Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

Bump Topic Topic Closed RSS Feed

Outline · [ Standard ] · Linear+

 STOCK MARKET DISCUSSION V149, Higher interest rate coming soon?

views
     
mopster
post Aug 26 2015, 03:48 PM

m o p p y
*******
Senior Member
7,960 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
From: Kuala Lumpur


QUOTE(cherroy @ Aug 26 2015, 07:56 AM)
The market is really "wild" now.

500 points swing in DJ within an hour.
*
laugh.gif laugh.gif
Shanghai still red despite the easing...
and yeah.. last night US stocks gave everyone a big surprise! BOOHAAA...
mopster
post Aug 27 2015, 02:44 PM

m o p p y
*******
Senior Member
7,960 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
From: Kuala Lumpur


*financial independence* ? blink.gif
ehhh i tot i'm in the wrong forum... laugh.gif
***START OT***
imo, while it's good to have FI, young ppl have to aim higher... your expenses will keep going up as your commitments increase.. not to mention ur lifestyle changes too.. will probably be like rat race in the end..
don't be too concerned over what is FI, focus on earning more moolah and create more income streams! FI will eventually come without u realizing..
***END OT***

looks like this is a very fake bear... i may have to go back hibernating.... sad.gif *fingers crossed*
that William Dudley... really banyak mulut... talk less plz...

This post has been edited by mopster: Aug 27 2015, 02:46 PM
mopster
post Aug 27 2015, 03:26 PM

m o p p y
*******
Senior Member
7,960 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
From: Kuala Lumpur


QUOTE(cherroy @ Aug 27 2015, 03:14 PM)
China market is having another day of wild swing.
*
so nice to goreng in china..... just dun be too greedy laugh.gif rclxms.gif rclxms.gif
mopster
post Aug 27 2015, 10:26 PM

m o p p y
*******
Senior Member
7,960 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
From: Kuala Lumpur


QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Aug 27 2015, 05:05 PM)
moppy index got show any sign of QE coming again anot?
*
laugh.gif laugh.gif QE, probably not.. unless there's a surprise drop in US GDP or Employment.. FED is data dependent ... tongue.gif tongue.gif
Currently, US Housing Price up generally, GDP & Employment are within expectation... so the hot topic is still on rate hike...

but i really dun like the idea of having a Fed Governor talking crap once in a while to roil the mkt..
yesterday William Dudley said likely no rate hike.. (yes, a voting member)
then today George Esther says yes to rate hike... (i think not a voting member)

anyway, it's really matter of time b4 they actually do it.. if the mkt escapes sept. hike, it may still come later in Q4.. just a longer wait...
good for traders, though...
i think there will still be some volatility b4 FOMC meeting..

This year's Jackson Hole is boring, because JYellen and MDraghi are not there...

http://www.cnbc.com/2015/08/24/market-talk...ter-of-qe4.html
US analysts really talk about anything they can think of, just to get attention.

---

as for our dear KLSE, as long as Oil up and RM up, KLCI should like it...
while BNM forex reserve is a concern, there's no need to worry too much about it.. it's still above 90B, about 1x short term debt, there's trade surplus, current acct. surplus... etc..

the earning season is almost over, i'm not following closely, but generally the companies are doing "ok" ? unsure.gif
surprisingly, rating agencies S&P, Moodys are suddenly +ve with M'sia... such a weird bunch... rclxub.gif

looking forward to CIMB's earnings tomorrow...

just my personal view...

This post has been edited by mopster: Aug 28 2015, 12:43 AM
mopster
post Sep 1 2015, 04:13 PM

m o p p y
*******
Senior Member
7,960 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
From: Kuala Lumpur


hmm Dow future is about -330p now... i wonder if it's a bear trap in the making....
so many data out today, China factory slows, Europe,, as usual, everyone down except Germany up.. LOL...
last week's article on on Fed member's view on rate hike.
seems like there wont be a hike this month... especially when Fishcer said they're looking at china's data,,,,

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/where-eve...ates-2015-08-28
---
Fitch warns of downgrade risk in Malaysia’s rating outlook
http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysi...-rating-outlook

round they say, square they say, flat they say... yawn.gif yawn.gif

This post has been edited by mopster: Sep 1 2015, 04:47 PM
mopster
post Sep 1 2015, 09:15 PM

m o p p y
*******
Senior Member
7,960 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
From: Kuala Lumpur


hahaha NYSE gonna invoke Rule48 again.... ./yawn yawn.gif
putting a limit to the selldown...
----
Everyone is actually very scared of China now.. lol.. just some bad data can send the whole mkt shaking..
awesome China! u've earned ur place in the world

This post has been edited by mopster: Sep 1 2015, 09:16 PM
mopster
post Sep 3 2015, 04:49 PM

m o p p y
*******
Senior Member
7,960 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
From: Kuala Lumpur


QUOTE(cherroy @ Sep 3 2015, 10:45 AM)
So far, I haven't seen investment bank bearish about the market one.

