QUOTE(Grengo01 @ Jan 2 2008, 03:01 PM)
Except for 2007 I think every other year (also except the ones when there are major downturns) one can see the peak is about after CNY then it drop some 10%- 25%unless there is a big hiccup in subprime which I hope will be muted and with Beijing Olympics in 2008, the global economy should remain buoyant at least with demand from China. Cuts both ways as energy cost is expected to spiral as China thirst for more petroleum and steel, there will be additional inflation pressure.
On the other hand on local front.....
With our G artificially suppressing inflation by resisting increasing fuel prices to maintain popularity, the impact will be humungous once after election where we we see a 15% increase across the board for all items edible or otherwise. Hence, I am also worried if that is the case, keeping it in bonds for more than 6 months can be a possibility unless, PublicMutual comes up with a fund exclusively for O&G and Energy Sector..
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No, 2007 also did peak (for 6 months chart) at the beginning of the year before had a mini-crash on Feb, just KLCI did recover back to make a new high in the year end. But the market sentiment and overall picture currently (with KLCI new high) is not the same as the beginning of the 2007 year. The bullishness is not the same although KLCI manages to make new high, a lot of stocks had been off their best significantly.On the other hand on local front.....
With our G artificially suppressing inflation by resisting increasing fuel prices to maintain popularity, the impact will be humungous once after election where we we see a 15% increase across the board for all items edible or otherwise. Hence, I am also worried if that is the case, keeping it in bonds for more than 6 months can be a possibility unless, PublicMutual comes up with a fund exclusively for O&G and Energy Sector..
Inflation surely will be sky-rocketing in near future. For local there is no pure O&G sector, as there is none of oil company are listed in KLSE. Those O&G company listed in KLSE are those supporting equiptment/construction/work O&G company, there is oil producing company. Too bad, Petronas never want to be listed in KLSE, otherwise it is a good option.
If really want to play a pure O&G sector, one needs go for global fund (resources type)
Jan 2 2008, 04:11 PM
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