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 Fundsupermart.com v10, Double digit (portfolio) growth!

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Vanguard 2015
post May 7 2015, 05:14 PM

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QUOTE(elea88 @ May 7 2015, 04:51 PM)
y top up AmPrecious?
I cut loss some when my portfolio shows -20% and the balance now is at
is at -55% lor...

dun think its advisable to go into Amprecious now unless got news GOLD IS MOVING UPWARDS!
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Walao, your paper loss is really...unbelievable. I feel for you.

What to do. I managed to bring down my paper loss from about -10% to about -4.45% currently by using DCA and Value Averaging. But you are right. Gold has a mind of its own. It is resistant to any change. I think this is my last top up for AmPrecious Metals. sweat.gif

The general consensus is that the price of spot gold need to move up above $1200 an ounce to create some momentum. But it is now still hovering around $1182.49.
Vanguard 2015
post May 7 2015, 05:15 PM

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QUOTE(xuzen @ May 7 2015, 03:04 PM)
Commodities is soooooo passe! It was so yesterday... Today is China! China! China! And tomorrow... according to my crystal ball may be Eurozone (QE effect mah!)

Xuzen
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Tell that to Jim Rogers please. He is a big fan of commodities. biggrin.gif
Vanguard 2015
post May 8 2015, 04:08 PM

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One of my favourite movies is Braveheart, starring Mel Gibson as William Wallace. He was the Scottish patriot and national hero who fought and died to free Scotland from English rule.

There is a scene in the movie where the heavily armoured English cavalry was charging on horses towards the lightly armed Scottish infantry. Wallace ordered his troops to "HOLD....HOLD.....HOLD....". At the very last minute, the Scottish infantry raised 10 feet long poles which were lying hidden on the ground to pierce and slaughter the English cavalryman. Scotland won a great victory that day.

What does this story has to do with investing in unit trusts in FSM? In times of great uncertainty and adversity, if we have a proper asset allocation, then we should just weather the storm and hold our portfolio. The storm will pass and we will emerge victorious at the end.

China and India may be falling today but we should stay focused. Invest more if we can afford to and just sit tight to weather the storm.

This post has been edited by Vanguard 2015: May 8 2015, 04:09 PM
Vanguard 2015
post May 8 2015, 04:48 PM

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QUOTE(xuzen @ May 8 2015, 04:25 PM)
When all you have is just some primitive pointy tip polearm then you can only hold hold hold loh! Imagine if he has with him trebuchet, multiple firing crossbows etc, then he has so much more options.

Similarly in Bolehland, we can only long a fund and nothing else hence we can only wait it out. Now imagine if we can short sell funds or perhaps write and sell our own put or call options. Do much more we can do....rather than wait it out and tok-kok with strangers over the net.

xuzen
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If only FSM got put or call options laugh.gif
Vanguard 2015
post May 8 2015, 09:43 PM

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QUOTE(jerk @ May 8 2015, 06:27 PM)
http://www.fundsupermart.com.hk/hk/main/re...?articleNo=9732

Idea of the Week: the Investment Value of BRIC  May 8, 2015
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Thanks. This is really helpful.
Vanguard 2015
post May 8 2015, 09:46 PM

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QUOTE(lizardjeremy @ May 8 2015, 06:38 PM)
well 6-8 equity funds for diversification is really overdiversification.we cannot 'diversified'away from systematic risk even with 100 equity funds sad.gif
suffice to say 70% TSM or large caps value+growth,25% small/midcap,15%small value would have been adequate.expense ratio for the latter 2 funds will be fairly substantial as churning or higher turnover rate than large cpas is not unexpected 
as for asset allocation- risk tolerance time horizon investment goal etc would determine/decides the portfolio of the investor
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Well, only time will tell whether I will crash and burn by this year end if I deworsified. biggrin.gif
Vanguard 2015
post May 11 2015, 09:52 AM

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It has been a blood bath for investors this past few weeks including myself.

None of the equity funds have been spared, from the China linked funds to the Global Funds, European Funds and Ponzi 2. Even RHB-OSK Asian Total Return Fund is adversely affected.

My total return is now down to +3.8%. I am currently holding about 71.5% in equity funds and 28.5% in bond funds. Time to practice what I preach. I am going to do value averaging for all my funds for the next 6 months or so until my portfolio stabilise. In other words, I am going to use my bond funds to "rescue" my equity funds.

I hope to compare the results later with the members here to analyse what works and what doesn't work. Hopefully we can benefit together.

