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 FundSuperMart v16 (FSM) MY : Online UT Platform, UT DIY : Babystep to Investing :D

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wongmunkeong
post Nov 9 2016, 04:44 PM

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.. then as the mass consumer leaves the equity markets in a huff.. equity markets go up.. bwhahaah - i think some of us have seen these cycles up-close before tongue.gif
wongmunkeong
post Nov 9 2016, 07:20 PM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Nov 9 2016, 06:32 PM)
Many moons ago, I gave an example in this forum.

I offer to sell to you an Iphone 7s handphone today for RM5000. Will you buy it? You say no. Too expensive. 2 months down the line, I sell the same Iphone 7s handphone to you at a discounted price of RM2000. You ask "So cheap, what is the catch?". I say "No catch. Mr. Market is just feeling generous today". Will you buy it? Yes, of course.

So why can't we apply the same mentality to stocks or unit trusts? When the market is selling at a "discount", everyone is running away. But it is the same product. Nothing has changed except our perception.
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quite a few traders in a supposedly passive / semi-passive investing vehicles - knives, never average down, momentum, etc. laugh.gif
i wonder if the "cat" distribution UT trader + the "seeking alpha"/momentum fellow still at it boh.

don't lar bro, we need others that think differently - if everyone does it the same, harder to make $ leh sweat.gif

BTW, just to share:
MBB 0% balance transfer 12 mths +HSBC $15K 0%, useful for those intending to leverage a bit
sharing since i dug/calc/shared with my team members who were NOT prepared with "more dry ammo" for the Trump-ing of Clinton smile.gif

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Nov 9 2016, 07:26 PM
wongmunkeong
post Nov 9 2016, 08:06 PM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Nov 9 2016, 07:42 PM)
I support your view. Others sell, we buy.  thumbup.gif To draw an analogy, as one finance author said, "If everyone starts to invest in index funds, what will happen to the market? It will be too 'efficient'. Nobody will be selling and buying at different prices anymore".

Thanks for sharing about the 0% balance transfer. But I learned my lesson from the last few rounds of 'tsunamis' hitting the markets. Now I have spare ammo, either money in the OD account or my bond funds in excess capacity. Last time I invested 100% in equity funds, not much spare ammo.  sweat.gif

Those will titanium balls can load up on gold unit trusts now. Unfortunately I am not one of them.
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Yeah - thus, i do mutual funds/ETFs - markets are usually efficient
+ value investing in stocks - coz sometimes $100 bills really can be found on the street
+ juicing stocks with their derivatives - coz even if the stocks i own goes sideways forever, i still make more than "just dividends"
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wongmunkeong
post Nov 10 2016, 03:30 PM

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QUOTE(MUM @ Nov 10 2016, 03:24 PM)
was thinking....
during yesterday's drops of indexes.......
the FMs may also reacted by selling off some of the holdings......
so it could also be selling when the prices dropped.....

then in the next few days, or even today...he could buy them back.....at a higher prices......
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yup - coz FM's will not be fired/criticised if "ALL FMs also like that"

thus.. moving some off the FM's table to DIY myself tongue.gif
wongmunkeong
post Nov 10 2016, 03:38 PM

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QUOTE(MUM @ Nov 10 2016, 03:37 PM)
so due to the sell low and buy higher...thus incurred some losses to the fund.....
when the fund have losses, leading to the total value of holdings in the funds dropped (on top of the lost of stocks prices)...thus lower NAV....

so when i see a lower NAV..it may NOT mean "worth" to buy...?? confused.gif .
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yup - NAV is just the value them funds are holding
doesn't mean squat by themselves

several pages or versions ago, there were some ultra smart fellows trading / investing purely based on NAV and/or distribution ma, U missed that meh? Geniuses - no wonder so rich..

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Nov 10 2016, 03:40 PM
wongmunkeong
post Nov 10 2016, 04:00 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Nov 10 2016, 03:50 PM)
DO NOT DISTURB THE SAKAI HORNET'S NEST icon_question.gif
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aiyo - statement of fact only ma
dunno maths, daily NAV calc, distribution impact/non-impact & holistic view meh? laugh.gif
OR
U prefer the BS of Q where 1 or 0, but the answer is 1 AND 0... like typical marketing BS? heheh
at least if:
depending on x, y, z then answer = 1
else answer = 0
at least have meat to understand logic ma, instead of BS

btw - y so bo jiao ar? very unlike U leh Duterte Jr tongue.gif
or U setting me up for something? shocking.gif

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Nov 10 2016, 04:02 PM
wongmunkeong
post Nov 16 2016, 09:12 AM

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QUOTE(TakoC @ Nov 15 2016, 06:19 PM)
FSM just promoted emerging market in today email.

