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 USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?

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danmooncake
post Mar 5 2025, 11:23 AM

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I'm watching T addressing US congress now.

Oh man. This guy really has no clue how tariff works... doh.gif
His MAGA team keep cheering on...

Both Canada and Mexico are retaliating now.

US consumers will suffer for sure..but maybe they just don't know yet.

danmooncake
post Mar 6 2025, 12:19 AM

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QUOTE(ozak @ Mar 5 2025, 04:06 PM)
Once have to understand how each president do their job and their way.

Biden - Give you $$ to setup a plant here and subsidize the existing.

Trump - Built plant here or I will tariff you.

Which wan work best ?  biggrin.gif
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Let see..

Trump (first term), FoxConn says they will invest $20b - in Wisconsin.
State Wisconsin so excited... gave them a lot of tax breaks, land (buying back the land from private land owners)
also invited them for photo opp, plant trees.etc..

Then they got stiffed, Foxconn realized it is not feasible.. State of Wisconsin got mad.. took back subsidies.
Now trying to sell it to Microsoft for data center at much lower price.

Biden's one, so far the Arizona (TSMC first fab) was building in progress and production this year.. but let see how it goes.

I think all these companies realize they can say anything to please the current administration.. then when they're gone (4 to 8 years max), quietly will move away the very moment the ROI is not there.




danmooncake
post Mar 6 2025, 12:22 AM

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QUOTE(john123x @ Mar 5 2025, 04:26 PM)
isnt it too early to enter?

i remember some forumer here said it will be -20%
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Sometimes, it is very difficult to time everything it. Best is if you have target price to go in..just get in small batches until you've a full position.
danmooncake
post Mar 7 2025, 07:46 AM

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QUOTE(ozak @ Mar 6 2025, 10:20 AM)

The only company so far I see it success to move into US is Broadcom from Malaysia. When Trump was in 1st term.
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Oh.. you mean when the current CEO Tan Hock Eng moves its HQ from Singapore to USA 8 years ago?

I think Broadcom itself has always been a US company but they just move things around to present
an illusion that they're US domicile again. biggrin.gif

A lot of the manufacturing still are outside the US.. the design work maybe in US,
but fab,etc... still cheaper outside.
danmooncake
post Mar 7 2025, 07:49 AM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Mar 6 2025, 05:40 PM)
Yes,... DeepSeek is using the cheaper H800 GPUs manufactured by NVDA. Then,... wouldn't it be esier to kill-off DeepSeek ? Just enforce export controls on these H800 GPU's going to China,.... then no low-capex AI servers can be produced anymore,... or perhaps just limited numbers can be produced.

NVDA will still get to sell the lower range H-series of GPUs, won't die.
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Yes, no matter what NVDA still profiting by selling its chips.

Unless there's something that will come out to rival NVDA.
Maybe Huawei/Kirin is working on a secret AI chip? hmm.gif
danmooncake
post Mar 7 2025, 10:24 PM

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QUOTE(langstrasse @ Mar 7 2025, 04:30 PM)
I can understand deepseek but why is Trump a positive catalyst for China stocks?
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Sometimes it is rotation...

Fund managers took US side profits... and buy "undervalue" stocks in China/Asia.
Well, mostly HK listed ones.
danmooncake
post Mar 10 2025, 10:58 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Mar 8 2025, 04:50 PM)
Perhaps shld start averaging down now,.... holding NVidia at 129.021 bought on July 8th 2024.
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Revising Sept lows soon... 100 almost there. Get ready.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Mar 10 2025, 10:58 PM
danmooncake
post Mar 11 2025, 12:29 PM

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QUOTE(sp3d2 @ Mar 11 2025, 09:25 AM)
Tesla drop to December 2020. Even then PE ratio is still over the roof.
Tesla is a meme stock now.
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https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSDD/

Inverse-TSLA 2.x whopping 30% gain..
danmooncake
post Mar 12 2025, 09:07 AM

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QUOTE(dwRK @ Mar 11 2025, 08:52 PM)
itm puts track prices 1 to 1... its also fixed cost...

