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> Multiple Signs of Malaysia Property Bubble V19

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SUSjolokia
post Aug 25 2015, 08:15 PM

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IcyBaby wink.gif

https://uk.news.yahoo.com/expert-views-chin...l?.tsrc=opera14

Super Bull Run II rclxm9.gif
SUSjolokia
post Aug 26 2015, 08:20 AM

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QUOTE(markpsp @ Aug 26 2015, 07:36 AM)
Market is still overall downtrend. I am targeting market to be 1000-1200 points. If lucky, oversell a little before rebounding. No doubt it goes up every now and then. But medium term will be still downtrend.

Propertywise will go downwards. My friend already losing money just because property is stagnant. Dutamas property can get below RM400psf at the moment if u search properly.

Look at Dow Jones last night, go up and then reverse again. Biggest reversal since 2008 crash. For Bursa, it will go up, but then will reverse downtrend again. (http://www.cnbc.com/2015/08/25/us-markets-attempt-recovery.html)

Those UUU just have to suck it up and accept fate. Of course over the long term will trend upwards, but the time taken and the gains  will come back the same. Overall maybe 4% per annum over the next decade, which is the same as parking in FD. In fact, parking if FDI would gain the most profit, as my friend is in Public Bank's Treasury.

Those over leveraged can just stand and watch lo. Property not easy to sell and quit during downturn. Shares, you can just cut loss and wait T+3 to get back whatever money, but not for property. With impending interest rates and price stagnation looming, those overbought just stand and watch show lo.. wat to do. No doubt people argue about buying for ownself to stay, but if you are paying RM2500 a month to the bank, and your neighbour bought cheaper 1 year later during this downturn and only pay RM2000 to the bank, dont you feel like sohai paying the extra RM500? of course you dont feel it cause of ego, but that is RM6000 per annum.

During crisis, shares are so cheap, RM200 can buy you a lot of shares for small cap counters, RM6000 can help u get 30 lots to play and throw around during this time, not to count, that savings of RM6000 can use for emergency backup or holiday depending on how rich you are. That is just per annum, it took years for property and shares to reach this height but just took a few weeks for shares to crash and lose the years of gains. Property will have even harder time as it is not liquid enough.

Just my personal opinion.
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Hahahahaha laugh.gif

So funny that my tears come out can't type... rclxs0.gif

This post has been edited by jolokia: Aug 26 2015, 08:20 AM
SUSjolokia
post Aug 26 2015, 12:08 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Aug 26 2015, 10:27 AM)
Believe recent events at Forex and klse is the tipping point for kV property market sentiment.
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For you anything is tipping point for KV property, problem is all you predictions so far never materialised & all turn opposite...

Shanghai Stock, Greece exit from EU, NZ$, Nikkei225, KV Property crash in 2014...the list goes on & on..

All like End of the world predictions made by cults.. whistling.gif
SUSjolokia
post Aug 26 2015, 09:33 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Aug 26 2015, 08:35 PM)
Since when snake oil seller admit his materials is cheaper?
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IcyBaby why so frust ? Up or Down you also cannot afford mah ! All your moolah shanghai by shanghai stock already...kekeke

If new launch price increase what would happen to secondary leh ?.. brows.gif

Really jialat right ? economy up property up, economy down property still up, defying all text book theory you learn in school... rclxm9.gif
SUSjolokia
post Aug 27 2015, 06:29 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Aug 27 2015, 04:27 PM)
Your comrades need your support at https://forum.lowyat.net/topic/3691359
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Nothing but a bunch of loser who can't afford anything talking kok story now.. tongue.gif

If price down their ball also shrink, no guts to buy one lah ! If recession come these bunch will be it the front line .. rclxm9.gif
SUSjolokia
post Aug 28 2015, 02:58 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Aug 28 2015, 02:49 PM)
Flippers tasted profits in the past are likely to pour back and invested even more.
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Yes & make more profit from it... rclxm9.gif

Those weak flipper now become strong flipper, easily than few year without problem, i know 1 couple earn free education for their 3 children after flipping a few properties

They says people sponsored their children to Uni... kakaka
SUSjolokia
post Aug 28 2015, 04:55 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Aug 28 2015, 04:07 PM)
If 101 way could be used, property flippers in the US wouldn't had trouble in 2008.
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They donno us UUU gang mah.. tongue.gif

Later we conduct a talk at Yale or Harvard... How to safe guard you real estate during Turbulence's
... rclxm9.gif
SUSjolokia
post Sep 7 2015, 12:41 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Sep 7 2015, 12:30 PM)
Heard from a lawyer that property transaction has dropped substantially.
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Depends which lawyer u talking to, of those massive few thousand unit project, u think the lawyer will said transaction dropped substantially or not ? brows.gif

Yes there is on & off 1-2 units selling like 5-10% less than other, but I see most of this unit are either low floor, very basic reno or very cheap reno, if one need a basic place to stay then is a good buy if conditions is OK.





SUSjolokia
post Sep 7 2015, 06:02 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Sep 7 2015, 03:34 PM)
Number of transaction dropped drastically because vendors are holding back for higher price, so kv property price will uuu.
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The one willing to drop price significantly is the leftover unit not salable even during super bull time... buy at your own risk... tongue.gif
SUSjolokia
post Sep 22 2015, 10:12 PM

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icemanfx

www.theedgeproperty.com.my/content/property-prices-buoyed-number-factors-say-industry-players
SUSjolokia
post Sep 23 2015, 08:20 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Sep 23 2015, 02:19 AM)
Every gen z, da ma, spm student know property market is performing excellent and price is increasing, don't need industry players reassurance.

