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 Multiple Signs of Malaysia Property Bubble V20

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AskarPerang
post Feb 16 2018, 02:22 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Feb 14 2018, 11:24 PM)
Houses in Malaysia unaffordable: Bank Negara
Published: Today 5:53 pm    Modified: Today 5:59 pm

Malaysia faces a shortage of affordable houses for the masses, Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) warned in a report that also disclosed data showing houses in the country were ”seriously unaffordable" in 2016 by international standards.

The central bank outlined five strategies to overcome the issue, including centralising affordable housing initiatives and setting up an integrated housing database and an applicant registry for planning and allocating affordable housing.

It also suggested reducing the cost barrier to affordable housing, rehabilitating household balance sheets by enhancing financial literacy and improving the rental market by strengthening the legal framework.

"The housing affordability issue is largely due to the supply-demand mismatch and slower income growth,” the central bank said.

BNM estimated the maximum affordable house price in the country to be RM282,000 based on the housing cost burden approach.

"However, actual median house price was RM313,000 (in 2016), beyond the means of many households, where the median national household income was only RM5,228," it said in its quarterly bulletin released today.

The bank reiterated that undersupply of affordable houses remained an issue.

It outlined three factors contributing to housing unaffordability in Malaysia: mismatch between supply and demand for housing, new launches skewed towards the unaffordable range, and growth in house prices outpacing that of household income.

“Since 2012, new housing supply has consistently fallen short of the increase in demand by households,” BNM said.

During the year up to the first quarter of 2017, only 24 percent of new launches were priced RM250,000 or less, a range that 35 percent of Malaysian households could afford.

The bulletin also revealed that from 2007 to 2016, house prices grew 9.8 percent while household income only increased 8.3 percent.

Structural, cyclical factors

The mismatch was most acute from 2012 to 2014, when the growth in house prices (26.5 percent) was more than double the growth in income levels (12.4 percent).

As a result of the supply-demand mismatch, BNM said, the level of total unsold residential properties in Malaysia stood at a decade-high of 146,497 units as at the second quarter (2Q) of 2017, an increase from 130,690 units in the preceding quarter.

In 2Q 2017, almost 82 percent of unsold units were priced above RM250,000.

The bank also noted that financing continued to be available for purchases of houses for eligible borrowers, with more than 70 percent of housing loans accorded to first-time buyers and close to two-thirds of new housing loans channelled to the purchase of houses costing below RM500,000.

On the supply side, structural and cyclical factors in the housing market in Malaysia have resulted in a failure of the market to provide an adequate supply of affordable housing for the masses while on the demand side, growth in household income has not kept up with the rise in house prices.

“Together with a low state of financial literacy among the majority of Malaysian households and a cultural preference towards home ownership instead of renting, these have contributed to the high demand for house purchases,” it added. - Bernama

Read more at https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/412299#YgM49g23i6ipmLGB.99
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250k is the average? shocking.gif

Only Aset Kayamas RUMAHWIP fits that amount and possible selected PPA1M unit types.
All other new launch is not affordable if according to the written report.
AskarPerang
post Feb 17 2018, 02:25 PM

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QUOTE(xtylish @ Feb 17 2018, 01:46 AM)
Any advice for first time buyer? Working in sg. Not going to stay inside. Best if can rent out.
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rumahwip rumah selangorku prima

AskarPerang
post Feb 23 2018, 04:40 PM

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Auction case:


M-City @ Jalan Ampang, KL

1653sf 3+1rooms 4baths High floor, Freehold.
Market Value RM1.55mil.
Reserve price: RM915K
SOLD single bidder.


AskarPerang
post Feb 24 2018, 12:17 AM

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QUOTE(Adri Wing @ Feb 23 2018, 05:46 PM)
Sorry leh .... I bought my Mt Kiara unit at 570K .. 1300 sqft.

waiting
Dato Joey Yap said 4 more years of uncertain property market leh.
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Mont Kiara is big.
Here also Mont Kiara. But we all know why price at this location remain so low:

user posted image
AskarPerang
post Feb 27 2018, 08:30 PM

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Now you can condo unit at half price in the auction market.
*Only in Cyberjaya*

1. Lelong!! A-27-6, 27th Floor, Menara A, The ARC, Persiaran Bistari, Cyber 11, 63000 Cyberjaya
New reserve price 🔥🔥RM 383,940🔥🔥
⚠️1st auction RM 880,000⚠️
Penthouse unit 1915sqft freehold
Auction: Mac 18

