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 Fundsupermart.com v12, Najibnomics to lift KLCI?

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xuzen
post Dec 8 2015, 04:05 PM

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QUOTE(biz.fix @ Dec 8 2015, 03:37 PM)
Hi All. Good to see so many active fund investors here. But I'm not sure if its a good idea to be too active switching in and out too frequently. Here's an article by BlackRock, just to share some thoughts:

BlackRock: Weathering Uncertain Markets

I'm curious to know, you guys who invested through FSM, mostly did it with your own cash or through your EPF account 1?

I'm an Adviser with Kenanga. If any of you are interested to invest through your EPF OR Sign up for a PRS Account to claim your RM3,000 tax relief. Kindly PM me.

If you're located in Klang Valley, we are able to come to you and facilitate a hassle free application process with a better offer compared to FSM.

Sorry for the ad. Hope this can provide some value. Cheers!  thumbup.gif
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You are in a DIY Investing forum lah!

It is like going to Man-U Old Traford to sell Arsenal tee-shirts. LOL rclxms.gif rclxms.gif rclxms.gif

Xuzen
xuzen
post Dec 8 2015, 08:47 PM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Dec 8 2015, 05:18 PM)
I have been listening to the market noise and reading the analysis by industry experts for the past one year. I still remain convinced that there is only one single main factor that will determine the success of our long term investment plan in unit trusts. That factor is our asset allocation.

We cannot control or predict how a particular fund or how the market will behave tomorrow. The only factor that we can control is our asset allocation (to quote William Bernstein).
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I listened to those experts this year during qtr two and three. China this, China that bla bla bla... its cheap, valuation is low.... bla bla bla. And mind you it was not just one expert but multitude of experts from multiple fund houses somemore!

Ended up I lost money there (China).

Lesson learned.... trend-spotting is akin to train-wrecking.

Xuzen

This post has been edited by xuzen: Dec 8 2015, 08:49 PM
xuzen
post Dec 8 2015, 09:04 PM

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You people notice this again or not?

Ponzi 2 (Asia Pac) & Titan (developed mkt) funds both are down; but bolehland fund i.e.., small cap and Lee Sook Yee wub.gif funds are up pulak.

Diversification rulez!

Xuzen

This post has been edited by xuzen: Dec 8 2015, 09:05 PM
xuzen
post Dec 10 2015, 06:34 PM

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QUOTE(vincabby @ Dec 10 2015, 06:27 PM)
means xuzen and pink spider will need to answer a lot more of the same kind of questions though..tough work ppl.. notworthy.gif
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One forumer asked is it good time to go into Ponzi 2.0 a few posts back, which I've explicitly answered one or two pagesago. He did not bother to read back, and want spoon-feeding bottle-feeding.

Must resist bottle-feeding.... shakehead.gif

Xuzen

This post has been edited by xuzen: Dec 10 2015, 06:35 PM
xuzen
post Dec 11 2015, 12:02 PM

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QUOTE(Kaka23 @ Dec 11 2015, 11:23 AM)
Completed my quota for PRS investment this year...  rclxm9.gif
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I achieved my PRS quota too. Mine is on auto-pilot aka monthly auto-debit through my bank.

My SSPN quota also achieved liao.

7% tax-exempted donation to charity also done.

I has been a fulfilling year.

Xuzen

This post has been edited by xuzen: Dec 11 2015, 12:04 PM
xuzen
post Dec 12 2015, 12:23 PM

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QUOTE(T231H @ Dec 12 2015, 10:07 AM)
just got this....
Why Correlation Doesn't Matter Much
http://www.forbes.com/sites/rickferri/2014...nt-matter-much/
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My caveat is don't be fooled by the title... you have to read carefully and between the line.

My take are as follows:

I) The author said corr-coeff does not guarantee alpha aka excess market return. Which he is right. The exercise for this is to diversify aka reduce Unsystematic risk / volatility / standard-deviation.

II) If you are thinking that by doing this corr-coeff thingy will bring you extra-ordinary return, then you will be disappointed. It will only protect your portfolio from massive swing from the expected return aka mean return.

III) The title of the article is a bit off with what the authors intended message.

Xuzen

p/s I bought the Author's book "All about Asset Allocation" a few years ago and I think it is a wonderful book. My caveat is that the book is written very much in the American context. So we have to be selective on what advise to import into our local scene.

This post has been edited by xuzen: Dec 12 2015, 12:27 PM
xuzen
post Dec 14 2015, 11:16 AM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Dec 14 2015, 11:15 AM)
Why tarak Titanic doh.gif
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Titanic name is bad omen.... too bad luck to be put on it.

Xuzen
xuzen
post Dec 14 2015, 11:19 AM

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QUOTE(aoisky @ Dec 13 2015, 11:14 PM)
I pun not in the group. Big Fish got Big Fish Investment, small fish got small fish investment la bro ...

Sikit-sikit, Lama-lama jadi bukit mah.. cheer
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FSM is quite ikan-bilis investor friendly. And the return also not too bad comparatively....

Xuzen
xuzen
post Dec 14 2015, 04:52 PM

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QUOTE(wongmunkeong @ Dec 14 2015, 12:45 PM)
Background info:
a. Using X-Ray of MorningStar (thanks Xuzen), i noticed Global Titan Luxemburg-based stocks/funds/ETFs.
eg [attachmentid=5523628]

b. US listed stocks & ETFs (be it S&P500, Japan, EU, etc ETFs) has a 30% tax on dividends for non-resident aliens.

Thus my Q to check whether any forumers know:
In the real-world, assuming one can afford to buy ETFs directly on US-listed boards, is (a.) more tax effective?
coz in the long run, if (a.) is more tax effective, things like Global Titan MAY be more cost effective even if i factor in the initial higher purchase cost + yearly costs of mutual funds

er.. just asking & hoping for some enlightened fellow forumers' response.
i did already post the Q to FSM just only tongue.gif

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BTW, just to share a "toy" i found (unsure it was shared earlier):
https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/backtes...analysisResults

Jan 2006-2015 Results of:
3 ETFs/Funds - Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI), iShares Barclays 20 Year Treasury Bond Fund ETF (TLT) & Vanguard REIT ETF (VNQ)
VS
some default lazy / coffehouse portfolio asset allocation
VS
S&P 500 Total Return
[attachmentid=5523568]
[attachmentid=5523573]

1. Why 2006 Jan onwards? coz some ETFs'/Funds' data doesn't exist before that that

2. Why those 3 ETFs/Funds? coz based on the correlation data (see attached PDF), "good enough returns" for negative or slight correlations with the other 2
[attachmentid=5523615]
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After looking at the asset correlation table; I will now happy happy go back to the nice comfortable bosom of FSM universe, where risk to reward ratio > 2 is still frequently available. Only thing is the corr-coeff at FSM universe is relatively high.

From the ETF table, the best bet is VTI + VO for the best portfolio mix.

Xuzen




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