Btw how's your Chinese portfolio? Did you scale out some of the positions
STOCK MARKET DISCUSSION V150
STOCK MARKET DISCUSSION V150
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Aug 17 2021, 04:11 PM
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#1241
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Btw how's your Chinese portfolio? Did you scale out some of the positions
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Aug 26 2021, 07:02 AM
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#1242
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QUOTE(ChAOoz @ Aug 25 2021, 10:24 AM) Hoho seemed you are right on blue chip. So far your punt all not bad wor, from China tech shorts to Bursa blue chips. I spend like 4 hours on Bloomberg every day. Morning wake up at 5 am watch Bloomberg TV. At night before US market opens at 9.30pm, It is hard work haha. Also, I am studying for CFA Level 1 exam so I guess that's time well spent. At least better than using social media. The big money always drops hints during live interviews except people from the major banks. But this is only useful to short and medium term trading.Definitely on a roll This post has been edited by qsrt1616: Aug 26 2021, 07:09 AM |
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Aug 26 2021, 07:10 AM
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#1243
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FYI When Najib took power, KLCI rose by 100%, we could possibly see KLCI breaking an all-time high 2000 if the macroeconomic trends align with investor's sentiment, be it foreign, local or retail. It only takes a few billion USD to push KLCI to the moon and beyond. The problem is Inari and tech companies need to get added and Supermax and TopGlove kicked out which are not going to happen in forever. And kick out the GLCs which is not happening either. A distant but certain future My stocks to watch (only blue chip and large caps): Shipping Rank 3: MISC Plantation Rank 2(unique moat and business in Malaysia): KLK, Hapseng, Batu Kawan Financials Rank 4: Public Bank Technology Rank 1: Inari, MPI, Vitrox Besides technology, plantation looks like the next sector. When foreign funds go to an emerging market in Asia and pump stocks, they usually pick local companies that have this sort of a unique moat and exclusivity in a particular region. Vietnam: Textile, plastic, paper Taiwan: Electronics (TSMC), Shipping (Evergreen Marine Corp, YangMing Corp) Malaysia: Plantation??? Energy not likely because the US is also a behemoth in this sector. However, the problem with plantation is ESG risks (an annoying buzzword) and the fact that they have already been pumped before 10 years ago. So, try to find the one with the least political affiliation, ESG-compliant, and not been pumped a lot in the last 10 years coupled with good fundamentals and technicals. Plantations have been dead for years. I've been monitoring FCPO trades and sense some form of manipulation going on. To the north of course Also interested to hear which plantation company or any large companies are you all looking at since our KLCI is officially no longer bearish. Not that confident with plantation honestly although the index, trends and sentiment lines up. FCPO is back to 2008 high which is absolutely insane This post has been edited by qsrt1616: Aug 26 2021, 07:49 AM meors liked this post
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Aug 26 2021, 08:07 AM
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#1244
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After a morning of research into which plantation company to pick, I've come across this very good source to share with y'all. Good luck and may the bull be with you https://www.bursamalaysia.com/sites/5d809dc...une2021.pdf.pdf iamnumberone liked this post
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Aug 26 2021, 09:28 AM
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#1245
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QUOTE(zstan @ Aug 26 2021, 09:28 AM) Oh shit even worse LoTek liked this post
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Aug 27 2021, 10:35 AM
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#1246
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Looks like today need to buy Chinese EV stocks again. XPeng Vice Chairman said that the company is in good relations with regulatory bodies. So, sell Chinese internet companies and buy EVs I guess
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Sep 4 2021, 10:54 PM
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#1247
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QUOTE(stevecrypto @ Sep 4 2021, 07:51 PM) Are you one of those bears or part of the elliott wave group that keep saying the same thing till it comes true.... I think he follows the general notion that September is the worst performing month for S&P500. Unless you are a swing trader, you should not care for any monthly performance. |
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Sep 7 2021, 06:53 PM
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#1248