I wonder why.. EM all koyak still promote. Wrong time la
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hm.. personally i don't know whether the EM markets' price-to-value has dropped enough to be of value to me but it has fallen.

Just wondering why U think "koyak" = not worth buying?
"koyak" = fundamentally koyak or just the markets' prices down?
IF just "market price down" - bad to promote for value investing? brows.gif

General thoughts:
When Tesco / Giant promo things on SALE, U like?
VS
When FSM promo things on SALE, U no like?

OR
When Tesco / Giant promo things NOT on Sale (ie 10% to 20% above average 1 year's price), U no like?
VS
When FSM promo things NOT on Sale (ie 10% to 20% above average 1 year's market value), U like?
wongmunkeong
post Nov 16 2016, 08:44 PM

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QUOTE(AIYH @ Nov 16 2016, 06:05 PM)
direct debit instruction
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i thought it was Dumb Dumb Invest or Die Die Invest tongue.gif
on a more serious note - VCA if done methodologically, is statistically better though slightly more "work" (though most of it can be automated via Excel, then just need discipline to execute)
wongmunkeong
post Nov 18 2016, 03:26 PM

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QUOTE(kimyee73 @ Nov 18 2016, 02:23 PM)
Look like my understanding of VCA (Value Cost Averaging) is different from yours. Yours is more like timing the market. In VCA, we performs regular top-up much like DCA but unlike DCA (fixed amount top-up), top-up amount is the difference between fund value and target value (variable amount top-up).
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heheh - U structured your VCA from that book too eh?
hopefully "geniuses think alike", not "fools flock together" laugh.gif
wongmunkeong
post Nov 18 2016, 04:17 PM

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QUOTE(tkwfriend @ Nov 18 2016, 03:39 PM)
well a few of my associate has try your format before, unfortunately when the real opportunity come insufficient of  funds to make a max return. I maybe timing the market, but allocation is 70% into bond and 30% equity. as time come will be 90% bond and 10% equity.

I not sure my calculation is it right, to do value cost averaging and cost averaging is too costly. let say you buy at RM1 when you need to cost averaging if the price go to 0.50 that you need RM1.75 to be RM0.50 after averaging
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If kimyee73 structured his VCA like mine, based on this:
https://www.amazon.com/Value-Averaging-Stra...s/dp/0470049774

then no way "value cost averaging and cost averaging is too costly" coz it is only using one's planned allocated funds and/or abnormal profits (kept aside after selling)

nah - bogglehead's comparison of it vs DCA and stuff
https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Value_averaging

er.. U are in the retail financial industry right (based on your signature)?
haven't read / compared this approach before?
just curious - no offence intended ya - i just assume that professionals would be "wider read" notworthy.gif

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Nov 18 2016, 04:18 PM
wongmunkeong
post Nov 18 2016, 05:06 PM

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QUOTE(kimyee73 @ Nov 18 2016, 04:56 PM)
Actually no. I learned about VCA from

The Complete Idiot's Guide to Making Money with Mutual Funds  biggrin.gif
*
ah.. something new.
Can share the mechanics of it ar?
big pix la - is it like that Value Averaging book (big pix in the Bogglehead link)?
wongmunkeong
post Nov 18 2016, 05:28 PM

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QUOTE(river.sand @ Nov 18 2016, 05:17 PM)
Wong Sifu,
ayam noob about VCA. What is your personal experience with it? Does it work better than DCA.

It looks like VCA is based on the assumption that the price of certain security fluctuates within a range.

(A) This assumption is not correct for stocks. Some stocks' prices keep going up.

