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 SGX Counters, Discussion on Counters in the SGX

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TSHansel
post Nov 13 2015, 10:50 AM

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QUOTE(yck1987 @ Nov 13 2015, 10:29 AM)
I'm holding my reserve bullet too. Please give a shout when the right timing approaching.  unsure.gif
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biggrin.gif Will try my best TO TIME,...but don't blame me if I got it a bit wrong,.. smile.gif
Showtime747
post Nov 16 2015, 02:18 PM

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What's you guys waiting for ? tongue.gif
yck1987
post Nov 16 2015, 02:36 PM

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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Nov 16 2015, 02:18 PM)
What's you guys waiting for ?  tongue.gif
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Mai tu liao.. Just buy in Keppel Corp @ 6.76. nod.gif
how about you? brows.gif
Showtime747
post Nov 16 2015, 05:39 PM

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QUOTE(yck1987 @ Nov 16 2015, 02:36 PM)
Mai tu liao.. Just buy in Keppel Corp @ 6.76.    nod.gif
how about you?  brows.gif
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Very happy today thumbup.gif
elea88
post Nov 16 2015, 06:05 PM

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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Nov 16 2015, 02:18 PM)
What's you guys waiting for ?  tongue.gif
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Waiting for Hansel to advise.. haha
Showtime747
post Nov 16 2015, 07:24 PM

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QUOTE(elea88 @ Nov 16 2015, 06:05 PM)
Waiting for Hansel to advise.. haha
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He is online now. Probably typing his 500 words advice to us tongue.gif
yck1987
post Nov 16 2015, 09:19 PM

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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Nov 16 2015, 07:24 PM)
He is online now. Probably typing his 500 words advice to us  tongue.gif
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He ask to hold our warchest !
TSHansel
post Nov 17 2015, 09:24 AM

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Good morning, apologies for the silence. The SG mkt has more to drop,... if wishes to nibble, I think should start around December.

Well,... I know that it's not possible to time the mkt, but I'm kinda like applying my experience from the 2007/8 plunge. I bought-in a bit early too back in 2008.


TSHansel
post Nov 17 2015, 09:33 AM

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Back in 2009/9, looking at hindsight, I bought in too early,... immediately when everything started going down, I bought-in. Then Enron collapsed, followed by Lehman, and I kept buying-in at each point as the mkt dropped.

So,... this time, I'll just be patient first.

Edited by adding : I'm not waiting for a collapse like Lehman to take place,... this is too far-fetched to predict, but at least I will look at the metrics which govern the SGX and the weightage of each metrics as they weaken everyday. The higher the weightage of a metric that dropped, the closer it is to the bottom.

This post has been edited by Hansel: Nov 17 2015, 09:36 AM
TSHansel
post Nov 18 2015, 05:07 PM

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Dropped again today - Keppel Corp at 6.69 low....Steady...
AVFAN
post Nov 18 2015, 05:21 PM

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i've been waiting for singtel to go to 3.60.

no chance, so far...

TSHansel
post Nov 18 2015, 06:25 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 18 2015, 05:21 PM)
i've been waiting for singtel to go to 3.60.

no chance, so far...
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hmm.gif Singtel is a Utility Counter,...hard to say,...
yck1987
post Nov 18 2015, 10:06 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Nov 18 2015, 05:07 PM)
Dropped again today - Keppel Corp at 6.69 low....Steady...
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doh.gif shall wait for more drop.
TSHansel
post Nov 19 2015, 08:51 PM

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First REIT rose to 1.19 today after it announced an acquisition. However,........the acquisition comprises one hospital and one plaza. The question becomes why is the plaza lumped into First REIT too...

The plaza should have been sold to Lippo Maple Indo Retail Trust. Is everything being lumped into First REIT in preparation for delisting...
TSHansel
post Nov 23 2015, 08:53 PM

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A good read to guard against a Fed rate hike - https://secure.fundsupermart.com/main/artic...--11050?lang=en


yck1987
post Nov 23 2015, 09:04 PM

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Pls enlighten Banking stocks are value buy now ? tempted to get one or two of them ..
TSHansel
post Nov 23 2015, 09:18 PM

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QUOTE(yck1987 @ Nov 23 2015, 09:04 PM)
Pls enlighten Banking stocks are value buy now ?  tempted to get one or two of them ..
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I think the three Sgp banks will be affected by a heavy knee-jerk reaction when the Feds starts the hike. It is a natural reaction from big institutions, and Sgp banks are certainly big institutions.

The inst investors must selloff, and misprice the mkt. That's the time to go in.
yck1987
post Nov 23 2015, 11:14 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Nov 23 2015, 09:18 PM)
I think the three Sgp banks will be affected by a heavy knee-jerk reaction when the Feds starts the hike. It is a natural reaction from big institutions, and Sgp banks are certainly big institutions. 

The inst investors must selloff, and misprice the mkt. That's the time to go in.
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When the time FED raise interest rates, I immediately think of benefit sector would be the bank as bank can make more profit on charging higher interest from borrower and directly increase the yield on cash. My thought was isn't it bank like higher interest? hmm.gif

Or in fact, rising rates may hurt bank interest margins/profits. One reason is that, as the “cost” of money goes up, a fixed-rate, long-term loan locked in when rates were lower is now less profitable. So if Fed-mandated short rates move up faster than market-driven long rates, interest margins get squeezed.

Which one is correct?
TSHansel
post Nov 24 2015, 09:18 AM

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QUOTE(yck1987 @ Nov 23 2015, 11:14 PM)
When the time FED raise interest rates, I immediately think of benefit sector would be the bank as bank can make more profit on charging higher interest from borrower and directly increase the yield on cash. My thought was isn't it bank like higher interest?  hmm.gif

Or in fact, rising rates may hurt bank interest margins/profits. One reason is that, as the “cost” of money goes up, a fixed-rate, long-term loan locked in when rates were lower is now less profitable. So if Fed-mandated short rates move up faster than market-driven long rates, interest margins get squeezed.

Which one is correct?
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Both of your first two paras above will contribute to the list of possible benefits and threats to the Sgp banks when the Feds raise interest rates. The net effects will be felt down the road. At the point when the Feds confirm raising, the Sgp banks will trend down and provide us a window of opportunity to buy.

The prb is how long the window is, before it closes. Then the price will trend upwards.

TSHansel
post Nov 24 2015, 09:20 AM

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For those aiming for Keppel Corp, folloiwng is a news worth reading :-

image: http://media.corporate-ir.net/media_files/...ogoNewEmail.gif

Baker Hughes Incorporated has posted Weekly Rig Count reports to its Investor Relations website.

BHI Rig Count: U.S. -10 to 757 rigs

U.S. Rig Count is down 10 rigs from last week to 757, with oil rigs down 10 to 564, and gas rigs unchanged at 193.

U.S. Rig Count is down 1,172 rigs from last year at 1,929, with oil rigs down 1,010, and gas rigs down 162.


The U.S. Offshore rig count is 30, down 3 rigs from last week, and down 23 rigs year over year.


BHI Rig Count: Canada -10 at 166 rigs

Canadian Rig Count is down 10 rigs from last week to 166, with oil rigs down 1 to 67, and gas rigs down 9 to 99.

Canadian Rig Count is down 268 rigs from last year at 434, with oil rigs down 176, and gas rigs down 92.

Due to the Thanksgiving holiday schedule, the next North American rig count will be published on November 25, 2015 at 1 p.m. ET.

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