AUSSIE at DAILY EXTREME.
shorting atm
Forex Version 19, Foreign Exchange Market Discussion
Forex Version 19, Foreign Exchange Market Discussion
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Oct 26 2016, 05:30 PM
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#1
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Senior Member
4,561 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penangites |
AUSSIE at DAILY EXTREME.
shorting atm |
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Oct 26 2016, 10:01 PM
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#2
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Senior Member
4,561 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penangites |
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Oct 26 2016, 10:09 PM
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#3
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4,561 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penangites |
QUOTE(tzmon @ Oct 26 2016, 09:04 PM) If u see the big engulfing candle down and it can't stay up there for long, plus many rejection at daily chart above it's a very safe entry. This is a retest from a week ago because it dropped before US sessions get to taste that 0.77 level Usually break out for Asian sessions will be retested due to the fact that all the big volumes comes in during UK n US interlapping time. The UK n US session are all the big guys Volumes are unevenly distributed throughout the day |
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Oct 26 2016, 11:29 PM
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#4
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4,561 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penangites |
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Nov 1 2016, 06:49 PM
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#5
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4,561 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penangites |
can considering shorting UCAD
USD strengthen weakens, plus oil is strong, so CAD is strong. but it's still going up. i suspect later 8.30PM news will be the strong swing coming |
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Nov 2 2016, 06:51 AM
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#6
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Senior Member
4,561 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penangites |
SELL USDCAD @ 1.3400.
dollar pairs all down but this thing still holding. sumting wong This post has been edited by AllnGap: Nov 2 2016, 06:57 AM |
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Nov 2 2016, 03:37 PM
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#7
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4,561 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penangites |
pound 1.2250 sweet spot to short. becareful for news at 5.30PM
critical level at 1.2250. if can climb above then long, if cant then short looks like it's passed that level. This post has been edited by AllnGap: Nov 2 2016, 03:54 PM |
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Nov 2 2016, 04:12 PM
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#8
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4,561 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penangites |
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Nov 2 2016, 04:32 PM
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#9
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4,561 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penangites |
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Nov 9 2016, 09:08 PM
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#10
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4,561 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penangites |
QUOTE(hehe86 @ Nov 9 2016, 07:10 PM) knowing a big event like brexit or this US election, the spike in candlestick, is it still valid to take into consideration of chart patterns or any chart reading? if u had unlimited money what strategies would u use to make sure that u always win ??once u understand my question then u get to see how the market works |
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Nov 10 2016, 07:30 AM
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#11
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4,561 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penangites |
QUOTE(hehe86 @ Nov 10 2016, 02:47 AM) i mean basic market movement,if u had unlimited money and able to push the market what kind of movement will u generate. thats what bankers advantage over us. they had unlimited amount of money the market doesnt move according to technical analysis. market moves based on order size. at the exchange, to move a single pip requires around usd20Mil during active hours. so those crazy swings one swing move 50pips in a few miliseconds are worth billions of dollars. so why these fellas with billions wanna obey your technical analysis ? they use technical analysis to trap you. This post has been edited by AllnGap: Nov 10 2016, 07:51 AM |
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Nov 10 2016, 02:14 PM
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#12
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4,561 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penangites |
QUOTE(OmiCatFace @ Nov 10 2016, 01:59 PM) Market makers... then may I know how you trade usually if not using technical analysis? Just trying to learn and understand more from all the sifus here... it's not market makers, the market basically accumulates (whack both sides for no reasons), breaks then moves to another point.there are no permanent bull/bear. when direction changes, everyone change sides. the basics condition is to buy low, sell high to make money. identify where is the low/high range of the current move. if it's broken has it retest yet ? if not there's your most likely pullback and there's your entry. the market is always learning and ever changing. like lets say Trump wins USD down. i saw many many ppl said that. did EU went up yesterday ?? (it's now lower than where it started. whats that ?? MANIPULATION. did it obey your technical analysis ?? ask yourself if are god why u wanna listen to puny humans ?? ) nah the market anticipate what u gonna do and fucks ur plan. remember forex is a zero sum game. u win money means someone on the other hand has to lose money. so the other side tries to outsmart u. they have more money than you, they see your orders, they know your positions, they know where's your stop loss. you dont see how the system works, you become plankton. they are forever the sperm whales. observe the movements according to time, candle size. which kinds of movement did it followed ? US followed asian ? asian followed US ?? why sometimes u see some spikes then faded away ?? which area was that ?? why u see multiple times of retest over and over again ?? once u see all these, then u know technical analysis is just very small part of trading. This post has been edited by AllnGap: Nov 10 2016, 02:23 PM |