(B) For a UTF, fund manager indeed keeps the price within certain range by means of distribution. After distribution, price drops, so we invest more?
*
seefood = eatfood lar bro
no sifu, alway L for lembu learning tongue.gif

well, VCA or VA, has many variations in execution - thus even Kim Yee was asking how the other forumer is executing VA or VCA.

the way i execute is near exact as per the book AND the demo/example showed in the bogglehead link
thus:

a. Yup - same thoughts as U but for different reasons, i'm the type that looks how far down/lost first, instead of possible profits.
i only do it for ETFs and mutual funds (ie basket case things), not individual stocks
keep in mind Enron & WorldCom ya - VCA or VA until zero.. fun! bwhahaha

b. the NAV difference isn't much comparatively
AND if one does as per the book's structure, one takes the
VALUE TODAY (including the distribution reinvested - ie. don't lar look @NAV only, take the entire held value)
vs
VALUE WANTED/EXPECTED TODAY from 3 to 4 months back
then only figure out how much of the allocation to use & buy OR don't buy OR even take profit coz too crazy run up liao

btw - i do VCA only like per quarter or 4 months once. too lazy + the monthly execution isn't worth the time/effort since not much difference / impact.
trying very hard to be lazily effective tongue.gif

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Nov 18 2016, 05:30 PM
wongmunkeong
post Nov 24 2016, 09:39 AM

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QUOTE(adele123 @ Nov 24 2016, 09:14 AM)
It is really 0%. provided they don't pay late. the only catch i can see is 15months loan, they have the right to charge annual fee of the credit card after 12 months. but aside from that, there's really no catch.
No fortune teller can tell you whether investing it is better than putting it in FD. if i know, i won't be commenting here. biggrin.gif
*
i got it too - free munee wor tongue.gif
FYI to add onto the HSBC free 15K - on the annual fees, free for 1 year
+ free for next year if swiped 12 times (or was it 10 times..)

Then use the 15K to buy into lelong funds (hehe - have to tie in to mutual funds in FSM mar, else kena bamboo-ed by some wink.gif )
wongmunkeong
post Nov 29 2016, 12:42 PM

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personally - i'm waiting for kaka to hit the fan then deploy dry powder in MYR, IF it hits, eg. KLCI 1530-1550

right now dunno what to do with dry powder in MYR heheh - MYR vs USD & SGD is at > the 99th percentile AND near/at highest level of 10 years' daily exchange rate data doh.gif
http://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-myr-historical-data
http://www.investing.com/currencies/sgd-myr-historical-data

will NEVER bring back USD & SGD except for retirement spending IF retire here
prefer Chiang Mai or HCM - hor pinkspider hor tongue.gif

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Nov 29 2016, 12:44 PM
wongmunkeong
post Nov 30 2016, 06:27 AM

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QUOTE(kimyee73 @ Nov 29 2016, 09:34 PM)
I just read up to here. Here is a chart to accompany your post.
[attachmentid=8167012]
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Volatility explosion - sure was a fun ride, just like BrExit laugh.gif
wongmunkeong
post Dec 1 2016, 08:54 AM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Nov 30 2016, 07:53 PM)
Judging from the threads here, the active trading camp headed by Xuzen win hands down. The passive trading (buy and hold) camp headed by Pink Spider has very few supporters.

We are not really investing in unit trusts now, are we?
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The passive camp may be busy laughing to the bank or accumulating knocked down prices stuff / rebalancing while others are screaming bloody murder why this/that went down or FSM offering sales on knocked-down markets tongue.gif
wongmunkeong
post Dec 1 2016, 09:12 AM

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QUOTE(vincabby @ Dec 1 2016, 09:00 AM)
really? there were two camps?
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hehe bro-sis camps, not red-yellow camps

both understands the "long-term-ness" + asset allocation & sub-asset diversification

diverges on the execution/management "activeness" & "triggers/logic" only
wongmunkeong
post Dec 21 2016, 12:01 PM

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QUOTE(kevyeoh @ Dec 21 2016, 11:04 AM)
Yup... for normal UT... i know they still got lower sales charge... but looks like they really don't earn anything from PRS fund though....
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er.. U know that agents get a % of "total invested assets" from the fund house(s)?

if not - tadaa.. enlightenment - FSM isn't a charity house, as long as their customers hold the investments (especially - guess how long for PRS?), every year ada % + target bonuses + etc from fund houses. The service charges = 1 time off tapi these are like clockwork & passive income for agents

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