P/S: I am not planning to invest any fresh cash into my portfolio except for Aberdeen World Equity only.
Vanguard 2015
post May 11 2015, 12:26 PM

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Manulife India anyone? Is it time to enter or exit India? For existing investors, should they hold on?

http://www.business-standard.com/article/m...50701225_1.html
QUOTE
“Aberdeen Asset Management is among those reducing Indian holdings in favour of cheaper regional markets, contributing to the S&P BSE Sensex index's three per cent drop this year after a 30 per cent jump in 2014. The rupee sagged as much as 1.1 per cent on Thursday to the weakest level since September 2013.

India's gauge is the only one down this year in the BRIC group after rallies in Brazil, Russia and China. The Sensex's valuation of 15 times projected 12-month earnings is about 20 per cent higher than the MSCI Emerging Markets index….

"The issue with India is the price," said Hugh Young, a managing director in Singapore for Aberdeen, which oversees about $537 billion. "India is still not cheap to other Asian markets. We have taken two per cent out of India in total."

BRIC

The Brazilian, Chinese and Russian markets are among the world's best performers in 2015, even after declining recently. China's Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite index has jumped 27 per cent, Russia's Micex index is up 20 per cent and the Ibovespa Brasil Sao Paulo Stock Exchange index has climbed 14 per cent.

Earnings

Earnings for Sensex companies are estimated to grow about 31 per cent in the financial year 2016. That compares with about 13 per cent for the MSCI Emerging Markets Index.

Aberdeen's Young said if some of the Indian stocks the company's funds continue to hold underperform "badly," they'd consider adding to those holdings. The money taken from India is going to other Asian nations, including China, he said.

The problem for the wider Indian market is that earnings expectations look overly rosy, said Anil Ahuja, the Singapore- based chief executive officer of IPEplus Advisors.

Expectations of as much as 18 per cent earnings growth in the year ending March 2016 are "highly questionable" given that profits rose about five per cent in the prior fiscal year, he said on Bloomberg TV India today.

The prospect of the Federal Reserve increasing U.S. interest rates in 2015 -- a move that BlackRock Inc. says threatens emerging markets -- may add to concerns about India's earnings outlook..."
Vanguard 2015
post May 11 2015, 05:10 PM

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QUOTE(Arvinaaaaa @ May 11 2015, 05:05 PM)
All my funds now in red except kgf..lol time to add more to those funds
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That is the fighting spirit we need! smile.gif

This post has been edited by Vanguard 2015: May 11 2015, 05:13 PM
Vanguard 2015
post May 11 2015, 08:06 PM

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QUOTE(David83 @ May 11 2015, 07:35 PM)
If you're confident over his presidency, then you should consider:

EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS INDONESIA EQUITY MY FUND

URL: http://www.fundsupermart.com.my/main/fundi...number=MYPRUIND
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Err...the 3 years annualized volatility is 19.23 which is even higher than Manulife India. Thanks but I think I will pass.


Vanguard 2015
post May 12 2015, 03:03 PM

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I have my eyes on Manulife India now. It is looking as attractive as a Bollywood star now.

Currently down about -10.50% in one month with an annualised volatility of 17.23. Its worst performance was in the year 2011 when it lost 32.79%. Yesterday Manulife India went up +2.40%. Talk about volatile.

The vultures are circling over this wounded tiger...
Vanguard 2015
post May 12 2015, 03:31 PM

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QUOTE(David83 @ May 12 2015, 03:06 PM)
This thread seems quiet lately.
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I think everyone is busy licking their wounds from the recent blood bath. Compare this to the time when the China market started to rally. Everyone was happy and busy seeking advice here whether it was a good time to buy China equity funds.

Can we spice up the forum a bit then? tongue.gif
Vanguard 2015
post May 12 2015, 03:34 PM

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QUOTE(yklooi @ May 12 2015, 03:05 PM)
currently Sensex index down 2%....if this hold...then i expect Manulife india to drop about 1.0%...(wild guess)  biggrin.gif
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I think you are right. Manulife India has an R squared of 95.66 and a beta of 0.95.
Vanguard 2015
post May 12 2015, 03:36 PM

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QUOTE(David83 @ May 12 2015, 03:33 PM)
I have been spicing up by posting a lot of articles.

Looks like several forumers MIA recently.
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Yes I know. Only left new forumers like me talking to myself in this forum. sad.gif

Maybe things will pick up once the markets rally again.

