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aspartame
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Nov 11 2016, 09:58 PM
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QUOTE(jack2 @ Nov 11 2016, 02:19 PM) I bet when RM is opened, it will be more worst QUOTE(icemanfx @ Nov 11 2016, 02:56 PM) Suspend trading could either calm or panic the market. Guess bnm is mobilizing a few ten millions USD to saturate the retail market. Is trading in RM suspended? I don't think so. BNM is doing a wise move. Instead of tail wagging the body, BNM is reminding everyone that onshore rates is the reference rate. Those offshore speculation are ultimately settled using onshore rates right? Those who chase to the moon will kena burnt badly.
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aspartame
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Nov 26 2016, 11:21 PM
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QUOTE(kit2 @ Nov 26 2016, 06:38 PM) the bus fare in taipei remains the same at nt$15 for at least the past 15 years. That is not a good thing.
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aspartame
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Nov 27 2016, 02:12 PM
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QUOTE(kit2 @ Nov 27 2016, 01:51 PM) why? going up up and up like malaysia is a good thing? Yes, better than prices stagnant or going down.
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aspartame
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Nov 29 2016, 08:26 PM
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QUOTE(limeuu @ Nov 29 2016, 07:07 PM) yes, i will also not be converting them back, so the gains are paper gains....but it's nice to know you are spending "cheaper" money when holidaying there.... the yields in oz and nz was good, but spore is a low yield environment, so did not open an account there till 09 via maybank msia...the bulk of the sgd was at 2.4, during a dip just after the 2013 ge13.....cheap holiday money again....lol May I know roughly how much of your net worth/wealth including residence etc (in % terms) has been converted to foreign currency denominated assets? This question is also addressed to all those willing to share their figures. I have only about 3%. Sigh....
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aspartame
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Nov 30 2016, 11:23 AM
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QUOTE(limeuu @ Nov 30 2016, 09:19 AM) The 'foreign investment' far exceed half, if you include investment in foreign education for children.... Is the education funds spent already? If they are used up for education, then no longer considered "investments". They become written off expenses.(prudence concept)
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aspartame
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Nov 30 2016, 11:29 AM
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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Nov 30 2016, 08:51 AM) A fair bit at 50% i started out investing overseas assets in 2002. My current net worth in foriegn currencies is only 30% thus far So, with 70% still in RM and 30% overseas, I am curious whether you hope RM strengthen or weaken?  Do you hope for RM to strengthen to convert more but your existing foreign portfolio paper gains shrink in RM terms OR you prefer RM to weaken further and never look back so that your 30% foreign investment will have substantial paper gain and possibly permanent forex gain if RM never appreciate again?
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aspartame
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Nov 30 2016, 02:52 PM
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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Nov 30 2016, 02:38 PM) i think for fair to guess, MYR will never appreciate aginst the SGD in the long term. With the type of cultural and brains that we have, there is no way we are ever going to beat SG at economic/wealth management Well, I will not discount the possibility because firstly Singapore in itself is a very vulnerable country. Just because it has appreciated against Rm for decades does not mean you can project into the future . It is not that simple. Otherwise, there won't be any trend reversals in the world and there won't be any downfall in empires.
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aspartame
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Nov 30 2016, 04:40 PM
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QUOTE(Hansel @ Nov 30 2016, 03:03 PM) Yes bro,... certainly can't discount out on any possibility in life,... BUT we have to take a chance somewhere else, since we are in bad shape ourselves. Given the proximity of Singapore, it's a good place to start with. We can always travel there if we need to attend courses or need to do anything too. If you compare the SGD against many currencies of the world, you will see on a long term basis, the SGD has appreciated against many currencies of the world. Edited spelling mistakes. Agree SGD has been good but there is a price for everything. Just that it is not clear cut now that SGD will definitely outperform going forward . After all they lost a visionary leader in senior Lee and Singapore is too small. I prefer to buy some AUD as well and of course SGD if it comes down lah.
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aspartame
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Dec 3 2016, 08:23 AM
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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Dec 3 2016, 08:05 AM) In addition, the point of conversion is upon receipt of proceeds Tis approach is detrimental to exporter when our currency is volatile Imagine XYZ S/B receive proceeds on 5/12 which happen to 'appreciation' day  Sometimes gain , sometimes lose , not a big issue.