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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Sep 7 2021, 03:42 PM) Of course, in a couple more years, it will be even more funny. It's been 8 months and you are still rambling about TopGlove. So how much have you made from buying put warrants./short-selling glove? You speak as if there is any tangible method to make money from betting against glove for retail investors except the first few Kenanga put warrants. Never changed, still as annoying as beforeA simple rationale was made... in which the ASP rose too fast too soon. That was the very key... However, you can take out TG, and observe that most people in stocks, simply would rather defend their stock position than rationale out the risk issues... just like people who is betting on the same stock Old con man is promoting. Never would they even want to consider the possibility that the old man is wrong or they are wrong... so it's always us versus them. I've seen all these way too often. The messenger is always, always wrong. No need talk. No need discuss. They are wrong, wrong, wrong.... For TG... I can still remember how they dissect word by word in Macquarie sell report. They had the conspiracy theory they were working with short sellers... LOL! and then the videos made on call warrants... ROFLMAO!!!! the bad USBP .... and then big, bad boy JPMorgan.... and then the RSS shorties.... LOL!! TG is never wrong.... it is them hat is always wrong... the bad NOISE. .... and yet the story continues.... plenty still want to defend... not willing to even consider the fact they could be wrong. This post has been edited by qsrt1616: Sep 7 2021, 06:53 PM |
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Sep 8 2021, 07:42 PM
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#1249
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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Sep 8 2021, 08:08 AM) LOL! I have the ignore function on... hahaha.... until you quoted the repliy.... lol... what to do. Likewise, you have been added to my ignore list as well. Also thanks for bringing it up again. I am doing very well now. The money made from glove companies last year was life-changing for you. I am sorry you missed out honestly.If you need to know, use the search button, and search for SCIB... it's there... and yup, it's all just personal. #55027 and #55011 this is what happens when one brags their wins/losses so much, until someone discovers it's all hot air. Yup, remember I was always against folks talking about how much they win/lose in the market. Rather pointless. It's the internet la... no need to prove your s is longer or what not.... p/s .... it's all handbags for me now... I will just ignore... no point wrestling in the mud ... This post has been edited by qsrt1616: Sep 8 2021, 07:54 PM |
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Sep 8 2021, 07:48 PM
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#1250
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deleted
This post has been edited by qsrt1616: Sep 9 2021, 06:16 AM |
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Sep 8 2021, 07:51 PM
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#1251
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Sep 9 2021, 06:15 AM
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#1252
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QUOTE(statikinetic @ Sep 8 2021, 11:20 PM) Hey. I do understand the strong emotions coming across when it comes to the things we strongly believe in. Alright, I apologise for the harsh comments yesterday. Generally having a bad day, but I sincerely hope everything works well for you too. I admit I do have a very different strategy than most people here and my risk tolerance is through the roof so I might appear as impulsive and irrational which I am. Because my belief is that the only way to make money in the stock market is to overleverage on the stocks you believe (must know the industry inside out, the management team, financial data, macroeconomic trends, institutional ownership, analyst calls) , hold it for more than 1 financial quarter (Never daytrade/swing trade) and strive for big home runs (+1000%). My strategy might be in conflict with most people here who focuses on value investing and slow/long term growth. I just cannot wait 50 years for my investment to turn a profit when it reaches retirement age.No offence taken. There are some things which I do wish to build on your points as I think that is what this forum is about. Learning constructively from each other. First is on the "hating on glove companies". One of the first things that I learnt from investing is never to fall in love with your stocks or industries. Sticking with a company through thick and thin is love. And that is perfectly okay as long as we accept that losses is part of that love journey. On the other hand is if I am in to make money, falling in love will cost me money. One instance the amount I lost in a day was enough to buy a car. So I'm no wise man on the mountain. To make money, I usually have to take a third party view to any specific investment and be open to multiple sides of the same