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 Multiple Signs of Malaysia Property Bubble V20

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SUSLiamness
post Feb 26 2020, 12:19 PM

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QUOTE(MAGAMan-X @ Feb 26 2020, 12:09 PM)
As we now know, m'sian property market never takes a nosedive, rather, it's a gradual downtrend because holding power is quite strong, plus there is always upward pressure from property scums agents and sellers, downward pressure is from buyers and owners going bankrupt. The latter is rarely stronger than the former, hence you see a fast uptrend blow slow downtrend. Banks just go whichever way the wind carries them. As long as the buyers stop buying, we can expect the downtrend to continue.
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the age old question of whether to rent vs buy needs to be addressed.. if it is cheaper to rent, then the answer is don't buy. and vice versa..


SUSLiamness
post Feb 26 2020, 02:49 PM

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QUOTE(MAGAMan-X @ Feb 26 2020, 02:46 PM)
Generally true, it also depends on how much cheaper it is to rent. If it's only 20-30% cheaper, I'd say probably not worth it. But I've heard stories where people manage to rent out their units for higher than installment payments, which I find hilarious.
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what's hilarious about that? I'm one of those people.. lol.

I figured a place where rental was high and property prices in 2016, was relatively low..

so in the end, I bought and over-time, the rental become more than my repayments. And the property price also increased.

I'm now shopping around for a new mortgage, and lowering my monthly repayments further. So my net positive gain from rental is now 7%.. (rental income deduct tax + interest+ maintenance+ upkeep)

That's how you play the real estate game. haha..

This post has been edited by Liamness: Feb 26 2020, 02:51 PM
SUSLiamness
post Feb 26 2020, 02:53 PM

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QUOTE(MAGAMan-X @ Feb 26 2020, 02:50 PM)
I still find it funny. Why would someone pay more for rent than they would for installment?
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They cant afford the downpayment for a loan?

Short term rental?

Renting out single rooms, but when combine the entire rental is more than instalment..
etc.

many reasons why somebody willing to pay more for rent than instalment.. lots of stupid and desperate people out there.
SUSLiamness
post Feb 26 2020, 04:34 PM

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QUOTE(Vk21 @ Feb 26 2020, 03:44 PM)
Mind to share where was that?

Want to learn context on how to select such properties.
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quite easy la, search prop-guru & follow this rule:

https://www.pwlcapital.com/rent-or-own-your-home-5-rule/

I can show you one example la..

Ok take this prop in Johor Bahru:

https://www.propertyguru.com.my/property-li...x-chai-30618552

Rm300k, applying the 5% rule, it will be RM 1245 a month.

The rental is going for Rm1300-Rm1400.

https://www.propertyguru.com.my/property-fo...&newProject=all

Let's say you get RM1350/month in rent.

Overall, that will give you a 8.3% rental return or RM1250 a year net positive return.

IMO, this is a reasonably good property to invest in, as you have a good chance of a net positive cashflow from your rental..


I spent 40 mins to find this example.. You just got to keep searching in the parameters la.. Eventually, you will find an investment prop that meets your budget and requirements..

This post has been edited by Liamness: Feb 26 2020, 04:59 PM
SUSLiamness
post Jan 18 2021, 05:39 PM

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got people still think malaysian property in a bubble? hahaha..

We gone through pandemic, gone through stock market crash, gone through bitcoin crash,


2021 liao and property market still as stable as it has ever been.. Infact, prices have gone up. LOL.
SUSLiamness
post Jan 19 2021, 12:39 AM

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QUOTE(HereToLearn @ Jan 18 2021, 11:33 PM)
It is deflating. Price has been dropping since 2013. Expecting it to continue to deflate for few years until property developers stop developing. There are really too many units and too little demand
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show me where in Klang Valley, Penang Island or any areas in hot demand that property prices are deflating??



SUSLiamness
post Jan 19 2021, 10:09 AM

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QUOTE(HereToLearn @ Jan 19 2021, 08:56 AM)
Define hot demand.

