Morning. Say all the bad things you want about Intel. But Intel chart so far look like bullish in both Weekly and Monthly. Why is that?
It seem like someone collecting intel at $18 area. Next time a wick down to $16 is a stoploss hunt. After stop loss hunt event, if it move back into $18, that should be a good entry.

Weekly bullish divergence


Monthly bullish divergence


This post has been edited by mois: Jan 19 2025, 10:17 AM

SP500 all time high today. But finally is has reach the fibo extension level. 61xx.

Any pump above this, it will goes banana 7000+
If rejection, it will follow 2021 pattern.

This post has been edited by mois: Jan 24 2025, 09:17 AM

Alot of pains. My business mostly dealing with China. Ever since US vs China tariff war, china domestic economy has been tanking very hard. They are already in recession for few years and it seem like nobody want to put "recession" word with china. They havent recover from post covid period.

Many still underestimate the effect of tariff war. This is the trigger to cause recession. Im feeling it first hand through china. Canadian & mexican will feel it later. And it will have ripple effect throughout the globe if the tariff war doesnt stop.

This post has been edited by mois: Feb 4 2025, 03:33 PM

They might be bottoming out. Their property price has crashed too. Deflation is happening there where goods price dropped. I do think China currently is in their worst condition tho. I dont know how worse can it get for them.

Maybe next few years should be the recovering period. First thing is they must escape the deflation cycle.

This post has been edited by mois: Feb 6 2025, 04:32 PM

Tesla my view. Weekly macd already cross bearish. See if the lower trendline hold. $180-$200 depending when it test. Quite a long time to go.




Below is April 2024 analysis back then. Great run from $17x.



This post has been edited by mois: Feb 10 2025, 08:49 AM

Lower interest rate will send the stock market to holland I think.

I think interest rate stuffs quite complex. To my knowledge.
High inflation = high interest rate = strong economy
Lowering interest rate = weaker economy. Thus to boost business.

Relation to stock market is even more complex. High rate to slow down economy, stocks go up
So I just assume the moment they lower the rate, it tank. But results from low interest rate will be reflected few quarters later leading to bull market again (high inflation).

Intel so fast move up. No stoploss hunt event needed.

This post has been edited by mois: Feb 19 2025, 12:45 PM

So fast sold? At least wait weekly RSI oversold or hit upper trendline mah. But profit is profit

That green volume spike is the biggest over the last 30 years.


This post has been edited by mois: Feb 19 2025, 01:23 PM

20% correction will wipe the 2024 gains. That would send Sp500 toward 2022 January high. Which is reasonable. But anything below that, it get uglier.

4 years ago .
Look like repeating 2021.



This post has been edited by mois: Feb 27 2025, 10:32 AM

SP500 already officially falling out from the rising wedge. Baru 1 light red candle already cause so much damages especially crypto. The upcoming reds are more interesting. Yesterday is just baby red.



This post has been edited by mois: Feb 28 2025, 04:48 PM

To be honest, it is abit too early to tell which area should be the buy zone. Give it at 6-10 months. But below are the Fibonacci retracement levels. The 0.5 (4863) which is -20%. That is the area I will pay attention if it does come. That level is previous high (January 2022) which can act as very strong support.




This post has been edited by mois: Feb 28 2025, 07:21 PM

At this rate, he is running country like a company. Any penny spent must have its ROI.

My SPXU is doing well. Dont dare short individual stock lol.

Election gains already wiped? Wah so fast. Next might be 2024 gains.

This post has been edited by mois: Mar 10 2025, 10:40 PM

Actually what is the reasoning trader use puts instead of inverse -2x like above for short selling?

Intel bounced 6th time from $18-$19 area already. If not for sp500 downtrending, already whack intel.

Just sharing Dow Jones 1929 vs 2025. Hopefully not the same outcome. Monthly chart
DJ 5 elliot waves starting from first wave March 2009. Look like 5th wave ended by trump. So ABC might start.





This post has been edited by mois: Mar 14 2025, 08:02 AM

Hahaha. I saw in one of the youtube video. But today financial system is more stable compared to 1929. So unlikely one.