How to sell unit trust, investment product if you talk bearish about the market?   tongue.gif
*
it's time to buy when they are bearish.... it's like a doctor wont declare a patient dead until the patient really died...
but need to filter out those Permabears first...

This post has been edited by mopster: Sep 3 2015, 05:22 PM
mopster
post Sep 4 2015, 08:41 PM

m o p p y
*******
Senior Member
7,960 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
From: Kuala Lumpur


so, forex reserves up....
US employment below 200,000...
party on Monday ???
mopster
post Sep 7 2015, 09:50 PM

m o p p y
*******
Senior Member
7,960 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
From: Kuala Lumpur


http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/busines...k-supports-yuan

QUOTE
China's foreign exchange reserves, the world's largest, shrank by US$93.9 billion (RM406 billion) in August, the biggest monthly fall on record, reflecting the scale of intervention by the central bank to support the yuan after a surprise devaluation last month.


any sifu mind to explain ?
china devalued yuan and cut interest rates to make their currency cheaper... but at the same time, they're spending forex reserves to support the yuan... isn't that contradicting ?
rclxub.gif
or they just want to take the opportunity to take some profit from high USD ? tongue.gif

This post has been edited by mopster: Sep 7 2015, 09:51 PM
mopster
post Sep 8 2015, 03:43 PM

m o p p y
*******
Senior Member
7,960 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
From: Kuala Lumpur


QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Sep 8 2015, 12:04 PM)
devalue currency by means of slashing interest rate multiple times.

after slashing for multiple times, repatriate renminbi by selling US bond.. so the sale will result in more reminbi because previously already devalued..

Then the money use to support economy sendiri or spur grwoth
*
thumbup.gif thumbup.gif notworthy.gif notworthy.gif
mopster
post Sep 9 2015, 02:41 PM

m o p p y
*******
Senior Member
7,960 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
From: Kuala Lumpur


QE4 coming ??? O.o
Nikkei up 6%, HSI 3%, US Futures +1% across,
mopster
post Sep 25 2015, 05:18 PM

m o p p y
*******
Senior Member
7,960 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
From: Kuala Lumpur


QUOTE
How do we know whether the signs that market is recovering?

that's timing the mkt at grand master level... laugh.gif
well.. imo, stocks usually bottoms when the worst news is out..
so.. an example would be.. when FED actually hikes rates... that could be the news sends US mkt flying...
but what happens after that, needs higher level of mkt timing skill.. laugh.gif

for Crude Oil... i'm looking at october, when refiners shut down for maintenance in US.. Oil may bottom and then rebound from there...

but these are all short term forecasts (guessing)... i prefer longer term outlook... coz i'm a long term buyer...

my whole 2015 is wasted just like that.. thanks to Auntie Yellen's excellent procrastination skill.. shakehead.gif
let's hope 2016 will provide better opportunities shakehead.gif

----

if u're hunting divvy stocks, get those with at least 2-3% premium to FD...
meaning at least 6%-7% sustained DY..
that additional 2%-3% will be the safety margin for the additional risks u take..
risks include possible chaos when fed hikes rate.. nobody is really sure what will happen to EM when that happens..
just my opinion...

----
stupid DJ Future jump 250+ rclxub.gif rclxub.gif

This post has been edited by mopster: Sep 25 2015, 05:28 PM
mopster
post Oct 20 2015, 02:45 PM

m o p p y
*******
Senior Member
7,960 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
From: Kuala Lumpur


http://www.bloomberg.com/features/2015-sto...t-trading-game/

mkt's boring.. let's play some game... click on the link above~~~~ biggrin.gif rclxms.gif rclxms.gif rclxms.gif

lucky trade.. lol
» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


This post has been edited by mopster: Oct 20 2015, 03:14 PM
mopster
post Nov 11 2015, 05:18 PM

m o p p y
*******
Senior Member
7,960 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
From: Kuala Lumpur


Congrats to the champion~~~ thumbup.gif rclxms.gif
let's welcome him to the real world...
Student earns RM101,000 in 4 hours, drives home a Volkswagen Beetle
http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Busines...-Sim/?style=biz


This post has been edited by mopster: Nov 11 2015, 05:19 PM

Topic ClosedOptions
 

Change to:
| Lo-Fi Version
0.0415sec    0.28    7 queries    GZIP Disabled
Time is now: 7th December 2025 - 06:17 AM