malaysia and some importation of diesel product (petrol & diesel demand circa 2019). But some oil company in Malaysia decided to procure their product form Singapore.


QUOTE(lucifer_666 @ Mar 11 2021, 04:23 PM)
It's basic extrapolation which is by no means accurate.

But looking at the rate of consumption and the last estimated figure for available reserves, we can infer 3 scenarios.

-consumption grows linearly (simplistic but capture the trend to a limited extent)
-consumption growth remain stagnant as per last record (highly unlikely)
-use average consumption data throughout the period and calculate the reserve from there (not really good for anything, i guess)

These figures are always subject to change depending on the newly discovered reserve, or new data on energy consumption for the latest year. Our oil export is partly from our own reserves, and partly re-export from other countries. So we do actually touch our reserves.

And yes we do import refined oil. From Singapore, because the capacity to refine crude oil to finished product isn't enough for domestic consumption. At least RAPID completion helps a bit with that. But for good while in the last decade, a significant portion of refined petroleum product (gasoline and all) was imported from Singapore.

If you're curious on further info, maybe you can check out the United Nations COMTRADE statistics for data on export and import destinations & volume of our crude oil (HS Code 2709) as well as refined oil though (HS Code 2710)
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Lone Wolf X
post Mar 18 2021, 12:07 PM

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Well the government has been controlling the price of petrol since 1983.
I'm speculating that even tough the sale of RON97 is less than 10% of the total volume sale of petrol they are just to afraid that when the government let the oil companies dictate the sales price, it will eventually go up rather than down since it is a premium product (even tough the spread between 97 & 95 is marginal) + volume sale is miniscule (which they loose more money just to offer it to the market).

QUOTE(man @ Mar 18 2021, 11:57 AM)
I don't understand why government still need to control ron97 price.
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Lone Wolf X
post Oct 14 2021, 09:08 AM

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MOF should just deregulate RON97 price to let the market set it.
Not sure what's MOF purpose of controlling RON97 right now.

QUOTE(isr25 @ Oct 13 2021, 07:52 PM)
LOL! Finally after artificially controlling the price laugh.gif
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Lone Wolf X
post Nov 2 2021, 03:57 PM

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Wow, the government is subsidising RM1.00 per liter for RON95
Thanks gov!

QUOTE(isr25 @ Nov 2 2021, 03:41 PM)
Calculation and table of estimated prices can be found at this link: https://goo.gl/cpYiBN. No guarantees any of the estimates will be correct as the government has been heavily subsidizing the fuel price - even RON97! The good news is that RON95/Diesel has hit the ceiling and will continue on to be RM2.05 & RM2.15 respectively for the foreseeable future.

If calculating 26/10 to 1/11 cycle (Tuesday to Monday - weekends are using Friday prices), the actual retail price for RON95 & RON97 should be RM3.06 and RM3.36 respectively (±1 sen) - the subsidy amount of RON95 has finally reached more than RM1 per litre.

Thus, I estimate that RON97 would go up by 10 sen from last week to RM3.07 (±1 sen).

Note: RON95 will be capped at RM2.05/l & Diesel at RM2.15/l source

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Lone Wolf X
post Feb 10 2022, 08:38 AM

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RON97 can sell for RM5 per liter, it does not effect my pocket.

Also, keep up.the good.work, much appreciated. 👍
Lone Wolf X
post Feb 12 2022, 06:21 AM

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Probably not, but still heavily subsidised like right now.
QUOTE(MGM @ Feb 11 2022, 08:53 PM)
If RON97 is RM5, u think govt will keep RON95 or diesel at current prices?
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Lone Wolf X
post Mar 2 2022, 05:58 PM

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RON97 is at RM3.45 which is higher than what is calculated at RM3.38. I hope the gov have fully reflected the actual market price and stop paying subsidies for this product.

In other news Petronas announced their annual report yesterday.

QUOTE(isr25 @ Mar 2 2022, 09:10 AM)
Calculation and table of estimated prices can be found at this link: https://goo.gl/cpYiBN. No guarantees any of the estimates will be correct as the government has been subsidizing the fuel price - even RON97! The good news is that RON95/Diesel has hit the ceiling and will continue on to be RM2.05 & RM2.15 respectively for the foreseeable future.

If calculating 22/2 to 28/2 cycle (Tuesday to Monday - weekends are using Friday prices), the actual retail price for RON95 & RON97 should be RM3.41 and RM3.71 respectively (±1 sen).

Thus, I estimate that RON97 would go up by 9 sen from last week to RM3.38 (±1 sen).

Note: RON95 will be capped at RM2.05/l & Diesel at RM2.15/l source

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Lone Wolf X
post Mar 3 2022, 08:46 AM

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To the moon! 🚀

QUOTE(isr25 @ Mar 3 2022, 08:21 AM)
One word: DIE

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Lone Wolf X
post Mar 8 2022, 04:50 PM

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Lone Wolf X
post Mar 28 2022, 09:22 AM

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Will we see another round of blockbuster oil prices after the attack on Saudi Aramco oil refinary on friday?

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