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 USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?

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mois
post Apr 1 2025, 10:06 PM

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QUOTE(mois @ Feb 28 2025, 07:20 PM)
To be honest, it is abit too early to tell which area should be the buy zone. Give it at 6-10 months. But below are the Fibonacci retracement levels. The 0.5 (4863) which is -20%. That is the area I will pay attention if it does come. That level is previous high (January 2022) which can act as very strong support.
user posted image
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First level retracement 0.236 already reached. If dont hold and break below 5450, more likely to visit next level 0.382...5160.

user posted image
mois
post Apr 4 2025, 11:28 AM

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QUOTE(TOS2 @ Apr 3 2025, 10:26 PM)
I think recession coming in 2 quarters time. Finally, can deploy my huge cash pile!  rclxm9.gif
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Wah I thought you are invested all these while
mois
post Apr 4 2025, 10:49 PM

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QUOTE(mois @ Apr 1 2025, 10:06 PM)
First level retracement 0.236 already reached. If dont hold and break below 5450, more likely to visit next level 0.382...5160.

user posted image
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I intend to update this a month later. Not 3 days later Lol.
mois
post Apr 5 2025, 10:00 PM

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QUOTE(greyPJ @ Apr 5 2025, 08:38 PM)
market crash - accurate
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Wah. He said he dream it or?
mois
post Apr 7 2025, 12:20 PM

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QUOTE(ozak @ Apr 7 2025, 08:43 AM)
Look like today possible will plunge the S&P into bearish.

With this sharp drop, will there be V-shaped recovery?

Many past situations show it will.
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These might help toward V shape recovery.

I am currently on SPXU (-3x SP500) since February. So naturally I will look into SPXL(3x SP500) and I found interesting stuffs.

user posted image
Need to wait for volume to spike like covid crash. If you see volume starting to spike, it mean institution activities is increasing. Wait until you see highest spike(green color) + green engulfing candle, that is your entry.

This is Lehman crash. Same activity. Volume spike(green) + green engulfing candle.

user posted image
mois
post Apr 7 2025, 12:46 PM

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QUOTE(TOS2 @ Apr 7 2025, 12:35 PM)
Ah you are using tradingview?

The chart is on weekly basis right, so the weekly volume data is only known one week after the recovery. That means we will always be behind by 1 week?
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Yeah I am using tradingview. Yes it is Weekly chart. Now I check the weekly volume candle closed on every Monday (except Monday holiday US market). I am not sure it lag behind 1 day or 1 week. Tonight market open I see how again.
mois
post Apr 8 2025, 08:50 AM

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QUOTE(TOS2 @ Apr 7 2025, 12:35 PM)
Ah you are using tradingview?

The chart is on weekly basis right, so the weekly volume data is only known one week after the recovery. That means we will always be behind by 1 week?
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I just checked. Today tradingview weekly chart. It show a new volume candle. So basically the volume candle closed on Friday US market ( Saturday morning our time).

To make it easier, if saturday morning(our time) see volume green spike + green engulfing candle, by Monday night can buy the dip.
mois
post Apr 8 2025, 10:34 AM

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QUOTE(mois @ Feb 28 2025, 07:20 PM)
To be honest, it is abit too early to tell which area should be the buy zone. Give it at 6-10 months. But below are the Fibonacci retracement levels. The 0.5 (4863) which is -20%. That is the area I will pay attention if it does come. That level is previous high (January 2022) which can act as very strong support.
user posted image
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I know last night look like huge manipulation on tariff pause fake news. But if dive into technical. SP500 has reach my area of interest(This is way too fast to reach). It bounces from Fibonacci 0.5(4863) and it is -20% from top. In textbook, a -20% from top is bear market territory. So last night it is understandable wall street trying to save it. This level is also bull market trendline since 2020 covid. Very important level to watch.

user posted image

This post has been edited by mois: Apr 8 2025, 10:41 AM
mois
post Apr 9 2025, 11:42 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Apr 9 2025, 10:57 AM)
It is very strange. Suppose to be traders buying bonds when they sell equities but they're selling bonds as well,
causing yield to rise. Where are they putting the money? Cash only?  hmm.gif
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user posted image

Is meme pic allowed here?
mois
post Apr 10 2025, 10:59 PM

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Is there any ways to check if Buffet deploy his cash?
mois
post Apr 11 2025, 09:55 AM

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I found selling acvitity on SPXL 5 mins before market close (3.55am our time). And increase buying activity on SPXU also around 3.55am.