Have you book your landed property? If not, why not? Waiting for price yo go up?
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Booked liao rclxm9.gif

Whack, whack, whack.. rclxms.gif

SUSjolokia
post Sep 23 2015, 09:11 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Sep 23 2015, 09:08 AM)
Congratulations! Very smart move, bought before price rise.
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Booked verbally only... laugh.gif
SUSjolokia
post Sep 23 2015, 04:11 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Sep 23 2015, 02:33 PM)
Typical snake oil seller.
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Icy call me snake oil seller cry.gif
SUSjolokia
post Sep 23 2015, 04:19 PM

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QUOTE(amateur @ Sep 23 2015, 03:22 PM)
Manpower cost goes up.... true
Material cost goes up.... true
Developer don't want to drop price (hard to drop either)... true
Buyers waiting for price to drop (willing to buy also tough).... true
Most developers said they will wait and see (So do buyers)..... It's a waiting game.

However how many developers can wait and hold? We have reached the threshold where as transaction volume is going down(REHDA already showed that). The demand is there no doubt about that, everyone agrees, but there are not many successful transactions. People just cannot afford to buy.

I agreed what they said, there will be more transactions in the secondary market next year. I believe the main show will be on the secondary market next year, at least the demand and supply is much more realistic.
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Actually most developer already slow down their launching, this will reduce the supply & push up the price.

Most of those land already bought many years ago, some delay the launching, some increase the launch between phase.

Why wanna drop price ? Developer not stupid lah !
SUSjolokia
post Sep 23 2015, 04:26 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Sep 23 2015, 04:14 PM)
Unless the secondary market could offer rebate, free legal fees and low or even zero dp, can't see how it could fare better than developers.
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Overall secondary still have this advantage

1.) House is ready can occupy within months.
2.) Condition as per it is (Buyer can examine the finishing).
3.) Some owner already put in so nice renovation (Cost saving for buyer)
4.) Buyer can see the neignborhood.
5.) Buyer can see the condition of the entire building to see the management quality.
6.) Overall secondary is still cheaper in price or bigger in size.
7.) Secondary are usually have more amenities eg, shop & schools
8.) Secondary usually uses better material eg. Clay bricks.
9.) Owner already rectify most of the defects from developer


That's why secondary outsell New launch.

Come2 Icy Boy come buy secondary form me, Jolokia the Snake Oil Seller.. laugh.gif


SUSjolokia
post Sep 23 2015, 07:46 PM

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QUOTE(amateur @ Sep 23 2015, 04:57 PM)
Thank you for your views. I did not say that they want to drop price. Who wanted to drop especially they earn so much during the boom of properties for the past few years. They get used to that kind of profit margin. Even employees like us are not stupid to lower down our salaries and bonus, if we still have a choice.

In my opinion, if in their own survey and statistics count that there is a demand even if they push up the price, I am glad to see that happen. That shows that Malaysians are getting richer and economy is going towards a good sign.

Let us witness whether reduce supply and push up the price works  smile.gif
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As i said reduce the supply to push up the price, people need house & they will find ways to purchase, could be join name, parent sponsor some, which ever way, people getting married need house, i mean how many girl willing to married man who still need to rent house or room, how many daughter in law can stand living with mother in law.

People understand now is mere breathing, in matter of time property price will shoot up again once "you know who" step down or his rival disappeared into the horizon.

QUOTE(icemanfx @ Sep 23 2015, 05:10 PM)
Taking up more debt doesn't mean getting richer; economy growth from debt is unsustainable.
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Sustainable loan are good loan, all businesses take loan, as long as one can pay is actually good for the economy as it create many job & services.

As we told you if all the Billionaire pay all their debt, everyone of us is richer than them, but in reality because their ability to take such loan & roll their money, they are great many times richer than you.

Bank will not borrow money to people who they deem can't afford to pay back.

How about Indonesia which household debt much lower than us ? you think their economy is good ? Same goes Myanmar, Laos, Cambodia, because bank don't even dare to simply loan to common people.

The more debt bank willing to loan you the richer you are.. period.. whistling.gif

SUSjolokia
post Sep 23 2015, 10:28 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Sep 23 2015, 08:43 PM)
Billionaires, business debt generate income or add value, and could be self sustaining. Private home debt is unproductive, need external income to support.

If borrowers can't pay back, bank could always foreclose the collateral, borrower is at the losing end.
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Have you forgotten property can be rent out, refinance, sell to earn capital gain, exactly like business... rclxm9.gif

In fact property are better than a lot of business, as many business eg F & B if food cannot sell need to thrown away.. :thunbs:




SUSjolokia
post Sep 25 2015, 08:07 AM

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Highlighted for icemanfx pleasure.. tongue.gif

“Do not buy new property this year. There is still the secondary market and auction properties that can be considered at cheaper prices,” he said after speaking at the forum, themed “Does Greater Prosperity Come With Less Housing Affordability?” here, yesterday.
SUSjolokia
post Sep 25 2015, 12:08 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Sep 25 2015, 11:45 AM)
During first two round of foreclosure sales, buyers tend to over excited and bid up price. However, price will drop with more foreclosure units coming under hammer.

Which vendor doesn't think his unit is in good location? Or buyer willing to buy at bad location?
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Hahaha still can't accept even auction you can't get cheap property. laugh.gif
SUSjolokia
post Sep 25 2015, 01:50 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Sep 25 2015, 12:24 PM)
With more kV property VP, mean commencing of loan repayment. Given current economic sentiment, many buyers didn't have expected pay rise which may lead to drop in consumers spending. Further drop in retail sales is not unexpected.
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There is also may transaction where owner sell off the house then replenish with more new house.

You should really concern of your F & B business, as this is among the front line going to fall in case bad time come.

Have you forgot property can be rented out to reduce the burden of even refinance it, owner can also dispose it at slight below market price.



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