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 USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?

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danmooncake
post Dec 12 2016, 11:23 PM

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On another note, the broader US general market, this "Trump" rally been so relentlessly for past 30 days.

It just take 30 days for the Dow to gain 15% for what it took Malaysia KLCI 5 years to gain (or loss depending when you enter).
Even now, KLCI is down 3% YTD. doh.gif





danmooncake
post Dec 13 2016, 12:48 PM

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At least the Ringgit seems to have stabilize...
or could it be BNM playing the invisible hand here supporting the fall? hmm.gif
danmooncake
post Dec 13 2016, 01:51 PM

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Hmm.. something to watch for indeed. My company subsidiary is in Malaysia and if Trump plan calls for higher tax rate, they
may shut down the factory in Malaysia and move it back to US. hmm.gif
danmooncake
post Dec 13 2016, 11:21 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Dec 13 2016, 08:47 PM)
hmm....so this tax rate hike + lower corporate tax ==> massive businesses moving back from overseas to US? If so, world stock market could be very bearish for a while and US market would rally strong continues.....now the only hope for neutralize effect is to count on China's regional strategic.
*
I am not sure if can count on China. To be blunt, they don't put anything in if they know they get little in return.
They're even more shrewd than the Americans. They will come in and gobble up everything, lock in their profits
and move money out even faster than the ang mohs.






danmooncake
post Dec 13 2016, 11:27 PM

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Let's get back to Oil discussion...

Yesterday, we got a huge gap up after non-OPEC members agreement during the weekend but it was immediately sold back down half.

That $52.50-$53.50 level seems to be battle ground here for the bulls and bears and likely bears last line of defense,
for that range of $42-$52.

With the market near year end (santa claus or window dressing), and barring any more bad news, I think the bulls got more chance here to push it up to the next trading range.

What do you all think?

danmooncake
post Dec 15 2016, 11:01 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Dec 15 2016, 03:10 AM)
Dow hits record high after Fed raises interest rates
other than oil, the rally continues.
*
They all turn into bears an hour later. biggrin.gif
danmooncake
post Dec 15 2016, 01:36 PM

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https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/us-drill...-173951892.html

Drill, Baby, Drill! biggrin.gif
danmooncake
post Dec 15 2016, 11:24 PM

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I have to buy tonight.. xle hit 75.xx.
danmooncake
post Dec 16 2016, 11:45 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Dec 16 2016, 01:10 AM)
hahaha...opec fellos will sure follow to drill free money from the ground...they also love money.
*
I'm staying long even for the weekend for now. Darn traders seems to fear OPEC now as they
thinking agreement will push prices higher.
danmooncake
post Dec 17 2016, 01:45 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Dec 17 2016, 01:36 PM)
cant find the link. got to b interesting to read more. naive Trump flexing muscles or testing chinese patience?
*
Obama still in charge... oh well for at least one more month. biggrin.gif

After that, it's Trump. Trump gonna be Putin best friend. Eventho Putin's KGB
spies on US, Trump doesn't care as long he gets into whitehouse.

No sure how Trump deal with Chinese.. I think he doesn't like 'em.
He probably prefers to be friends with Russians than Chinese.

If so, I think maybe we can start buying Russian stocks if he plans on lifting the sanctions.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Dec 17 2016, 01:46 PM
danmooncake
post Dec 19 2016, 11:42 PM

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Actually low volatility this week.. I think Christmas rally already coming to end here, it may just slowly creep higher a bit more.
I am continuing to play on long side until crude breaks below $49.50 or until end of this week to take money off the table by
playing covered calls. Hopefully, just let it expires so that I can play again one more time next week.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Dec 19 2016, 11:42 PM
danmooncake
post Dec 21 2016, 04:53 AM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Dec 21 2016, 12:52 AM)
wow wow. crude tanking at 12.45. something is brewing le
*
Still green for crude but heck.. XLE gone red.

We all know Dow is going to for the 20K very soon..
so everyone keeps buying until we get there but it will be really funny
after it has reached that target, we start a major correction and bear market move,
Dow slides back to 15K in 2017. biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Dec 21 2016, 04:53 AM
danmooncake
post Dec 22 2016, 10:04 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Dec 22 2016, 10:26 AM)
Given the line up of dt cabinet and advisers, it is the beginning of open season. Carl Icahn is one to watch.
*
Icahn?? hmm.gif

Well, I feel that it is actually Rex Tillerson to watch, CEO of Exxon to be tapped as next Secretary of State.
It's about Oil. Drill, drill, drill Baby! thumbup.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Dec 22 2016, 10:04 PM
danmooncake
post Dec 23 2016, 12:11 PM

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Dow 20k.. Christmas present for everyone. biggrin.gif
danmooncake
post Dec 23 2016, 01:02 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Dec 23 2016, 12:48 PM)
just a boring friday question...is US going to open 1/2 day for trading or biz as usual?
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AFAIK, it is business as usual but many traders will go home early leaving the computers on to auto-trade.
It's going to be low volume. Next week, 4 days week. Same as New Year week.

But, don't be surprise.. even algos auto-trades can take this to that next level. We're very close.

danmooncake
post Dec 24 2016, 12:18 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Dec 23 2016, 11:20 PM)
BUY BUY BUY!
everything! laugh.gif
US new home sales total 592,000 in Nov vs 575,000 sales expected
US consumer sentiment at 98.2 in Dec vs 98.0 reading expected

*
Sentiments and Housing market are good! thumbup.gif


danmooncake
post Dec 27 2016, 12:19 PM

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Interesting article for Oil price prediction for 2017.

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/unsustainabl...-000000900.html
danmooncake
post Dec 30 2016, 11:40 PM

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Ahh shucks.. no 20k for 2016. Maybe New Year? hmm.gif
danmooncake
post Jan 4 2017, 02:04 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jan 4 2017, 09:44 AM)
a u-turn 55->52 in a couple of hours is not fuuny! biggrin.gif

*
I'm back in playing XLE again after that -$3 sudden drop.

Hope for the best for this short trading week. sweat.gif


danmooncake
post Jan 4 2017, 11:38 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Jan 4 2017, 10:01 PM)
crude is again moving in the 'right' and familiar path.
can buy for trading gain.
*
Looks like a 3rd wave coming... Could be heading down short term ($50) instead up (need to be above $53). hmm.gif
Stay cautious...

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