story. The glove industry is in this category and I have owned glove stocks (This was a punt from me). I am agnostic about it as an industry; do not have a preference whichever way it goes. I do have dislikes which I put on the forum before which I will never invest in; I dislike airlines and Tenaga which I feel the price is propped up by sentiment rather than fundamentals. So if I am agnostic about glove companies, why do I make reference about Top Glove to Boon from time to time? Because the glove rush of 2020 was the event of the decade of which all the psychological factors that drive human behaviour is on full display. It's like watching man land on the moon in investing terms. It's like 9/11. It is a fantastic case study for knowledge and not a sporting event to see which side wins. At it's peak, people were so irrational about how high the price would go that they would shut out any information to the contrary on their own free will. The best part was when while all the Banks were happy to feed the frenzy with high TPs of 10, 12 or even 15; suddenly here came JP Morgan with a 3.50 TP. And suddenly they were public enemy number one. But with hindsight almost a year on, where is the price now? Almost to 3.50! Isn't that fascinating how that happened? Especially where all the information on WHY the price would fall was already in the JP Morgan reports. Today we look at it and go, that is so obvious but why didn't people think about it then. Perhaps people did think of it, just that information which does not align with our worldview can be discarded by our minds if we are not careful. It is interesting for me as a student of investing psychology. The tech bull run and the packaging industry. I was never a part of the tech bull run because I felt I did not understand the industry enough to put money on the line even though I felt that the price would go up. And I had reached my risk limit for gambles. As for the packaging industry, I am an investor here as I think I do understand the dynamics of it. Boon3, icemanfx and myself may echo the same info on an industry but if you observe we are quite different. icemanfx comes off as a more cautious natured person, though I am not sure if he/she is a trader or investor style. Boon3 is a trader based on what I have seen and his TA is always interesting. I consider myself as more of an investor style in that I usually buy into a company and keep it for years. Sometimes I gamble on a trade but those I usually lose money (I consider this Genting style entertainment). So if you have three different individuals making observations about a particular company or event, perhaps there is something there. I do feel that you sound quite vested in gloves and really do wish you all the best. I know of people who are also vested and it would make me happy for the industry shoot to the moon again. I've been wrong before, *cough* Mr DIY *cough*, and could easily be wrong again. But my interest in TG is purely observational and not personal. I still have Top Glove shares since early 2020. I am not bullish on gloves at all but personally I would not hate on glove companies because in Malaysia, the market is rigged to a point that retail investors have no tangible methods to bet against glove companies. Top Glove put warrants are heavily overpriced and the ones issued by Macquarie Securities never moved. I've tried to buy these warrants but they just never worked as well as the first few put warrants issued by Kenanga in December 2020. Also, how the heck is it fair that retail investors cannot short-sell Top Glove for a period of time? Only RSS for retailers and you are telling me that institutions can short stocks for as long as they wish? At least in the US market, everyone can write options and bet against it. However, I do agree with your bearish calls and @Boon3. You both have done a great job at giving advice to beginners to stay away from the glove companies and avoid catching the falling knives. I am glad that bearish call worked out at the same time and you helped a lot of retail investors from potentially losing more money. Most people that are still holding Top Glove can afford to suffer the blow because their account size is large TLDR The market is rigged against us and we are in this together. All the best This post has been edited by qsrt1616: Sep 9 2021, 06:36 AM statikinetic liked this post
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Sep 9 2021, 06:17 AM
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#1253
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QUOTE(howyoulikethat @ Sep 8 2021, 08:35 PM) how about we just share about stocks that we have? No need to add to more hostility lah Same as before. The tech kings, MPI, Greatech, D&O, Frontken. I still believe Bursa tech will hit 100. Don't buy the 2nd tier tech companies and you will do very well. Large cap is the way to go.This post has been edited by qsrt1616: Sep 9 2021, 06:26 AM howyoulikethat liked this post
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Sep 9 2021, 06:19 AM
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#1254