2-3x products track %... is subjected to rebalancing and decay... bad idea to hold more than 1-2 days...
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This. thumbup.gif

mois:
Those trading vehicles are leverage.. and yes, they do decay and their expense ratios are high.
Not for investment but people use them for short term trading vehicles if they don't want to use options method.


danmooncake
post Mar 14 2025, 12:09 AM

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QUOTE(noien @ Mar 12 2025, 09:46 PM)
Market green today nice
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Aka dead cat bounce..
More downside coming..

It is seeking a low... probably low side consolidation but no capitulation yet.



danmooncake
post Mar 14 2025, 12:10 AM

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QUOTE(mois @ Mar 13 2025, 09:38 PM)
Intel bounced 6th time from $18-$19 area already. If not for sp500 downtrending, already whack intel.
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This one can trade around that gap between 20-24. biggrin.gif
danmooncake
post Mar 14 2025, 01:22 AM

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I'm surprise NVDA is stll quite resilient.. despite Nasdaq now is -2% hmm.gif
danmooncake
post Mar 26 2025, 12:12 PM

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https://www.cnbc.com/2025/03/25/chinese-tea...androidappshare

Here we go.. another ADR. Hopefully this is not Luckin. sweat.gif
danmooncake
post Mar 28 2025, 10:52 PM

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QUOTE(ozak @ Mar 25 2025, 09:11 AM)
Look like 13/3 is the bottom.

buy buy buy.
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Dunno yet... It is still tariffs tariffs tariffs ..
Maybe we'll hit 20% correction.
Need to have more fire power ready. sweat.gif
danmooncake
post Apr 3 2025, 07:14 AM

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Here we go... Tariff man is here! sweat.gif

user posted image


This post has been edited by danmooncake: Apr 3 2025, 07:16 AM
danmooncake
post Apr 4 2025, 11:54 PM

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QUOTE(damien5119 @ Apr 4 2025, 10:28 PM)
please drop more. i will put my life savings in nvida and amazon
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NVDA now below 100.., getting closer to 12 months low (90). Get ready! drool.gif
danmooncake
post Apr 5 2025, 12:05 AM

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QUOTE(ChAOoz @ Apr 4 2025, 11:14 PM)
If you are day trading this, then look for fed chair speech later.

But with jobs going so strong and inflationary tariff in place, i believe it will be more hawkish instead of cutting interest rate like what Trumps want.

Cause the fed dual mandate is jobs and inflation. I would buy puts going into this as insurance.
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Yes, that too. Jobs numbers so far good for last month. Go forward, not so sure. hmm.gif

Trump wants Fed to cut rates but instead he puts on Tariff which is inflationary.
How to cut rates when inflation remains high? Eggs prices in US are 4x higher than in Malaysia - minus the exchange rate.

Unless US is in recession - which officially is two consecutive quarters of negative growth.
I think it is probably on its way there but data is backward looking.
We may not have the real numbers until September.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Apr 5 2025, 12:05 AM
danmooncake
post Apr 5 2025, 01:26 AM

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QUOTE(TOS2 @ Apr 5 2025, 01:03 AM)
Scoop up 7 units of VOO. Time to enter when people are panic!

More to come.
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VIX > 40 today.. I think it's time to get some.
danmooncake
post Apr 7 2025, 12:48 PM

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QUOTE(ozak @ Apr 7 2025, 08:43 AM)
Look like today possible will plunge the S&P into bearish.

With this sharp drop, will there be V-shaped recovery?

Many past situations show it will.
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Wow... futures all still red. SP500 below 5000. Going to wipe out 2024 gains if dive below 4700. sweat.gif
I think we're going to get a small oversold bounce this up coming week after intense sell off.
Waiting for the last bear. Get your cash ready.


danmooncake
post Apr 7 2025, 11:42 PM

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QUOTE(kerolzarmyfanboy @ Apr 7 2025, 01:30 PM)
anyone loading up more NVDA?  tongue.gif

i've limited fund this month unfortunately coz planning for a trip. so thinking of either loading more SPYL or should i go NVDA straight  sweat.gif
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I got a filled $85 PUT.. hope this hold till Friday. Otherwise will be assigned. sweat.gif




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