Oh yes. Most is in agreement that profits will be insane/obscene/crazy/fatt like crazy/super gila profit/ for 2021 ....
that issue is without doubt (at this moment) ... all is in agreement.... no one is challenging or disputing this fact.
what is in concern is the 2022 numbers. (2022 is actually not that far away)
issue is the ASP.
repost ....
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/asp-...-says-top-gloveQuote: Top Glove Corp Bhd has guided that the average selling price (ASP) for its nitrile gloves will increase by 30% in October, 15% in November and perhaps another 10% after November, as outlook for the group and the glove industry remains promising.
As of this month, the group's ASP for nitrile gloves stands at US$70 per 1,000 pieces. Nitrile gloves production occupied almost 60% of the total group's production, while the remainder comprised latex and vinyl gloves.
TG own guidance hor.... 70 X 1.3 x 1.15 ~ US104.65 per 1000 pcs.
and from this Edge article... we can make comparison....
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/sell...w-signs-peakingQuote:
On average, the current ASPs of nitrile and rubber gloves are US$50, and US$30 to US$40 per 1,000 gloves — more than double the pre-Covid-19 levels of US$21 and US$17 respectively.ASP will be more than triple come end of the year....
This is the boom boom boom factor .....
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So say we take B as the number of gloves a factory sell per quarter....
And my simple math is ........
Sales = B x ASP ....
The higher the ASP goes .... the value of the sales will increase... which ultimately means higher profit.
But now, for this instance.... can TopGlove maintain its ASP which has basically increased from US17 to US104.65 ?
Can this profit multiplier be maintained? 2021? looks like no problem at all...
But the issue from since Sep is can this insane ASP be maintained? If ASP drops to US70? .... profit will still be insane but if compared to 2021 it will represent a huge decline.
Yes we gloves kakis do acknowledge that asp might b lower post 2021. But w global demand at 15% per year, it should cushion a little when things normalize. Of cos, ppl can decide whether to exit or keep it for long term like Public Bank that rose to this point