dollar index has been rising, majority of government debts(around the world are ARM) are denominated in USD, as long USD is the major reserve currency, USD will become the most attractive major currency to hold , especially US Treasury Bills, this would push the US dollar higher.
Previous Malaysian government has screwed up our finances, our ringgit has been recoupled with oil by Lim Guan Eng idiot, we have about 35% dependency on oil, thus with the drop of oil price: our currency has crashed.
I do not think Saudi Arabia or Russia is going to back down within the next 6 months until US shale oil producers fail to pay their debt and go bankrupt,oil price should drop to USD20-25/barrel.
Once oil price increases or GST is reintroduced(which is only possible with COVID-19 vaccine discovery ,proper cure or massive reduction in COVID-19 cases).
My assumption, COVID-19 cases will be curtailed in the next 3-4 months, so I am expecting drop of ringgit to USD around RM4.70-4.80 against 1 USD prior achieving year end target of around RM4.40 against 1 USD with year end target of USD35-40/barrel oil price and 6% GST.
RM only weakens against USD.... this is USD strength instead of RM weakness. RM strengthened against SgD, AUD and Pound. Still ok la...