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Nov 10 2016, 02:31 PM
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#13
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4,561 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penangites |
QUOTE(xpmm @ Nov 10 2016, 02:15 PM) it's basically a warfare.if it wants to go up, they will shake u out of the game, send it down deeper, so u think it's gonna go down. (moving average all show down) once u go short position, they are on the other side. then drag it higher and higher, then u lose money. |
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Nov 10 2016, 04:08 PM
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#14
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Senior Member
4,561 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penangites |
QUOTE(hehe86 @ Nov 10 2016, 03:35 PM) AllnGap so your point i think is more to price action then since you said maret moves based on order size? technical analysis involves a bit of price action i thought or is entirely different thing? price follows volume (order size). even with price action, what kind of price action will have higher percentage or higher relevancebacktest using M1 charts and see where are the big candles (if average M1 candle less than 3pip, then multiply that by factor of 3~4 only to qualify as sudden big candles,) draw horizontal lines around those big candles which are constantly tested many many times. then observe what happens the next day when price retest those horizontal lines. those are the levels which the banks use the most. ![]() if u understand gambling theory and how casino win money, then u understand that not every price level has the same Risk : Reward. same goes with bankers, they push it to that purple level to get better price (or to close their losing short position), then the price continue going up. if the price breaks below purple box area, means the buyer already lost, so buyer turned seller, price would most likely go down. these critical levels exists everyday, not so accurate if apply to cross pair because of 2 in 1. This post has been edited by AllnGap: Nov 10 2016, 04:29 PM |
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Nov 10 2016, 05:28 PM
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#15
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4,561 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penangites |
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Nov 11 2016, 08:43 AM
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#16
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QUOTE(Johnhun @ Nov 10 2016, 04:54 PM) thats correct, but which is more significant which translates to more winning, smaller stop loss.u could teach anyone support and resistance. ask them to trade using same method. but the results will be totally different. because everywhere u see SR levels from charting. not necessary those levels are significant because u dunt know the existence of a strong buyer/seller. which u need to dig deeper and analyze the volume. filtering is very important This post has been edited by AllnGap: Nov 11 2016, 08:50 AM |
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Nov 11 2016, 11:56 AM
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#17
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QUOTE(OmiCatFace @ Nov 11 2016, 11:35 AM) based on your earlier post with the 1M chart diagram, do you mean that the big movement of the candle in 1M chart means there is high volume; from there we can determine its supply/demand or support/resistance level? assume 1pip movement need USD 20million to move.Correct me if I am wrong here. I am trying to learn as much as I can in this forum from the pros. MYR just crashed this morning... We just got Trump-ed out... one strong dump of 20pips (engulfing bar of 20pips @ M1) = USD 400Mil there. the more times it touches with long candles, the more volume transaction there. but if u zoom out see hourly chart, it just look as if it touch once. (bigger timeframe u cannot see all these actions as maybe a few hundred millions exchange hands at that level, but what u saw was just a one engulfing bar on higher time frame then some apply fibonacci or wave theory of 50% pullback for entry, but they can push back to that same starting point of engulfing bar simply because they have the money to make it happen) only when u zoom into smaller timeframe then u can estimate the significance of each support & resistance level. in one trading day, always have around 1 or 2 of these critical levels. # it's not only SR. but basically SR with strong buyer/seller. This post has been edited by AllnGap: Nov 11 2016, 12:06 PM |
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Nov 15 2016, 10:50 PM
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#18
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Nov 17 2016, 07:57 PM
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#19
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QUOTE(brianw87 @ Nov 17 2016, 07:38 PM) IgoFX and a few more is registered at Vanuatu and is under Monetary Authority of Singapore's watchlist.at Vanuatu, u can register to get forex broker license for around USD2k there are plenty of unknown broker with fishy background popping out recently. becareful This post has been edited by AllnGap: Nov 17 2016, 08:01 PM |
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Nov 17 2016, 08:16 PM
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#20
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