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QUOTE(Taikor.Taikun @ Sep 8 2021, 11:30 PM) Relax. Tech stocks r rising again. Chill. I have a price target of RM80 - RM100 for MPI lol. Greatech is a little harder because the retail ownership is getting too high. And as we know, local institutions will short the f*** out of every stock filled with retail investors. Greatech is 70% retail 30% inst. Whereas MPI is around 50/50. MPI is and will be the next Nestle of Bursa technology. MPI deserves at least half the market cap of Nestle IMO. EPF/KWSP still have not bought MPI and they likely will if my prediction holds true. There will be major correction incoming for Bursa technology but I will hold MPI until 2023 or when the price target is hit. The situation is similar to investing in O&G in 2016. Just something to take note however, semiconductor stocks will definitely come down sooner or later but I see greater upside of at least 50%Im holding some tech stocks w profits. But im most excited w Greatech. Do u think this one can hold long-term? Is it the new MPI? When China rebound strongly after the covid lockdowns, they were facing employee shortage. Many companies were understaffed, unable to cope w strong demands. So they look to ‘automation’. Will Greatech have a chance in the Chinese market? Right now you have a lot of economists and analysts finding excuse for a stock market crash. All of them trying to find the next black swan event which is super cringeworthy. The algos don't care and will continue to buy. The music will end at the most unexpected times. If I come in here spamming posts like I did in August 2020, then that is a sell signal hahaha This post has been edited by qsrt1616: Sep 9 2021, 06:55 AM |
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Sep 9 2021, 06:20 AM
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#1255
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Sep 9 2021, 03:40 PM
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#1256
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I only have my last batch of shares. But how is TopGlove down so much today
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Sep 17 2021, 11:37 AM
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#1257
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Foreign funds bought more Malaysia Large Cap and Medium Cap Tech stocks
Local funds bought more Malaysia Small and Medium Cap Tech stocks Bursa tech index 100 by October 10 2021 10/10/2021 Bursa Tech index 100 Good luck. Research completed. No need fundamental/technical analysis. I see GREEN, I am HAPPY. Set all my sell order to after October. Have fun buying my Genetech shares at RM50+. Foreign funds rotate out of Chinese tech and overweight on South East Asia. Check out Morgan Stanley's latest report. Underweight on US equities and overweight on emerging market apart from China. FBMKLCI is a BIG liar, our KLCI Technology index is the REAL DEAL. Our tech index actually tracks S&P500 if you monitor closely. It is going to outperform Nasdaq in the next quarter. Man, am I excited. Can't wait for boomers to FOMO tech stocks next week and buy Greatech at RM8.00 from me. It is a matter of when that is going to happen. 100%. So glad I held all the tech shares despite some stupid MCO fears and a lot of tech bears. TIME TO SLAUGHTER THE BURSA TECH BEARS. All in Greatech Greatech call warrants, MPI MPI calls, Genetech, D&O D&O call warrants, Baba put warrants, Inari, Frontkn, JHM, blah blah blah. Whatever "TECH", TAKE MY MONEY!!! Make my money PRINT. Ain't gonna wait until 60 years old to retire. This post has been edited by qsrt1616: Sep 17 2021, 11:50 AM |
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Sep 17 2021, 11:58 AM
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#1258
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Semiconductor and technology is Oil and Gas in 2016 - 2017. Don't miss out on the crazy gains this year. We are slowly apporaching peak euphoria and this is FOMO phase. Haha whoever sold last April because of MCO fears. RIP
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Sep 17 2021, 04:32 PM
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#1259
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Bursa tech is actually about to hit 100 james.6831 liked this post
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Sep 18 2021, 09:46 PM
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#1260
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As always, Lowyat members still talking about TopGlove. Y'all just can't stop hating the company. MOVE ON and find the NEXT stock
This forum is so bad. Do you guys even make profits from spreading bearish thesis on Top Glove every day? It is just another company that is downtrending. No way to short or buy puts. Useless to discuss about it actually. If you are talking about Alibaba puts, then that's something because anyone can profit from it. So, anyways. Bursa Tech 100 by October 10 2021 Because October 10 10/10/2021 10x10=100 Bursa Tech Index Alibaba 100$ puts. This post has been edited by qsrt1616: Sep 18 2021, 09:47 PM |
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