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 Multiple Signs of Malaysia Property Bubble V20

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zephyrus9999
post Oct 30 2017, 10:34 AM

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The term 'bubble burst' is colloquial. It happens only on very liquid stuffs like bitcoin, stocks, gold, possibly forex, etc that people transact over the counter so easily conveniently. I can buy and sell 10 times per day. But can u buy and sell prop 10 times a day?

Having that said, if one sees a large sell volume on stock, majority will follow and that's a crash esp on economy decline. Owners sell off immediately to cut loss. Cant do it immediately for prop, the moving-average is just too.... conservative.

Generally, whatever goes through a bubble trending cycle will follow through a S shaped curve, follow by a decline. But zoom long out a longer time frame chart, it still could be in uptrend, we dunno
zephyrus9999
post Jun 22 2018, 09:05 PM

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My peer: claimed his prop bought 2 yrs ago raised by 100k. Say from mouth sounds nice 100k. Then I slowly deduct all his ASSOCIATED costs from both buying and selling and maintaining plus contra 4% fd rate. End up become 30-40k profit subjected to if his transacted match the asking. Every month as we speak, bank takes a chunk on interest payment from reducing balance type of loan eating the profit away.

His case considered lucky have some profit as location good. I believe majority are burning through their pocket to the banks. If ppl are not ignorant and calculate properly, they make realised loss
zephyrus9999
post Jun 22 2018, 10:40 PM

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QUOTE(scorptim @ Jun 22 2018, 10:09 PM)
Did he already sell his prop or his so called 100k gains is just Imaginary based on “market price” quoted by agent?
If prices drops low enough sure won’t take long to consume the existing supply.

Yes it’s unrealistic to expect drop to pre 2009 but quite a few people are expecting that still, being unrealistic. Haha
*
Of course imaginary, end up nego nego become 50 if despo kek
zephyrus9999
post Jun 28 2018, 02:25 PM

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is this situation rather similar to 2008 crisis? property price gets bloated, each time exchange hands value increases by tens/hundred thousands. bank lending more and more whilst citizens debt ratio increases. combined with current global uncertainties chances of ppl defaulting loans growing higher and lead to eventual banks bleeding cash.
zephyrus9999
post Aug 28 2018, 11:44 PM

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A simple gauge to see if profitable is divide rental (minus all bullshit) with property value. Then add with annualised capital gain based on past data. If its say at <7%, then its shit considering ur loan %. But dunno why some still chiong. If put in REIT also better and liquid

 

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