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Investors Club V9, Previously known as Traders Kopitiam
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cooldownguy86
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Nov 13 2015, 11:36 PM
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abg boon got see LCTH? Mintak tolong can?
From the latest Q notes, PBT increased by 2.7mil QoQ largely due to improved profit and forex.
Looking at section B10, forex gain increased by 3mil QoQ. Other items in B10 remained the same for both qtrs.
But comparing QoQ income statement: 1. Lower revenue in latest Q but same gross profit (margin improved from 18% to 22%) 2. Other Income remains the same 3. Selling and Admin Expenses reduced by 2.4mil
I'm not sure where the forex gain is reflected in income statement. I would think that it should be under Other Income, but now it seems like it is reflected under Selling and Admin Expenses which doesn't make sense?
This post has been edited by cooldownguy86: Nov 13 2015, 11:39 PM
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cooldownguy86
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Nov 17 2015, 12:14 AM
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First Res latest Q sales worse than I expected. I expected 42mil profit but actual only 33mil. Revised my estimation:
FY15 profit estimate = 3Q Profit + (Q4 estimated sales * CPO increase - Q4 estimated Cost) * 1.4 = 30 + 30 + 33 + (100*1.2 - 70) = 143m i.e. EPS USD 9.4ents or SGD 13.2cents. Assuming PE11, fair value is SGD $1.45
FY16 profit estimate = (FY15 estimated sales * CPO increase - FY15 Estimated Cost) * Growth = (400 * 1.2 - 280) * 1.05 = 200m i.e. EPS SGD 18.4cents. Assuming PE11, fair value is SGD $2.00 (CPO at 2.4k) = (400 * 1.1 - 280) * 1.05 = 168m i.e. EPS SGD 15.4cents. Assuming PE11, fair value is SGD $1.70 (CPO at 2.2k)
This post has been edited by cooldownguy86: Nov 17 2015, 12:23 AM
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cooldownguy86
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Nov 17 2015, 06:58 PM
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abg boon your hevea no look back liao. 1.60 reli lai liao
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cooldownguy86
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Nov 17 2015, 10:34 PM
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QUOTE(TC-Titan @ Nov 17 2015, 07:53 PM) Your TAANN gap up like a boss. If can sustain above 4.30 should be interesting. Timber sales -21% but PBT can still +42% coz price +29% in RM terms mak oii. I dunno how to play this one political link and not sure if timber price can sustain. If can then RM6 will mari. Can't find any updated source of local timber price on the internet either. This post has been edited by cooldownguy86: Nov 17 2015, 10:36 PM
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cooldownguy86
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Nov 17 2015, 11:02 PM
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hevea vs flbhd latest Q net margin - 15% vs 23% forex - 1.5mil (7%) loss vs 4mil (34%) gain annualised latest EPS - 18.5 vs 37.4 potential upside - 36% vs 53% apa macam abg boon? but of coz hevea got at least 10% institution ownership plus mr. koon and coldeye also own it This post has been edited by cooldownguy86: Nov 18 2015, 12:36 AM
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cooldownguy86
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Nov 18 2015, 10:08 AM
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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Nov 18 2015, 09:28 AM) FL doing rather nicely! I guess hardwork is paying rather nicely for you! Cheers! p/s: do ignore those shallow comments.  See only but never buy :/ Ah pohuat like very lonely hehe I ok one. Everyone has own style and opinion just embrace the diversity This post has been edited by cooldownguy86: Nov 18 2015, 10:19 AM
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cooldownguy86
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Nov 18 2015, 12:02 PM
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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Nov 18 2015, 10:30 AM) And yes, that's how the share market is and that's how we can profit from it. There a lot of shares now profiting from our weak ringgit. Just pick your best one and stick to it.... Look.... seems like Hevea is picking up steam.  This one, I know you have.  Haha  but this year performance is just enough to cover ringgit depreciation only. Made many bad decisions in the 1h of the year :/
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cooldownguy86
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Nov 18 2015, 08:23 PM
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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Nov 18 2015, 04:06 PM) Trading everyday.... if you impose that on yourself..... what exactly are you doing?  Your tin man can return to 10% margin ah? Rm4+ leh
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cooldownguy86
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Nov 18 2015, 08:55 PM
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Tsh 71mil forex loss. Gg
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cooldownguy86
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Nov 18 2015, 11:59 PM
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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Nov 18 2015, 10:30 AM) And yes, that's how the share market is and that's how we can profit from it. There a lot of shares now profiting from our weak ringgit. Just pick your best one and stick to it.... Look.... seems like Hevea is picking up steam.  This one, I know you have.  CIMB TP RM2 leh https://42.156.32.166/cgi-bin/getReport.py?...4d-9effb12415aa
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cooldownguy86
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Nov 19 2015, 12:50 PM
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Market so optimistic forex loss 71mil only punish by - 3%
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cooldownguy86
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Nov 20 2015, 02:52 PM
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Interesting myr surging
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cooldownguy86
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Nov 20 2015, 03:44 PM
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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Nov 20 2015, 03:17 PM)  you betting on the strength of the dollar or the weakness of the ringgit?  Hoping for temporary weakness hehe
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cooldownguy86
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Nov 23 2015, 07:38 PM
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QUOTE(TC-Titan @ Nov 23 2015, 05:58 PM) Did you top-up tekan besi, when price was around 1.99? cooldownguy86 your TP might be reaching soon. Still interested to masuk?  PS: No news or announcement. So for the price to be sold down means upcoming results might be bad. So must be a bit careful if wana top-up or enter. Now hoping for 1.50!
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cooldownguy86
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Nov 23 2015, 11:06 PM
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ah can reli can... watch show again
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cooldownguy86
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Nov 24 2015, 09:53 AM
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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Nov 24 2015, 09:30 AM)  at this rate you will grow very, very, very young ....................  Haha I'm not sure if this is sarcasm or not
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cooldownguy86
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Nov 24 2015, 11:53 AM
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QUOTE(gark @ Nov 24 2015, 10:47 AM) How can stock like this drop 50% in 1 year.. Now selling at TTM PE 14 .. Oh and its a consumer food product company .. [attachmentid=5362076] Irrational market.. buying opportunity?  Laba buto.... Everytime i read their accounts I'll have a good laugh haha
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cooldownguy86
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Nov 24 2015, 12:00 PM
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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Nov 24 2015, 10:01 AM)   1. You can't buy the whole market. (Not a good strategy too!) 2. If so, choose and concentraye the best.. Failure to do so.... 3. Just buy lory loads of kuaci.  Haha word of wisdom!
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cooldownguy86
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Nov 24 2015, 11:16 PM
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ah tin man gg. kesm macam boleh wor? RM9.60? hehe  sorry ah i reli very gatal one. This post has been edited by cooldownguy86: Nov 24 2015, 11:32 PM
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cooldownguy86
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Nov 27 2015, 12:15 AM
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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Nov 26 2015, 06:36 PM) haha.... TQ for sarcastic comments. Congratulations and you are welcomed. the beauty of malaysia!  your F&B punya ah moi also manyak hebat wor
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