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 USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?

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danmooncake
post Jun 29 2016, 11:39 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jun 29 2016, 11:06 PM)
2 days of bull, i notice only 1 stock that is not going anywhere - AAPL! biggrin.gif

healthcare, energy, financial all recovery 1/2 or more after brexit fall.
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Agree on your observation here.. AAPL has this strange weight on it eventho it is the cheapest tech stock in terms of valuation.
Super expensive stocks like LNKD, AMZN, TSLA all at sky-high valuation are being pushed up.

Market already recovered half here ...as usual again, we have seen this game played over and over.
The thing is.. what's next? hmm.gif

Oil is back to the 49'ish again... time to lighten up once again.
Let's continue to play this range (45.xx to 50.xx) until it breaks out.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jun 29 2016, 11:42 PM
danmooncake
post Jun 30 2016, 02:19 AM

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Amazing isn't it. XLE (same goes for Crude Oil in terms of percentage) now is back to the day prior to the so-called Brexit fears.
This is as-if last Friday-Monday price collapse didn't happened. laugh.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jun 30 2016, 02:20 AM
danmooncake
post Jun 30 2016, 03:20 AM

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It's funny how the crude inventory drawn down (this week after EIA report for week of June 24th) spiked up the bulls side so much more than when we had a lesser drawn (the prior week).. prices didn't go down much at all.

IMO, those inventory numbers didn't matter much at all... but the market price over anticipating demand here.
All eager to spike the price up to test and retest until that $50 barrier is broken.

But, time isn't on the bull side much longer. In two or more months, seasonal driving season will wind down in North America, more and more rigs will start to fire up again, we'll go back to doubly oversupply mode again by the time production catch up.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jun 30 2016, 03:20 AM
danmooncake
post Jul 1 2016, 12:19 AM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Jun 30 2016, 10:57 PM)
broad market is mild green now. except that naughty crude. its on its 1 day up 1 day down syndrome again.
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Oil retreating ahead of the long weekend for US. So, they're taking profits already knowing that the people has pumped up to the max because next week, lesser cars will be on the road. Hedge funds are selling into it - and at the same time, the Arabs are giving additional discounts for all buyers of their oil against the benchmark. They also know they got tons of oversupply here.
All these are against prices from going higher than $50.

Again, we're continue to see the same range bound $45-$50 price for a while.

$50 (sell)
$45 (buy)


danmooncake
post Jul 1 2016, 12:48 AM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Jul 1 2016, 12:31 AM)
Arabs r givig duisounts again? These never work but rich sikhs r really hitting the oil producers on the faces.
If these r the cases, crude would not rise much further.
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Yup.. they did it last night, telling their Asian clients, hoping they will buy more.. it was reported by Bloomberg about 3 hrs ago.

danmooncake
post Jul 1 2016, 11:10 AM

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After 3 days.. it is like Brexit? What Brexit? Here we are again, as if nothing can stop this bull.. biggrin.gif

We'll have to wait for another scary story.

I think the Aunty Yellen needs to come out now and surprise the bulls with a .25 pts rate hike now. devil.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 1 2016, 11:10 AM
danmooncake
post Jul 1 2016, 11:37 PM

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Oil seems to be flat but general stocks seems to be back to the same level prior the Brexit.
Risk appetite back on here.

If one fell asleep last week and woke up today, Brexit didn't happened. biggrin.gif
danmooncake
post Jul 2 2016, 12:24 AM

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Have u notice that eventho crude has recovered half its value from the demise prior to the Brexit,
the weekly trend for crude price seems to be pointing downwards here since the peak in early June?
Unlike the general market.. crude seems to be forming a lower high and lower low trend. hmm.gif



This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 2 2016, 12:26 AM
danmooncake
post Jul 5 2016, 01:21 AM

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QUOTE(rjb123 @ Jul 3 2016, 01:51 AM)
Bought some SPY call options last week, sold out for a decent profit but far too early.

If I held them until Friday would have made 4x as much

Oh well, some profit still better than none
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Congrats! rclxms.gif That's right bro!.. some is always better than none or could be worse -
some sold out at the bottom on Monday on Brexit fears.. but with the central banks holding at extremely
low interests and some bond yields at NEGATIVE, money got no where to go but in stocks.
It is crazy... they're driving high valuation again.




danmooncake
post Jul 5 2016, 10:54 PM

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Here we go again... from almost 50 last week, we're moving down again to 45.xx
Same range play again.

Unfortunately, didn't get on the short side last week to hold for the long weekend but
will wait for opportunity again if we touch 45.xx one more time to get on the long side.

danmooncake
post Jul 6 2016, 12:00 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jul 5 2016, 11:39 PM)
that'll be a quickie.

either a wagyu steak or plain nasi lemak for dinner tmrw. laugh.gif
*
As long as there's a meal on the table, ok-lah!
Just don't let the bears steal your meals. biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 6 2016, 12:00 AM
danmooncake
post Jul 6 2016, 12:45 AM

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Oil is indeed getting weaker... almost 50c to hit that 45.xx level now.

So fast.. already lost 5% within a day.
danmooncake
post Jul 6 2016, 01:24 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 6 2016, 01:11 AM)
shale wants to return....fear arise.....
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They already returning... last report on Friday, 10+ rigs back online yet market ignores it.
Now suddenly fears come in..after the US Independence day. biggrin.gif


danmooncake
post Jul 6 2016, 10:28 PM

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All right... 45.xx is here tonight.. Time to load up. biggrin.gif

danmooncake
post Jul 7 2016, 12:12 AM

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It's working... back to $47 already.
danmooncake
post Jul 7 2016, 12:49 AM

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SP500 bounces off that 2076 support line (50ma), good support here.
So, I think they're attempting to turn this ship around for one more surge up.
danmooncake
post Jul 7 2016, 01:11 AM

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Amazing... 47.50 and moving higher.
danmooncake
post Jul 7 2016, 02:22 AM

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I think for tonight, 47.50 is the peak here.. sellers coming in already.
Tomorrow, I think we got more upside. Going to keep my shares here for one more day.
Be a bit greedy tonight. biggrin.gif
danmooncake
post Jul 7 2016, 11:54 PM

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Whew! That's a close call..Lucikly, unloaded the first thing it opens green.
It's crazy... from 48.xx then bam.. straight down to 46.xx
Can't trust this market. sweat.gif
danmooncake
post Jul 8 2016, 12:22 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 8 2016, 12:16 AM)
wow。。。back to 45.xx....
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2nd chance here... relative to crude, XLE isn't back to yesterday low but scored a lower high.
So, I'm going back in again.

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