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 Multiple Signs of Malaysia Property Bubble V20

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koja6049
post Jun 18 2018, 12:13 PM

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QUOTE(duHwaN @ Jun 12 2018, 01:42 PM)
Why would a 10-year cycle be the cause of the upcoming crash, and not some underlying fundamental factors? Just curious about your thoughts on it...
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Because the 10-year cycle is the result of economic debt cycle fundamentals. Ray Dalio made a very succinct 30mins youtube video on this
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PHe0bXAIuk0
koja6049
post Sep 21 2018, 01:34 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Sep 21 2018, 10:21 AM)
Although almost everyone in r.e advocate "location, location, location" but  few could agree where are these preferred "location, location, location".
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don't need to agree, as the property value will speak for itself.

World trends:

1. close to amenities, like MRT, malls, financial centres, any services to make life easier
2. close to education centres, like universities, colleges, international schools. Rich student's parents can rent or even buy for their kids.
3. close to industrial areas, prefably high tech industries. High tech workers can afford high rents or even buy at high prices.
4. Close to touristy areas, like beaches, mountains, etc. Airbnb is inflating property prices, and some property is snapped by by foreigners as second homes.
koja6049
post Sep 21 2018, 04:52 PM

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QUOTE(wild_card_my @ Sep 21 2018, 02:28 PM)
you are talking about  "nodes". These are known, but there are arguments about which nodes are important. Otherwise people can blindly follow these nodes and make a bank, alas the downtrun has shown that the nodes are just one piece of the puzzle.

"Location x3" is just a mantra. Area study has still to be made.
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Don't think there's anything to argue, the property price that has been transacted itself is the best argument. The nodes you mention are all the features that make up the property value.

Which node is or is not important changes with the circumstances, it's very hard to predict. Actually, I would just call it the expectation price. Is it over expectations? Or under-expectations? For example, Seremban 2 property has been hot for these years due to the expectation of the HSR, but now that the project is left hanging, is the price overvalued or undervalued? Can the price sustain down the years is anyone's guess.
koja6049
post Dec 30 2018, 11:17 PM

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QUOTE(AskarPerang @ Dec 30 2018, 11:05 PM)
Now this is real award. Data taken from real auction units in 2018.
Not like those developer own pay own promote award.

Congrats to all winner!  thumbsup.gif

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what's your view on the recently completed Trinity Aquata? will have lelong soon? biggrin.gif
koja6049
post Feb 19 2019, 02:10 PM

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QUOTE(ManutdGiggs @ Feb 19 2019, 02:05 PM)
Take note of the asset class 👌
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Property developers made a wrong judgment, they think many people in the middle class. Turns out alot are actually B40 people and cannot afford 300k housing also biggrin.gif
koja6049
post Feb 19 2019, 04:28 PM

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QUOTE(ManutdGiggs @ Feb 19 2019, 03:53 PM)
But some extremists ll use tis specific overstock asset class to cheat market with the numbers regardless valid or invalid.

The truth is one should b neutral n highlight the shortage of certain assets too.

Anw v must agree to disagreement.
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One of the weirdest asset class is the soho unit. These units priced between 100k - 200k. Most Malaysians will not buy these units for their residential purpose because of their size (and doesn't make sense if buy solely for an office). Many foreigners wanted to buy (especially single expatriates or those who come without family) but are shut out due to the RM 1 mil requirement. Ends up most are Malaysian investors buying for AirBNB, but nowadays such businesses are tanking also. That's why many of the soho units are left unsold.

I'm not sure whether they also lump this asset class into the below 500k list, but sure it will distort the overall picture. The govt must come up with more sensible rules like relaxing the quantum requirement for foreigners. At least for those foreigners working and staying in Malaysia, permit them to buy one residential unit without the RM 1 mil requirement.
koja6049
post Feb 15 2020, 01:23 AM

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those studio units overhang can only be solved by opening sales to foreigners. If you think about it, which malaysian, who usually have a family, would buy a studio? usually those who buy are using it as rental/airbnb investment only smile.gif
koja6049
post Jun 6 2020, 08:03 PM

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QUOTE(mroys@lyn @ Jun 6 2020, 08:02 PM)
takda sos boss, sendiri ambil punya.
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which development showroom?
koja6049
post Jun 6 2020, 08:10 PM

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QUOTE(mroys@lyn @ Jun 6 2020, 08:09 PM)
can't disclose. i was told police visited the showroom later. some visitors made reports.
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huh? something big happened there?

 

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