Vanguard 2015
post May 12 2015, 03:41 PM

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QUOTE(T231H @ May 12 2015, 03:36 PM)
now here come more than spices.....
here come the "asteroid"

RM3.6b ‘asteroid’ to hit 1MDB this September, MP claims

- See more at: http://www.themalaymailonline.com/malaysia...h.HqiYXPPO.dpuf

he has been true for some things...will this time be true too?

yklooi  hmm.gif 3 more months b4 Sept... sweat.gif  tongue.gif
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I don't know whether this news is true. But the Malaysian share market is "special". That is why I gave it a Special Category Award recently. It seems to exist in a bubble or in a world of its own, unconnected to any economy issues or real world issues. smile.gif

This post has been edited by Vanguard 2015: May 12 2015, 03:41 PM
Vanguard 2015
post May 12 2015, 03:43 PM

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QUOTE(Amatiel @ May 12 2015, 03:35 PM)
im one of the vultures  icon_idea.gif
btw love how you are always sharing your thoughts. very insightful.
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Thank you, thank you. Sharing is caring mah. biggrin.gif
Vanguard 2015
post May 13 2015, 11:34 AM

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Vulture Vanguard has landed in India. I just invested the 1st tranche of money into Manulife India. The 2nd and 3rd tranche will go in next week. This is a lump sum investment. After investing this, Manulife India will form about 5.5% of my total portfolio.

I also just invested the 2nd tranche of money into AMBRIC. The 1st tranche was invested on 7th May 2015. As of this morning, the profit is 3.2%. AMBRIC will now form about 4.56% of my total portfolio.

The laggard is now Aberdeen Islamic World Equity Fund. Since I started investing in different tranches for Aberdeen World in January 2015 until now, the profit is only 2.81%. If the Malaysian market suffer a serious correction, I might as well transfer it for short term gain into the Aberdeen Islamic Malaysian Equity Fund.
Vanguard 2015
post May 13 2015, 11:46 AM

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QUOTE(yklooi @ May 13 2015, 11:41 AM)
Reduced my China Growth Fund from 10 to 5%
(after this reduction..still have 18% HK/China Exposure).
Switched into Japan Growth Fund 2% now total is 5%
and switched balance into Select Opportunity.....
Switched my PM PIDF to PAIF...
revamping of portfolio still have core funds GTF and KGF to go.....
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Good choice for Japan Growth Fund. I plan to increase my exposure to Japan as well next week.

I don't even dare to count my China exposure at the time being. sweat.gif

This post has been edited by Vanguard 2015: May 13 2015, 11:47 AM
Vanguard 2015
post May 13 2015, 12:42 PM

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The sifus in this forum would know about the following info.

One of the most helpful tools I found in the internet is the portfolio management tool in the Morningstar Asia at http://my.morningstar.com/ap/main/default.aspx

Once we sign up and create our unit trust portfolio, we can use the Morningstar Portfolio X-Ray. This is a tool which analyse our top 10 countries asset allocation, holdings in world regions, our statistics under the Modern Portfolio Theory, etc.

Best of all it is FREE.

I would highly recommend it for all investors. Enjoy.

This post has been edited by Vanguard 2015: May 13 2015, 12:43 PM
Vanguard 2015
post May 14 2015, 10:17 AM

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QUOTE(ragu91 @ May 13 2015, 10:28 PM)
I am also quite skeptical about it. The annual yield for CMF is about 3.6% right, and our inflation is around ~3.xx right ?

So, does CMF hedge the inflation ? I am not sure about my theory up here, anyone to clarify ?  hmm.gif
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My understanding of CMF is this:-

(a) it is a money market fund;
(b) it will invest in securities with maturity period of less than 12 months, for e.g. a collection of fixed deposits; and
© it is not guaranteed by PIDM.

Although the chances of CMF defaulting is virtually zero, I believe in the US, there had been cases where money market funds have collapsed before.

FSM created CMF as a parking facility while we are deciding where we wish to invest our money. Therefore CMF is NOT meant as an investment to beat inflation or to hedge inflation. It only offers a better interest rate than its benchmark, the Maybank savings account rate.

Since CMF is a parking facility, this explains why even if we transfer money from an RHB-OSK equity fund into CMF, it is considered as a redemption and NOT an intra fund transfer where we earn credit points (although it is a transfer within the same fund house, i.e. RHB-OSK).

I hope this info helps. Cheers.

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