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 USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?

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AVFAN
post Jun 17 2016, 01:07 AM

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turn of the tide?

dow gone green, wti recovers 1%!
AVFAN
post Jun 17 2016, 02:44 AM

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alright, i've just gone uwti at 30.20. tongue.gif

will see tmrw if there be a reversal or fall for a 7th session.



now back to the tv for germany-poland. biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post Jun 17 2016, 10:14 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jun 17 2016, 03:14 AM)
46 broken, bingo!  biggrin.gif
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was as low as 45.83.

now 46.55.

still hopeful it'll get to 47 tonight. tongue.gif
AVFAN
post Jun 18 2016, 12:00 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jun 17 2016, 11:42 PM)
oil bull returns?
in fact, whole world's market bullish today, don't know for what reason. Some said because UK murder case on voting thing? give me a break.  rclxub.gif
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i don't think so.... just a rebound after 6 days of decline.

will be tough to cross 47.50 convincingly.

broader market is weak still, tech and healthcare down-down.



got out of uwti.

now go watch croatia-czech match.

be back at 2am, see what happens with rig count report.




AVFAN
post Jun 18 2016, 02:52 AM

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surprisingly strong... dow also recovered.

maybe chance to short next week...

AVFAN
post Jun 18 2016, 11:20 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jun 18 2016, 06:07 AM)
This week.. really interesting move for Oil.
We seen it pulled back all the way from $50.xx to  $45.xx then, back to $48.xx by closing.

It's gonna keep us guessing where it wants to move by next week.
either another attempt to break out to $50 again or roll back down.  biggrin.gif
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yes, all big moves in the last 7 sessions.

luck i was, able to ride on all 7, all closed out now.

wti closed 48.10.

next week mon-thu may be even more jittery as brexit vote comes on thu.

busy week ahead! laugh.gif
AVFAN
post Jun 20 2016, 09:26 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Jun 20 2016, 08:30 PM)
Crude is on the rampage again. With dows future sky rocketing wonder how far can crude goes. 50??
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extra high risk next 4 days...

brexit polls can go yes-no-yes-no... biggrin.gif

tonight... i think bulls will try 50.

how about.. 48.50, uwti.... 49.5, dwti? tongue.gif
AVFAN
post Jun 21 2016, 02:20 AM

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wti after rising 2.4% running out of steam...?

i did a uwti earlier.

about to get out - ikan bilis...
AVFAN
post Jun 21 2016, 07:52 PM

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strange night ahead...

dow futures +6x.

europe +0.5%

wti...48.72 (jul), 49.19 (aug)... -1.5%.




AVFAN
post Jun 21 2016, 10:19 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Jun 21 2016, 10:09 PM)
Look ar that crude. Its now a 1 day up 1 day down syndrome.
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ya, goota yo-yo with it every night. biggrin.gif

tonight, dwti at 73.20.

wti "should" go to 48.70 later. tongue.gif
AVFAN
post Jun 21 2016, 10:29 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Jun 21 2016, 10:26 PM)
Haha i hv stopped dlirting with it atm. Getting sleepy with the boring euro 2016. Hope the germans n the pollish will play more entertaining soccer at midnight.
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the poles will make it. the germans too.

but to win bets with asian handicap, that's a diff story.

for that, my money on poland and croatia tonight.

will be staying up tonight.

will be good to get double happiness. laugh.gif
AVFAN
post Jun 22 2016, 10:09 AM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Jun 22 2016, 03:49 AM)
wow, spanish match was among the best after Germany-Ukraine match in round 1.
meanwhile, crude has rebounded quite well and Uwti is green, up 2.0 from day's low.
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croatia is fabulous! rclxms.gif


crude... api reports big stock draw; eia report will be opposite? biggrin.gif

brexit haunting markets again today...?
AVFAN
post Jun 22 2016, 06:44 PM

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QUOTE(simonmada @ Jun 22 2016, 06:30 PM)
Hey guys, other than TDA what other US brokers are good and charge less trading fee?
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read post #2.
AVFAN
post Jun 22 2016, 10:33 PM

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like i said, opposite... tongue.gif

u wonder if the data compilers need to be sacked after so many times like this! biggrin.gif

QUOTE
U.S. crude stockpiles fell by 5.2 million barrels last week, the American Petroleum Institute (API) said on Tuesday

BREAKING: US crude inventories fall by 900,000: EIA
AVFAN
post Jun 23 2016, 11:00 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jun 23 2016, 04:25 AM)
Get some cash ready.. just in case there are buying opportunities.

We are eager to see the so called -10% to -20% down.  But,..hasn't appear yet.  hmm.gif
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if brexit, i think only -3 to -5%.

bremain, maybe +2%.


but ya, on standby now. biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post Jun 23 2016, 02:58 PM

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been reading a few things about brexit/bremain.

the politicians and biz community wants bremain; common/poorer folks want brexit.

latest polls too close to call.

can see futures and oil price are towards the upside, i.e. investors are banging on bremain.

but we will get a realistic assessment of the risks investors are willing to take towards market opening later.

a couple hours before the vote results are known and towards market close, at 3-4am, we should see major volatility as the stocks, fx and commodities traders will be doing some frantic buying and selling. biggrin.gif

even last night, wti went from 50.50 to 48.50, then to 49.50 this morning.

too bad, no euro2016 match to keep me up but still, i will probably stay up until market close.

there should be plenty of opportunities to trade! laugh.gif



i am prepared for a brexit vote. if bremain, never mind.

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Jun 23 2016, 02:59 PM
AVFAN
post Jun 24 2016, 01:21 PM

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brexit it is.

seeing the movements since last night, the markets were probably too upbeat and overly eager to push everything higher for bremain.

so, the correction tonight and next week may be severe.

get your cash ready. tongue.gif



dow futures -700.

wti -6% at 47.



lesson - markets can get it wrong! biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post Jun 24 2016, 02:09 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jun 24 2016, 01:21 PM)
lesson - markets can get it wrong! biggrin.gif
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i thought this is interesting... biggrin.gif

QUOTE
Brexit: How did this just happen?

The betting markets were misinterpreted

One of the biggest reasons that traders were complacent about the possibility of a leave vote was that the betting markets, which are often believed to be more reliable than polling, suggested remain would carry the day.

Pippa Malmgrem, the author and economist, argued that these results were skewed by those betting on Remain placing larger bets.

Bookie odds were skewed by the larger bet sizes by remainers (£450) vs leavers (£75). Majority of bets were leavers
http://www.cnbc.com/2016/06/24/brexit-how-...ust-happen.html

AVFAN
post Jun 24 2016, 06:47 PM

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QUOTE(rjb123 @ Jun 24 2016, 05:08 PM)
Guess those SPY puts I bought were a good decision in the end.

Bought and sold some BARC this morning (LSE) , quick in and out (well, about an hour)
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nice! rclxms.gif

i will collect my crude short profits tonight. tongue.gif
AVFAN
post Jun 24 2016, 09:49 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jun 24 2016, 09:39 PM)
blood is so not enough.
where are bears hiding?? hesitate?  laugh.gif
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they'll come... 2am, i say. tongue.gif

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