2. Lelong!! C1602, Mutiara Ville
New reserve price 🔥🔥RM 293,400🔥🔥
⚠️1st auction RM 550k⚠️
Freehold 1180sqft
Auction: Mac 18



AskarPerang
post Mar 12 2018, 10:49 PM

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M City lelong units. Interesting value buy units available in the lelong market now. Launching price at 1k psf. See the current price now:

user posted image

1. Unit number: 3-18-08
533sf Studio 1baths. nice number, Freehold.
New reserve price: 🔥🔥RM 364,500🔥🔥
Auction date: 22 Mac 18

Layout:
» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


2. Unit number: 2-11-11, M-City

674sf 1rooms 1baths, Freehold.
New reserve price: 🔥🔥RM 395,640🔥🔥
Auction Date : 23 Mac 18

Layout:
» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «

AskarPerang
post Mar 14 2018, 03:45 PM

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Once again no taker.

B-2-3A, Vision Residence @ Puchong South - Cyberjaya
Size: 2485sqft
Date: 28 Mac 18

1st auction Rm1,000,000
2nd auction Rm900,000
3rd auction Rm810,000
4th auction Rm729,000
5th auction Rm657,000
6th auction Rm592,000
7th auction Rm533,000
8th auction Rm480,000
9th auction Rm432,000 --> current reserve price

Anyone taking?
AskarPerang
post Apr 5 2018, 02:09 PM

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S&P price of Mutiara Ville, Cyberjaya unit bought in year 2014.
Units now sold only at below 300k in the lelong market. Not just 1 or 2 units. Handful of units in lelong.
Anyone still saying property price sure confirm increase one, just show this example.

user posted image
AskarPerang
post Apr 7 2018, 03:48 PM

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Another unit sold today at below 300k. 1000sqft Mutiara Ville condo. Here's the winner. Only single bidder. Wow. Nobody else interested even at below 300k. Check my previous posting to see the S&P pricing of such unit.

user posted image


AskarPerang
post Apr 10 2018, 02:16 PM

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QUOTE(AskarPerang @ Mar 14 2018, 03:43 PM)
Once again no taker.

B-2-3A, Vision Residence @ Puchong South - Cyberjaya
Size: 2485sqft
Date: 28 Mac 18

1st auction Rm1,000,000
2nd auction Rm900,000
3rd auction Rm810,000
4th auction Rm729,000
5th auction Rm657,000
6th auction Rm592,000
7th auction Rm533,000
8th auction Rm480,000
9th auction Rm432,000 --> current reserve price

Anyone taking?
*
No taker again.

NEW PRICE: 🔥🔥 RM 389,000 🔥🔥

❌ Bottom of the Bottom Undetermined ❌

Size: 2485sqft
Date: 27-April-2018

1st auction Rm1,000,000
2nd auction Rm900,000
3rd auction Rm810,000
4th auction Rm729,000
5th auction Rm657,000
6th auction Rm592,000
7th auction Rm533,000
8th auction Rm480000
9th auction Rm432000
10th auction Rm389000---> Latest

RM156 per sqft only for a new property. Where to find?
AskarPerang
post Apr 12 2018, 11:33 PM

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Now compare to last time there is a BIG different.

1. The introduction of all these affordable housing scheme: RUMAHWIP, Rumah Selangorku, PR1MA, PPA1M. If the addition of these affordable housing projects keep on being added one year after another. Next time, it will be harder to sell your non-affordable housing scheme investment. This is because all the first home buyer will not buy from you anymore (better buy from the government right?). You lost a big chunk of first home buyer. So you gonna sell your house to who? And once the demand is low, automatic property price will not increase.

2. Rental market today. A quick search in mudah.my can see that everyone is happily renting out these affordable housing project. For example they bought at 300k and renting out at RM1500. You bought at 400k-500k and to remain competition, you are "force" to rent out at low price to fight with these rental.

3. 5 years from now for PR1MA. 10 years from now for other affordable housing scheme. They are free to sell. No restriction anymore. Once again market gonna be suppress. Their entry price is low, they can afford to sell cheaply. For example, they bought at 300k and sell at 450k after 10 years. You bought similar property next door at 450k today, and after 10 years where do you expect the price to be?
AskarPerang
post Apr 13 2018, 03:58 PM

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QUOTE(New Klang @ Apr 13 2018, 08:00 AM)
There are not enough houses for the mass population and government is doing the best to meet with the high demand.

