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 USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?

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zacknistelrooy
post Dec 9 2016, 05:57 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Dec 9 2016, 04:09 PM)
big hit on casino stocks for china's tighten rmb outflow...
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Yeah it was reported at :

QUOTE
The South China Morning Post reported late Thursday that Macau would halve the amount of cash that China UnionPay cardholders can withdraw from automated teller machines (ATMs) in the territory
Report triggered sharp drops in shares of U.S. and other casino operators


I don't think the high rollers withdraw cash from the ATM so it could be the full story is not out yet.
zacknistelrooy
post Dec 9 2016, 06:41 PM

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Looks like they are back

VelocityShares’ risky triple-leveraged oil notes find new life
zacknistelrooy
post Dec 9 2016, 11:04 PM

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QUOTE
December 2016 Michigan consumer sentiment flash 98.0 vs 94.5 exp

AVFAN
post Dec 9 2016, 11:18 PM

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QUOTE(zacknistelrooy @ Dec 9 2016, 06:41 PM)
yes, found them.

nice! laugh.gif
yok70
post Dec 9 2016, 11:26 PM

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QUOTE(zacknistelrooy @ Dec 9 2016, 06:41 PM)
rclxs0.gif
AVFAN
post Dec 9 2016, 11:36 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Dec 9 2016, 11:26 PM)
rclxs0.gif
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brand new products, debut today.

uwt, dwt... both at around $24-26.

have fun! biggrin.gif
danmooncake
post Dec 10 2016, 12:12 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Dec 9 2016, 11:36 PM)
brand new products, debut today.

uwt, dwt... both at around $24-26.

have fun! biggrin.gif
*
Not much volume yet.. but over longer term, both will decay if like other 3x products.

Best way to short both of them if they let you. biggrin.gif
yok70
post Dec 10 2016, 01:56 AM

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the most dangerous ETF on earth, they are. biggrin.gif
zacknistelrooy
post Dec 10 2016, 02:07 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Dec 10 2016, 12:12 AM)
Not much volume yet.. but over longer term, both will decay if like other 3x products.

Best way to short both of them if they let you.  biggrin.gif
*
Yes but still not as bad as the decay for the VIX products


Rig count data showed total rigs rose 27 to 624, oil rigs jump 21 to 498 and gas rigs up 6 to 125
AVFAN
post Dec 10 2016, 10:13 AM

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QUOTE(zacknistelrooy @ Dec 10 2016, 02:07 AM)
Rig count data showed total rigs rose 27 to 624, oil rigs jump 21 to 498 and gas rigs up 6 to 125
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only natural that rig count keeps rising as oil price moves up, never mind the excess stocks.

still, that does not stop the fervor to push price higher if opec-non opec agrees on some cut, any cut.

but will be different in the event this meeting fails totally, no agreement.

we watch for new today.

AVFAN
post Dec 11 2016, 10:31 AM

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QUOTE
Non-OPEC oil producers to cut output 558,000 barrels a day

The 11 non-OPEC countries taking part in the agreement are: Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Brunei, Equatorial Guinea, Kazakhstan, Malaysia, Mexico, Oman, Russia, Sudan and South Sudan.
http://www.cnbc.com/2016/12/10/non-opec-oi...rels-a-day.html


danmooncake
post Dec 12 2016, 11:10 PM

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Oh darn.. $52.50 ceiling busted. Going to $60 next. Let's BUY BUY BUY! biggrin.gif
danmooncake
post Dec 12 2016, 11:23 PM

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On another note, the broader US general market, this "Trump" rally been so relentlessly for past 30 days.

It just take 30 days for the Dow to gain 15% for what it took Malaysia KLCI 5 years to gain (or loss depending when you enter).
Even now, KLCI is down 3% YTD. doh.gif





AVFAN
post Dec 13 2016, 10:01 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Dec 12 2016, 11:23 PM)
On another note, the broader US general market, this "Trump" rally been so relentlessly for past 30 days.

It just take 30 days for the Dow to gain 15% for what it took Malaysia KLCI 5 years to gain (or loss depending when you enter).
Even now, KLCI is down 3% YTD.  doh.gif
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bursa... i think it hasn't bottomed yet.

us bond yield's still rising, mgs will continue to be sold.
fed hike is now becoming fed hikes.
weak rm and new fx rulings not helping bursa.
high inflation looming with imminent hefty petrol price increase on jan 1.
consumer spending curtailed, will spend less.
outlook is not looking good.



oil... after 18% gain in 2 weeks, should be time for some profit taking, watch fed moves...
danmooncake
post Dec 13 2016, 12:48 PM

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At least the Ringgit seems to have stabilize...
or could it be BNM playing the invisible hand here supporting the fall? hmm.gif
AVFAN
post Dec 13 2016, 12:57 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Dec 13 2016, 12:48 PM)
At least the Ringgit seems to have stabilize...
or could it be BNM playing the invisible hand here supporting the fall?  hmm.gif
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they will hv u guessing until next report on fx reserves come out.

how tightly it is now rangebound with $ index bouncing around 100-102 or 2% does say something, no?! biggrin.gif

something to read:

QUOTE

danmooncake
post Dec 13 2016, 01:51 PM

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Hmm.. something to watch for indeed. My company subsidiary is in Malaysia and if Trump plan calls for higher tax rate, they
may shut down the factory in Malaysia and move it back to US. hmm.gif
yok70
post Dec 13 2016, 08:47 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Dec 13 2016, 01:51 PM)
Hmm.. something to watch for indeed. My company subsidiary is in Malaysia and if Trump plan calls for higher tax rate, they
may shut down the factory in Malaysia and move it back to US.  hmm.gif
*
hmm....so this tax rate hike + lower corporate tax ==> massive businesses moving back from overseas to US? If so, world stock market could be very bearish for a while and US market would rally strong continues.....now the only hope for neutralize effect is to count on China's regional strategic.
AVFAN
post Dec 13 2016, 10:52 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Dec 13 2016, 08:47 PM)
hmm....so this tax rate hike + lower corporate tax ==> massive businesses moving back from overseas to US? If so, world stock market could be very bearish for a while and US market would rally strong continues.....now the only hope for neutralize effect is to count on China's regional strategic.
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that's trumps' plan - to bring more $ and jobs back to USA.

if the tax reforms go thru, things will get very tough for some markets, bursa included.

and trump rally continues... dow will hit 20k in no time.
danmooncake
post Dec 13 2016, 11:21 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Dec 13 2016, 08:47 PM)
hmm....so this tax rate hike + lower corporate tax ==> massive businesses moving back from overseas to US? If so, world stock market could be very bearish for a while and US market would rally strong continues.....now the only hope for neutralize effect is to count on China's regional strategic.
*
I am not sure if can count on China. To be blunt, they don't put anything in if they know they get little in return.
They're even more shrewd than the Americans. They will come in and gobble up everything, lock in their profits
and move money out even faster than the ang mohs.







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