Normal demand and supply - plenty, but maybe your area is really hot demand until you cant see any
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hot demand = sold within a month of listing.

I live in taman desa, and property overhang in this area is close to zero. Especially landed prop.
SUSLiamness
post Feb 8 2021, 03:33 PM

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QUOTE(special @ Feb 8 2021, 03:06 PM)
sounds like prices has gone up, but in my opinion is only asking Price listed on property portal that has gone up or remain same.
but actual transaction or real transaction is little to none.
Is easy to buy not easy to sell because your competition is not only from new project, lelong units many, your same neighbour list lower price and also surrounding many want to let go.

so you can say price went up, but no take up consider as profit?
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i will say that property is one of the most stable form of investments.

not so easy to dispose of and the bank will normally give troubled loans alot of lee way. It only when really worthless junk asset then only they will run into trouble. But overall, the property market will remain stable as long as people need to live and work in KL.
SUSLiamness
post Feb 18 2021, 09:06 PM

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QUOTE(prody @ Feb 18 2021, 08:10 PM)
Yeah, there is a bubble here.

You can compare property prices here to more developed countries where the income is much higher.

You can also compare price-to-rent ratio here and there.

Then you will know that property is very overpriced currently.
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No it's not..

A standard middle wage income in KL is at least 8k-12k a month.


rent in KL is cheap.




Property prices are hovering around RM 800k - 1.2mil


this is okay still.

Compare this to say Australia, Melbourne/Sydney. Aussie average income is roughly 7-10k aud a month. Average property price in CBD is around 950-1.5mil aud for a small townhouse.

But taxes in Australia is much higher. So you have to factor that in your decision.

Property price in Malaysia is still 5x to 7x of your annual income.

Comparable to other countries, where property can easily reach 10x - 20x of your annual income.

Malaysia property prices is still reasonable.

This post has been edited by Liamness: Feb 18 2021, 09:06 PM
SUSLiamness
post Feb 21 2021, 01:39 PM

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QUOTE(prody @ Feb 21 2021, 10:49 AM)
Your post shows an example of Kuala Lumpur, but concludes property prices in Malaysia are cheap.
I will go with it and discuss prices in KL vs other big cities instead of discussing country vs country.

I see you picked some numbers from here and there and then compared it to one of the most expensive cities for property in the world, to somehow come to the conclusion that prices in Malaysia are still reasonable.

You actually don’t need to pick random numbers and just go to a site like numbeo.com
You can see for yourself KL property prices are one of the highest compared to income.
Mortgage as percentage of income is an easy to understand indicator for comparison.
KL: 77.73%
Sydney: 59.85%
Brussels: 36.98%
Houston: 15.70%

KL
Sydney
Brussels
Houston

I do agree with you that rent prices are still ok here. But that’s not what I stated in my first post. I stated property pries are high compared to income. And I stated price to rent ratios are high. You can compare price to rent ratios also on the same site.

It is a good time to rent and a good time to sell, but not a good time to buy.
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https://www.globalpropertyguide.com/Asia/Ma...re-meter-prices

Your figures are out.. check out the above link.

KL is even cheaper than Bangkok.
SUSLiamness
post Feb 21 2021, 01:42 PM

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QUOTE(focusrite @ Feb 21 2021, 10:58 AM)
what planet do you live on
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I live in KL. Everyone I know age 26-60 makes between 8k to 20k.
SUSLiamness
post Feb 21 2021, 02:33 PM

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QUOTE(Bootout22 @ Feb 21 2021, 02:25 PM)
your circle is mostly elites who drink starbucks and dine in expensive restaurants? if you visit mamak and eat normal food place like most people in KL the average income is rm2000 - rm8000
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Nope.. most are working professionals.

The elites are holding millions in the bank. They are on a different level altogether.

I know the type that can take a private yacht and go to Thailand for the weekend. Those types dont need to work.