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aspartame
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Dec 3 2016, 08:40 AM
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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Dec 3 2016, 08:25 AM) Thanks bro for the link. I notice something unusual, but subtle in the guideline which need clarification.... Quite confusing. As #11 and #12 has a limit of RM1m, so that part is controlled by BNM and has a limit. But those fall under #10, I interpret it as if you don't have any loan, you CANNOT transfer money out of the country to invest. Previously there is no such restriction Quasi capital control now ? I think it could be a mistake because it does not make sense that those who borrows RM can invest more than those who does not. ( in this case implying those who does not borrow cannot invest abroad )
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aspartame
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Dec 3 2016, 08:49 AM
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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Dec 3 2016, 12:57 AM) Forcing exporter to convert 75% proceed automatically to myr is a form of capital control. This will encourage exporting companies to park proceed offshore and deter foreign investment to set up regional center or business here for export. In the long term, is detrimental to current account balance. Implying bnm is willing to sacrifice long term benefit for the short term stability i.e. is desperate. The purpose of forcing conversion is two fold. 1st.Discourage speculation because holding in USD after exporting and trying to time the conversion can be a form of speculation especially in excess of what is needed as working capital. 2nd is as stated to promote liquidity and depth ie some are buyers of ringgit and some are sellers. This is to promote onshore settlement of ringgit to replace the NDF. This is in line with their belief that offshore speculation is the real and only reason behind ringgit weakness and they are trying to shift all hedging and transactional activities onshore and in the process requires as much ringgit demand as possible. How else do you suggest they do it? Anything they do also got negative side one but if compared to alternative, this is the best way. This post has been edited by aspartame: Dec 3 2016, 08:51 AM
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aspartame
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Dec 3 2016, 03:31 PM
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QUOTE(xpmm @ Dec 3 2016, 12:02 PM) big players dont do TT la, they have other ways to channel out. TT is the only way the bigger you are. U dunt expect them to go through money changers ? Do you?
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aspartame
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Dec 3 2016, 06:53 PM
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BNM's move is smart. Now that they have closed the loophole on NDF, they are tackling those "speculation" done by exporters who never convert back to RM and always receive USD causing BNM to lose foreign reserves. These exporters are hoarding USD. Now they are forced to convert to RM. Not bad for them also as they get to realise forex gains. BNM aim is not to strengthen RM. It is to preserve their foreign currency reserves by increasing demand of RM. Think about it, Malaysia has trade and current account surplus for years. By right, RM should strengthen. The reason it weakened was because of perception that RM is weak. This perception of weakness encourages hoarding of USD by exporters and also exacerbated by RM speculation via NDF. Once these 2 causes of RM weakness are removed, RM will stabilise. It might or might not go up but it will stop falling and that is good enough for BNM. Once RM stabilises and confidence return and Perception of RM weakness is no longer there, RM will then strengthen. It is all about perception. Somebody mentioned why BNM never increase interest rate. The reason is it will not effectively tackle the RM perception of weakness problem. A 0.5 to 1% hike in interest will not suddenly increase demand of RM. Not only that, such moves only serve to weaken the local economy further fuelling the speculation that the economy is headed for recession. I think the BNM move is brilliant. It addresses the root cause of RM weakness and remove them from the market. Without NDF, speculators can't do shit. They have nothing to speculate on as price is determined onshore. Once speculation dies down, confidence in RM improves and foreign investment will continue to invest directly and also indirectly via MGS because they know there is ample liquidity onshore for them to liquidate their RM once the MGS matures. I foresee a stabilisation and then later strengthening of RM but it will not strengthen by much. BNM wants RM to remain weak . In fact there is a conpetitive devaluation of currency going on among emerging economies. It is in the government interest that RM remain stable and relatively underpriced so that Malaysia remains competitive internationally in terms of pricing. What they do not want is excessive speculation and volatility.
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aspartame
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Dec 3 2016, 07:32 PM
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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Dec 3 2016, 07:09 PM) From what I see, seems like market has stabilized.. But next week we shall know how true it will be after the new measures by bnm.. People take as positive or negative  There is also a possibility that RM might record the largest single day gain in years. All it takes is some panic covering......
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aspartame
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Dec 5 2016, 01:57 PM
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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Dec 5 2016, 11:59 AM) CIMB Research sees new forex measures reducing ringgit speculation http://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...it-speculation/Reduce speculation doesn't mean MYR will strengthen It is not in BNM interest for RM to strengthen. They are satisfied with a stable and undervalued RM at 4.45. QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Dec 5 2016, 12:00 PM) Tat was the hope of our policy makers Anyway, m keen to c whether they will roll out Plan B, C n so forth As long as RM is stable, it is unlikely that BNM will introduce more measures. Their objective is achieved. They are not stupid to push RM upwards only for speculators to sell more RM to them at higher prices. At current prices, sellers of RM are selling at undervalued levels and I think the longer RM stays at this level, the more exhausted sellers of RM will be. After speculating interest die down, RM will then strengthen. This post has been edited by aspartame: Dec 5 2016, 01:58 PM
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aspartame
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Dec 6 2016, 11:37 AM
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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Dec 6 2016, 11:12 AM) Money changer deal with hard currency Thus, the spread n cost is Higher No la, money changers rate are better than the banks.
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aspartame
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Dec 7 2016, 03:23 PM
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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Dec 7 2016, 02:38 PM) If it is for trading (like flipper and stock traders), they will be trapped if they don't close their position. No different between property flipper, commodity trader, forex trader or stock trader For long term investors, your above doesn't apply Yup, flippers with leverage with no cash buffer will be trapped and sell at loss. For long term investors, they wished they had more properties "trapped" since decades ago, the longer the better.
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aspartame
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Dec 7 2016, 03:37 PM
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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Dec 7 2016, 03:29 PM) "Trapped" won't carry any value unless the original owner have drawn up a proper n valid trust/will in order for the next generations to njoy the fruits Wills/Trusts are a must. Nevertheless, "trapped" value can be "untrapped" anytime and enjoyed as and when needed unless one has too many properties such that most properties are "trapped" not because cannot untrap but because there was no need to tap into the "trapped" props..anyway...major diversion liau from topic
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