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 USD/MYR v4

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TSwil-i-am
post Nov 24 2016, 07:58 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Nov 24 2016, 12:29 AM)
1/3 to 1/2 withdraw in a short period will be bad enough.
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I dun think tis will happen as the yield is still attractive to them
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 24 2016, 07:59 AM

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Dollar Rises to Decade High on Fed Bets as Bonds Slip With Gold
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...s-bonds-retreat
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 24 2016, 03:48 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Nov 24 2016, 08:56 AM)
Maybe, after Fed hike, things will be more stable.
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U could b rite as Ppl tend to buy on rumours n sell on facts
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 24 2016, 03:51 PM

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Dollar Extends Surge as Bonds Decline; Japanese Equities Climb
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...-on-fed-outlook
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 24 2016, 07:09 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 24 2016, 06:01 PM)
I have highlighted ytday n speechless too until now rclxub.gif
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 24 2016, 07:30 PM

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Today closing @ 4.4605 is the lowest for tis yr plus broke last year record of 4.4565 recorded on 29/9/15
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 24 2016, 10:50 PM

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Give me 5

Five reasons why Malaysia should not blame ‘Trump tantrum’ for ringgit woes
http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/f...99-ringgit-woes
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 25 2016, 08:13 AM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Nov 25 2016, 06:13 AM)
I put fwd the hypothesis that BNM was was actually doing 'hostage-taking' and 'indirect pegging' instead of intervening. Somehow, the person who spoke to the press calls it intervening, whether he knows the true meaning of the word or not.

And they used the deputy to give statements to the press, so that the main man can override him later if necessary.

Let's hope BNM gives a clarification to our questions. If they don't, then it's even worse,...another ambiguity from this gov't,...
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I dun think BNM officials will clarify
Thus, the suspense continues...
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 25 2016, 12:52 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 25 2016, 09:40 AM)
looking ugly...
$ strength is expected to continue well into 2017.
opec cut may be too little late too late for the RM.
higher petrol prices and much weaker purchasing power for the RM will hurt our pockets deeply next year.
if add GST incr, even harder.
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M not sure whether officials in Putrajaya read the statistics or they dunno how to read doh.gif
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 25 2016, 12:58 PM

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MYR is moving slowly from 4.1885 on 1/11 to 4.4650 now
Assume it goes up by 2bps in a day, MYR could touch 5 by end of the year
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 25 2016, 04:15 PM

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QUOTE(Chinoz @ Nov 25 2016, 02:03 PM)
Personally think all these guys at the bank predicting FX movements are full of it.

They usually just issue notes echoing the general sentiment of the currency at date of issue.

If MYR trending upwards - "3.80 by end-2017!".
If MYR trending downwards - "4.80 by end-2017!".
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U can't blame them as their analysis is basically 'swim along the tide' brows.gif
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 25 2016, 04:23 PM

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With all the damages, perhaps it's time to short when it touch 4.50 hmm.gif
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 25 2016, 04:48 PM

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Msian banks reminded to keep an eye on speculative Ringgit trading
http://www.nst.com.my/news/2016/11/191776/...ringgit-trading
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 25 2016, 08:51 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 25 2016, 06:29 PM)
i think this is what's going on:

xe.com is OFFSHORE rate, with NDF's which BNM is trying to "kill" - hence u still the erratic movements.
http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=USD&to=MYR

bloomberg follows ONSHORE rates:
https://www.bloomberg.com/markets/currencies/asia-pacific

BNM rates are ONSHORE, middle rates as of noon and 5pm:
http://www.bnm.gov.my/?tpl=exchangerates
a good way is to look at the money changer rates whenever u pass by one.
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In fact, there is a difference in spread between hard n soft currency

TSwil-i-am
post Nov 25 2016, 08:59 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Nov 25 2016, 07:26 PM)
I saw in the Bloomberg Exchanger, USDMYR = 4.4583.

In the Yahoo Graph, USDMYR = 4.4533.

The spread is so small. And the Offshore rate is lower than the Onshore rate ?  rclxub.gif

1) Why is the spread so small ?
2) How can the Offshore be lower than the Onshore ?
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Dun worry on the small difference as it's < 1bps
Btw, Reuters quote 4.4530
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 25 2016, 09:14 PM

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QUOTE(aromachong @ Nov 25 2016, 09:10 PM)
Expect incoming 5.0 end of December.

Now loving my crystal ball from day to day
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Dun forget to polish so tat it will shine everyday tongue.gif
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 25 2016, 09:20 PM

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QUOTE(aromachong @ Nov 25 2016, 09:15 PM)
Thanks.. it will... hehe he. .. poor Malaysians. . No future and no hope for my whether in short or long run term
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I presume MOF will calibrate 2017 Budget in Q1/2017
Hope they won't increase tax at the expense of rakyat sweat.gif
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 25 2016, 09:25 PM

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QUOTE(aromachong @ Nov 25 2016, 09:24 PM)
I'd suggest it has nothing to do with MOF ..problem.l is my having weak fundemental foundation

If u are building a house and having weak foundation and slabs it will collapse anytime prior warning
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Our Govt will reply owners have householder insurance to cover tongue.gif
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 25 2016, 09:27 PM

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10 years MGS yield is at all time High of 4.43% today cry.gif
Despite the high yield, it doesn't entice foreign investors to stay
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 25 2016, 09:29 PM

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QUOTE(aromachong @ Nov 25 2016, 09:26 PM)
Yet they still make loss because insurance won't cover you and pay you in full hehe

So still not a profit business ,no?
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Those stay in landed properties shld b fine
For those stay in highrise bldg, I wish them gud luck

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