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 Multiple Signs of Malaysia Property Bubble V20

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MAGAMan-X
post May 23 2019, 02:00 PM

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QUOTE(wild_card_my @ May 23 2019, 01:53 PM)
I reckon it is also due to lack of financial/investment education. Not enough exposure to other investment vehicles, and mistakenly taught that "property never lose value".

Properties can lose value, as we all know. What they actually say is that "properties are tangible, it is real". But just because something is real and tangible doesn't mean that it has value. I have a rock here that is real and tangible, does that mean it has value to you? 

People actually went bankrupt for listening to those with vested interest in the properties - be it the salesman, bankers, developers, fellow investors etc.
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Well let's take a look at reality here. Bankers and salesmen and developers don't care about educating you, they only want to make a fat profit, and property buyers give them their supply of fat profits. Each time a property changes hands, we see at least 10-15% of the property value goes into administrative costs, and another 100% in interest payment over the next 20 years.

If it's me also I want to keep you dumb la.
MAGAMan-X
post May 23 2019, 02:14 PM

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QUOTE(wild_card_my @ May 23 2019, 02:05 PM)
not me. I am a mortgage broker and I would be among the first to let younglings know that they should not sign on the dotted line unless they have done their researches.

Too many foolish young people have signed themselves into bankruptcy without fully understanding the contents of the agreements.

I find it funny, these people would do tremendous research when buying their phones, cars, wedding, etc. But when it comes to properties, they sign away.
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Not me. You may have given the kids good advice and they might not have signed with you, but they're going to the next broker who will tell them things like "I'm sure your salary will increase over time so your burden will lighten, and your asset will appreciate". So I'd rather have them sign with me, I make my profit, and then turn around and buy back their foreclosed homes when they default.

Not like I bankrupted them pon, they should've done their homework. Sure it might sound ruthless and cutthroat, but educating people to be smart in buying homes is not my job if it doesn't help my sales figure. (Even though I'm not in mortgage sales)
MAGAMan-X
post May 25 2019, 10:26 AM

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QUOTE(empyreal @ May 25 2019, 09:13 AM)
If that were true, there wouldnt be any such thing as lending to good creditors because theyd lend to anyone.

Thing is, banks really dont want to hold properties.

Its not their core business, it locks up their capital, and the times when they get lots of foreclosed property on their hands is usually the worst time to selloff those properties.
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They only care that you can repay the loan. Banks don't want to hold property, but they will have to if it means taking back their capital. Banks will do anything to make a profit, they were not in investment business but now they have investment banking, they were not in insurance business, but now they have bank assurance.

If this month everyone defaults on their loan payment, the next month there will be a property management arm formed in the banks.
MAGAMan-X
post May 25 2019, 11:58 AM

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QUOTE(empyreal @ May 25 2019, 11:48 AM)
Its very costly for a bank to handle property, not least because it ties up manpower. No bank wants to spend manhours on a low-cost house thats worth 100k or less. Thats not even including the legal hassle of eviction.

Thats why they just auction them - even the auctioneers are not bank employees.

Foreclosing is really a last option.
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Agreed, that's why banks will always make defaulting the last option for mortgage holders too. We should not lose sight, however, as to the mechanics of the economy, ie consumers have a lot of power if they know what to do.
MAGAMan-X
post May 25 2019, 04:03 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 25 2019, 12:30 PM)
there are a number of ways for borrowers to delay but not prevent foreclosure. at the end and most importantly, borrower must be able to make loan repayment.
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What do you think will happen if ALL borrowers refuse to repay?
MAGAMan-X
post May 25 2019, 04:31 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 25 2019, 04:23 PM)
Couldn't happen.
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"Couldn't happen"? Look at the sub-prime crisis, and that's not even all borrowers.

Anyway, since you are unable to participate in the thought exercise, I will tell you, if all borrowers default on their mortgage, absolutely nothing will happen to the borrowers, the banks on the other hand, will be shitting in their pants begging for govt intervention. People will make a bank run, banks will become insolvent, real estate agents will lose their jobs, the economy will buckle, and believe it or not, after 3-5 years, you will see much more stable property market and property market, after developers, agents and banks learn that it is stupid to treat real estate properties as "an investment".
MAGAMan-X
post May 26 2019, 12:14 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 25 2019, 07:59 PM)
Residential constitutes at most 25% of bank loan portfolio. Of which, less than 1/2 are property vped in last 10 years. Even 1/3 of these in default will not cause bank to go under. However, banks will be reluctant to take in more residential loan until situation improve.
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Of course it will go under. No organization can survive losing 1/3 of their asset, if it's a public listed bank, they're going to lose more than 1/3, way more.
MAGAMan-X
post Dec 20 2019, 10:46 AM

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QUOTE(SapuraM @ Dec 8 2019, 01:04 AM)
Malaysia land is pretty limited, much more most satellite cities, biggest mall & jobs opportunity are concentrate in Klang Valley, Penang, Johor which attracted whole malaysia to stay, work & enjoy here, thus these places, price would certainly grow-high and not possible to drop, with tremendous amount of new-migrants every year!

