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 USD/MYR v4

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TSwil-i-am
post Oct 23 2016, 11:20 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Oct 23 2016, 01:23 PM)
Hmm,.. you have a point there, bro,... hopefully not true,.. but can't rule out also,... sad.gif

Edited by adding : I think I may have a way to know earlier tomorrow,.... if, early tomorrow morning, the signs say the MYR will strengthen, then can start going to the bank already,...
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I presume it will b too late the moment u notice the movement
TSwil-i-am
post Oct 24 2016, 08:18 AM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Oct 24 2016, 05:19 AM)
It won't be if I know first at this moment,...
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Wat is your plan now?
TSwil-i-am
post Oct 24 2016, 08:20 AM

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It seems 2017 Budget is neutral to MYR as it stays around 4.184x now
TSwil-i-am
post Oct 24 2016, 09:18 AM

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Just below 4.18 mark now
TSwil-i-am
post Oct 24 2016, 09:29 AM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Oct 24 2016, 09:27 AM)
Steady, steady,... Public Bank just released their rates :-

1) Bank Sell USD = 4.2490
2) Bank Sell AUD = 3.2480.

The bank is not giving much reductions compared to last Friday....
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If u want a gud rate, go straight to their Treasury Dept directly
TSwil-i-am
post Oct 24 2016, 10:00 AM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Oct 24 2016, 09:52 AM)
If the counter rate is not low enough, their Treasury rate will not drop near to the interbank rate too,...
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Incorrect as counter rate is for mass market
TSwil-i-am
post Oct 24 2016, 10:12 AM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Oct 24 2016, 09:59 AM)
As we speak,...

1) USDMYR = 4.1823, 'jumped' back up momentarily,...

2) AUDMYR = 3.1764, more than 100 bps lower than last Friday close,....

Money-changers would be starting to release their quotes soon,.. Frankly, for this morning, my experience tells me they won't give anything different from what they gave last Friday..

I am open to correction,... please, any bro or sis observed differently, let me know..
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Money changers tend to follow Reuters rate plus small pips
TSwil-i-am
post Oct 24 2016, 10:15 AM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Oct 24 2016, 10:13 AM)
OK,...

Let's take out current scenario,... say for Maybank, say for the AUD :_

Interbank rate = AUDMYR = 3.1764.

Maybank's counter rate = 3.2440.

The difference in the above is 676 basis points. How close to the Interbank rate do you think a rate given by Maybank's Treasury Dept can reach ?
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Around 50 to 100 bps
TSwil-i-am
post Oct 24 2016, 11:23 AM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Oct 24 2016, 10:48 AM)
Tq,... therefore, if Maybank's counter rate is, as per now, 3.2440, I could probably get a maximum 'discount' of 3.2340 if I called Maybank Treasury. ....

Money changer last night was at 3.2150.
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Nope
50 to 100bps is premium to interbank rates
Having said tat, u can nego with Treasury if u have the means brows.gif
TSwil-i-am
post Oct 24 2016, 11:24 AM

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Touch intra day Low of 4.17xx today
TSwil-i-am
post Oct 24 2016, 02:23 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Oct 24 2016, 12:49 PM)
Up till now, sad to say.... I really don't see any sign that the MYR will appreciate sufficiently for us to 'exit',.... So, Budget got no 'juice' for the MYR this year,....

Lousy,....
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There is not enuf 'push' in the 2017 Budget
TSwil-i-am
post Oct 24 2016, 02:34 PM

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QUOTE(zacknistelrooy @ Oct 24 2016, 02:30 PM)
Offshore yuan at a 6 year low today and China's ruling party starts 4-day meeting so Ringgit may trade sideways for the time being.

Also US GDP on Friday too and a few FOMC members speaking this week.
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PBOC may come in to intervene by adjusting the 'reference point' lower which will pull down MYR
TSwil-i-am
post Oct 24 2016, 02:35 PM

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Key event to watch tonite include USD Manufacturing PMI
TSwil-i-am
post Oct 24 2016, 02:50 PM

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Bank Negara may adjust OPR by 25 basis points as soon as 1Q2017, says AllianceDBS IB
http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/b...-alliancedbs-ib

TSwil-i-am
post Oct 24 2016, 04:28 PM

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After a long wait, MYR finally appreciated to 4.169x
TSwil-i-am
post Oct 27 2016, 10:38 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Oct 27 2016, 07:50 PM)
that is the main course.

never mind the appetizer and dessert.

have to agree - how can any currency strengthen given all that shizzz... tongue.gif

if a nation's currency can rise in a regime with mega money disappearing, borrowing to the hilt, free money for voters and majority approving/not minding it, there can be no poor nation on the planet!
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Gud to cover short position when MYR appreciate brows.gif
TSwil-i-am
post Oct 27 2016, 10:39 PM

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MYR have make a U turn from 4.15 ytday to 4.20 now
TSwil-i-am
post Oct 29 2016, 11:54 AM

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QUOTE(aromachong @ Oct 28 2016, 12:20 PM)
so far my crystal ball proven precisely
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Your crystal ball really reliable
TSwil-i-am
post Oct 29 2016, 11:56 AM

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Anyone decided to long USD now?
TSwil-i-am
post Oct 30 2016, 01:21 PM

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QUOTE(bee993 @ Oct 29 2016, 02:39 PM)
wats the meaning is long usd? keep it ?
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Nope, it means Buy

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