Totally different from the group I mix with. Which are mostly small business owners or degree holders and working professionals. They all live a comfortable middle class life and all living in their own landed property.

It's not hard.
SUSLiamness
post Feb 21 2021, 02:37 PM

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QUOTE(focusrite @ Feb 21 2021, 02:19 PM)
That explains your delusion
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Just coz you are butthurt, not earning enough to afford a place in pj or kl doesnt mean others are doing as badly as you.

Infact, like I said, majority are pulling 8k-20k. Once you are a manager or senior executive level, its not that hard at all.

And if you can't even make 8k a month, something is wrong with you. Maybe you should do grab part time to supplement your income instead of crying on a online forum on a weekend.

You born poor, its not your fault. You die poor, is entirely your problem.


SUSLiamness
post Feb 21 2021, 02:55 PM

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QUOTE(focusrite @ Feb 21 2021, 02:41 PM)
You mean majority workers are managers and senior executives?

No wonder you are a trumptard
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There's enough of this level of income earners living in KL to support the market.

Stop being a retard..

Msia property market is balanced around the income and the nature of your job.

Meanwhile, in places like Australia, even those stocking shelves at supermarket are buying a 700k aud house in Melbourne or Sydney. That isnt sustainable.
SUSLiamness
post Feb 21 2021, 10:57 PM

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QUOTE(MalaysiaCEO @ Feb 21 2021, 03:11 PM)
If you say property price is reasonable and our malaysian mojor income is like 8k per month, then nobody need to rent house now already, am i right?
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Those from KL like me hardly rent place one la..

Either stay with parents then when save enough, go and invest in a unit. It's Not hard.
SUSLiamness
post Feb 22 2021, 11:39 AM

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QUOTE(ahkit123 @ Feb 22 2021, 10:57 AM)
Actually now is the time to get good value properties either new development or auctions market. Open your eyes.
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like that one la. When stock market crash, the negative people will see it as end of the world.

The optimistic people like us will see it as opportunity to purchase shares on discount and will pour more money and savings into buying up the market.

Only the perma bull crowd, many inside here, will say 'oh property is crashing, I dont want to buy.', when instead they should be saying, wow! discounted price, time to buy! whistling.gif
SUSLiamness
post Feb 22 2021, 11:50 AM

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QUOTE(prody @ Feb 22 2021, 08:52 AM)
Not sure if you are trolling or serious. It will be good for you to really read through people's advice when they give it to you, as opposed to trying to argue your way out of it.
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if you don't think you can earn even 8k ringgit in KL is not achievable, then that is your problem, not mine. tongue.gif

I already said you can supplement your income by doing outside job from your usual full-time job. So easy and straight-forward.. But noo, you want to post on a forum about how sad your lives are that you can't even afford a property in KL..

I have lived in SG, Aus, Canada and Malaysia. I can tell you for a fact that buying your own house in Malaysia is by far and away, the easiest to accomplish.

Try buying a property in Toronto, where the Chinese and HK citizen have been ramping up prices there for half a century. Same thing in Australia now. You haven't seen a bubble until you go to Australia and see for yourself what a property bubble looks like.

As for SG? sure, public housing is affordable. But people in SG are restricted in their property ownership, choices and what they can or can't do with their HDB flat. Not to mention, nobody in SG knows what is going to happen after their 99 year property expires. Government can claim it back, can demolish it, or renew the lease. Nobody knows and that affects their prices as the age comes closer to expiration.

Malaysia is still a hidden gem of property ownership. And alot of foreigners are also attracted by the property here. In your unlikely scenario that the local KL market can't support ownership of property prices, then the foreigners certainly can. You can cry until the cows come home, but wishing a demise on property prices in Malaysia, especially in KL where landed prop is hard to come by, is an unlikely scenario. Certainly not within our lifetime. If there is a price drop, I will buy some more units. But I don't even see the prices dropping. It will remain stable for the next few years, and there will be 2-4% appreciation in the prices.

This post has been edited by Liamness: Feb 22 2021, 11:54 AM

 

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