How many, would want to stay, work & enjoy in Kelantan or Terrengganu?
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Malaysia land is limited? You never been outside of your shell is it?
MAGAMan-X
post Feb 26 2020, 12:09 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Feb 26 2020, 11:59 AM)

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As we now know, m'sian property market never takes a nosedive, rather, it's a gradual downtrend because holding power is quite strong, plus there is always upward pressure from property scums agents and sellers, downward pressure is from buyers and owners going bankrupt. The latter is rarely stronger than the former, hence you see a fast uptrend blow slow downtrend. Banks just go whichever way the wind carries them. As long as the buyers stop buying, we can expect the downtrend to continue.
MAGAMan-X
post Feb 26 2020, 02:46 PM

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QUOTE(Liamness @ Feb 26 2020, 12:19 PM)
the age old question of whether to rent vs buy needs to be addressed.. if it is cheaper to rent, then the answer is don't buy. and vice versa..
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Generally true, it also depends on how much cheaper it is to rent. If it's only 20-30% cheaper, I'd say probably not worth it. But I've heard stories where people manage to rent out their units for higher than installment payments, which I find hilarious.
MAGAMan-X
post Feb 26 2020, 02:50 PM

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QUOTE(Liamness @ Feb 26 2020, 02:49 PM)
what's hilarious about that? I'm one of those people.. lol.

I figured a place where rental was high and property prices in 2016, was relatively low..

so in the end, I bought and over-time, the rental become more than my repayments. And the property price also increased.

That's how you play the real estate game. haha..
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I still find it funny. Why would someone pay more for rent than they would for installment?
MAGAMan-X
post Feb 26 2020, 02:59 PM

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QUOTE(Liamness @ Feb 26 2020, 02:53 PM)
They cant afford the downpayment for a loan?

Short term rental?

Renting out single rooms, but when combine the entire rental is more than instalment..
etc.

many reasons why somebody willing to pay more for rent than instalment.. lots of stupid and desperate people out there.
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Can't afford downpayment for loan is not an excuse really. Just rent someplace cheaper and save the delta until downpayment can be afforded.

Renting single room cannot compare with installment payment. Different dynamics (paying for whole house vs paying for room)

Short term rental is acceptable, but there aren't very many people looking for short term rental, i'd say owner might average out the same as normal rental.
MAGAMan-X
post Apr 25 2020, 04:47 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 25 2020, 04:42 PM)
What gomen or fed did so far is temporary relief not stimulus. Meaningful stimulus need multilateral concerted action and only possible if and after biden is sworn in.

If lockdown is economy deep freeze; when it thaw, there will be flooding. Spring flooding is more devastating than freezing cold winter.
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Memang pon. Stimulus is to turn negative into positive. This is just bailout, turning big negative into smaller negative. a foolish one some more.
MAGAMan-X
post Jun 18 2020, 10:29 AM

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QUOTE(malaysiathegreat @ Jun 10 2020, 01:46 PM)
Damm....hope the fella is ok. Money can earn back but life once gone is gone.
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Always be wary of people who tell you "properties are an investment". How can a bunch of brick and mortar appreciate in price? Just call it what it is, speculation. Those who tell you otherwise are ignorant or are liars.
MAGAMan-X
post Jun 18 2020, 09:35 PM

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QUOTE(etan26 @ Jun 18 2020, 02:45 PM)
My first house bought at RM68k, sold off at RM180k, second house bought at RM330k and off at RM740k.
So you called me a liar . . . . .lol.
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That's not the right logic. In that case, you might want to consider gambling in Genting an investment.

QUOTE(scorptim @ Jun 18 2020, 04:19 PM)
Properties are an investment, provided you buy it at the right location for the right price. Similar to any other investments.
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What you had just described is the definition of speculation. Investment is something where the value (not the price) of what you invested in increases. E.g. you buy shares in company, company performs well, it reflects on your share price. Bricks and mortar themselves not increase in price, because they do not gain value.
MAGAMan-X
post Jun 18 2020, 11:39 PM

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QUOTE(etan26 @ Jun 18 2020, 10:02 PM)
The land my boy is an investment.
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Depends on what you build on that land lah. Besides, if this logic pans out, why do apartment prices go up 100% also.

QUOTE(scorptim @ Jun 18 2020, 10:49 PM)
You must be dreaming if you think shares are not based on speculation. How can you guarantee 100% that the company shares you bought will perform well? It’s still based on speculation. Likewise for property you buy based on the development potential of the area. It’s the same thing, what increases is not the brick and mortar but the value of the location.
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You're partially right, share prices are also based on speculation in the secondary market. Ultimately, analysts will then judge whether they're over/under valued based on the fundamentals.
MAGAMan-X
post Jun 19 2020, 10:36 AM

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QUOTE(etan26 @ Jun 19 2020, 09:26 AM)
Now you are saying it . . . . .properties price do go up . . . rclxm9.gif
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Price goes up, value stays the same. In other words, you're overpaying, at some point, there will be a correction. Ie still speculation.
MAGAMan-X
post Jun 19 2020, 11:08 AM

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QUOTE(Syie9^_^ @ Jun 19 2020, 11:03 AM)
And the property gurus will say: your bank valuation will be higher laugh.gif do you want to buy another one? brows.gif  brows.gif
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Other people's money how they want to spend it is up to them, when banks loan more, I buy more bank shares only brows.gif

After all, managing my portfolio from my computer is much easier than dealing with tenants and agents and lawyers. puke.gif

 

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