When some of these dwellers improve their status they would go look for more luxurious houses.

All are positive.
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QUOTE(TOMEI-R @ Apr 13 2018, 09:16 AM)
Good initiative by the government but Rm300k is still beyond reach to many.
Couldnt diagree with you on this but what looks like may not be true in real life.
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Yes you are right. The government should build more PPR and low cost flats instead of those 300k apartment with condo facilities.
Or maybe they assume people want to live a better live staying in condo instead of flat.
End up it is still unaffordable for majority of low income earners.
AskarPerang
post Apr 13 2018, 05:01 PM

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QUOTE(rads78 @ Apr 13 2018, 04:57 PM)
Think it doesnt matter if government build PPR with condo facilities or not, knowing how its going to be treated by the tenants, i dont think it will have much impacts to the housing here in Malaysia with the booming of low cost flats and PPR
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Currently there is no PPR with security, not to say condo facilities.

Those 300k rumahwip is a condo standard. Different segment compare to low cost flats.
It wont affect high end luxury property pricing.
It wont affect current low cost flats pricing.
It WILL affect mass market 400k-600k condo price, definitely.
AskarPerang
post Apr 17 2018, 10:33 PM

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QUOTE(MisterTan @ Apr 17 2018, 10:27 PM)
You are right, i have one affordable condo rm400k and ppl are offering me 550k for it
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Name us the name of the property so that all of us will know the story. Thanks.

400k condo bought in year 2013 will not appreciate to 550k today in 2018.
400k condo bought before year 2010, then yes, is possible.
AskarPerang
post Apr 27 2018, 01:46 PM

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QUOTE(AskarPerang @ Apr 10 2018, 02:15 PM)
No taker again.

NEW PRICE: 🔥🔥 RM 389,000 🔥🔥

❌ Bottom of the Bottom Undetermined ❌

Size: 2485sqft
Date: 27-April-2018

1st auction Rm1,000,000
2nd auction Rm900,000
3rd auction Rm810,000
4th auction Rm729,000
5th auction Rm657,000
6th auction Rm592,000
7th auction Rm533,000
8th auction Rm480000
9th auction Rm432000
10th auction Rm389000---> Latest

RM156 per sqft only for a new property. Where to find?
*
2 bidders today. Unit sold at 430k. Congrats.
More than 50% below subsale price, more than 60% below bank valuation. thumbsup.gif


AskarPerang
post Apr 27 2018, 01:58 PM

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QUOTE(killeralta @ Apr 27 2018, 06:25 AM)
Can ask where you find lelong units? Wanna buy an affordable unit for self stay
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QUOTE(FatalExe @ Apr 27 2018, 01:54 PM)
Where to find such units. I'm very interested to buy
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Just follow my posting. Is too broad. Too many auction units in the market now.
Need to know type of property, budget and area. Then only can zoom in.
AskarPerang
post Apr 27 2018, 02:07 PM

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QUOTE(hardreality @ Apr 27 2018, 02:03 PM)
I bet "market price" ain't coming down to anywhere near 500k pon.
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The owner can always hold for as long as he is able to. Bleeding like thousands per month even if able to rent out fully furnish condition monthly. Worse if leaving it vacant.

Read this post here:
https://forum.lowyat.net/index.php?showtopi...post&p=88314619
Ego will kill him. Clearly bought an overprice product and but still putting hope, waiting for the next property boom era to happen. Maybe 20-30 years later. Who knows.
AskarPerang
post Apr 27 2018, 04:22 PM

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QUOTE(WhitE LighteR @ Apr 27 2018, 03:29 PM)
I heard auction property financing by bank is not easy. And that buyer has only a small window to secure finance for it. Any opinion on that?
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Not true. Buying from auction is the same like buying from subsale. But for auction there is no turning back only. If you cannot obtain loan, then your 10% downpayment gone.

AskarPerang
post Apr 27 2018, 04:57 PM

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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ Apr 27 2018, 04:25 PM)
from my experience big name banks only allow loan amount upto reserve price only.
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all bank only allow loan amount 90% max of reserve price only. (not inclusive MRTA or legal fees).
AskarPerang
post Apr 27 2018, 05:01 PM

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QUOTE(wongsinyee @ Apr 27 2018, 04:58 PM)
like that auction is practically useless for people who are not cash rich
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yes. good thing wont come cheap. cheap thing wont come good.

the fundamental of investment is to compound whatever you have. not to leverage on borrowed money.

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