If this translate to anything significant tonight, I think I found insider trading activity. Lets see tonight.



This post has been edited by mois: Apr 11 2025, 03:03 PM
mois
post Apr 24 2025, 12:44 PM

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QUOTE(annoymous1234 @ Apr 23 2025, 07:33 PM)
Technically the rebound is well expected - Trump seems to be responding to S&P 5,100 as the floor, as himself and Bessent both tried to prop up the market yesterday.

The reality is far from the optimistic messages they sent yesterday. If the US can't get a deal done quickly with Japan, imagine how long it will take with China. With tariffs remaining an uncertainty for so long, the economy will see increasing pressure - growth slower, inflation building up, consumers reluctant to spend, corporates less willing to invest, etc.

My biggest worry is still the government debt. As the economy slows, deficits will likely go up. Higher deficits coupled with a weaker dollar will make refinancing much more difficult.

A few positive headlines might drive up the market, but none of the underlying forces have been changed.
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Yep. The way I see it, positive news leading up to lower high before they initiate short to dump the market to fill their longs. Rinse and repeat. Sadly we aren't inside his whatapps pump and dump group. Charles Schwab made 2.5billion last few week on the pump. Another one made 900 millions. Gods know when they will reload their SPXU and SQQQ.



This post has been edited by mois: Apr 24 2025, 12:52 PM
mois
post Apr 25 2025, 10:41 PM

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QUOTE(dwRK @ Apr 25 2025, 09:51 PM)
its making a higher low before a higher high...

zig zag up is normal...

nothing to see here... wink.gif
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Tesla making quad bottoms at $223. No wonder earlier days missed earning still pumping.

This post has been edited by mois: Apr 25 2025, 10:42 PM
mois
post Apr 30 2025, 09:17 PM

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Hmm SQQQ nasqad volume spike up.
mois
post Apr 30 2025, 09:39 PM

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QUOTE(ChAOoz @ Apr 30 2025, 09:36 PM)
Bad gdp, bad adp, bad core pce. All bad.

Surprise it dint went down more or hit a circuit breaker
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Tomorrow April monthly candle close. Biggest wick in history lol.
mois
post Apr 30 2025, 10:29 PM

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Sometimes we forgot how beautiful/scary is Berkshire Hathaway stock price.

user posted image
mois
post May 17 2025, 09:36 AM

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Interesting UNH. Im putting my buy order at $254
mois
post May 17 2025, 06:02 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ May 17 2025, 04:14 PM)
Been holding the following US ctrs for 2 -3 yrs,... never sold. Latest average prices :-
1) Nvidia : 129.02
2) Tesla : 250.21
3) Apple : 197.00
4) PennantPark : 11.67 (pays out dividend every mth )
5) Proshares Short BTC ETF : 8.82 (bought last year when BTC ETFs started to get clearance from the Biden Administration).

So,... no profit taken for me,... guessed I'm not a good trader.
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Is this referring to SBIT? This week I bought some $7.6. The volume for the past few months are astronomical.

This post has been edited by mois: May 17 2025, 06:04 PM
mois
post May 30 2025, 09:48 AM

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I feel Lower High is in. SP500 futures briefly touch 6k and reverse. But bull trendline not yet broken as today.

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mois
post Jun 19 2025, 03:46 PM

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QUOTE(Hastebreak @ Jun 19 2025, 03:24 PM)
user posted image

Guess what is going to happen to the U.S stock market soon...

With that in mind, comes this article that was just published recently...

channelnewsasia(dot)com/east-asia/china-mediate-israel-iran-conflict-war-middle-east-risks-5188641

Guess how important it is for China to have the Middle East...
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What is your insight?

But I check last time during war, market can bullrun as well. hmm.gif

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