QUOTE(return78 @ Mar 1 2018, 02:06 PM)
Well says! Absolutely correct... but if there is a chance of fire-sale, what's the impact on its share price, how long it took and the opportunity cost, and what's are the odd it can sell at valuated / desired price? It still need bear some minor loses (assessment fee etc) over years until it get sold. For SW, due to it's mixed ownership, the sales will be more complicated. (SW purchased @ 724mil while current valuation ~ 583mil)
One should very clear on their portfolio allocation and investment strategy... dont take me wrong; i'm not promoting park the allocation of dividend portfolio to growth stock.
When it fall around 1.1x, i was so tempted to buy back with my capital gain, and treat it as free shares, and I asked myself
a> For long terms (5 to 10 years span at least), at current landscape, is CMMT pose higher risk compared to other like REIT.
b> On dividend portfolio front, what my objective? Peace of mind or maximize the potential capital gain on CMMT, what was the feel like on hunting the opportunity letting go CMMT since last 2 years back.
c> If looking for 7%+ dividend for long run, is there any other option?
d> What are the chances DPU slip further in next few quarters.. (Interest hike and harder to secure new tenant due to exceed offering, while existing tenant is leaving...eg: Parkson moved out SW lately).
e> What's are the chance CMMT management make a turn around in such competitive and stiff environment against other retail mall player.
f> Why huge sell off recently by institute player and their entry price is low actually... (eg: EPF was cornerstone investor during IPO).
g> How's the institute players act lately on CMMT counter.. (eg: KWAP & EPF keep dumping CMMT, while EPF do increase their Axreit portfolio)
h> Why CMMT management do additional listing back as the way to pay CMRM's management fee in Sept 17. Isn't that resonate they're in tough situation and so desperate to make acct looks good.
p/s: Someone was sold 13 mil share @ 1.02 yesterday last minutes before closing and noticed some short term trader from i3 trying to make profit on this stock too.
NOTE: Just my 2 cents.. I could be totally wrong and one may make an handsome profit by vesting into CMMT at current dip.
a) The one high risk is SW, due to its problematic stratified unit that it doesn't own.
If own the whole property, the better alternative may be tearing down and rebuild into new mall, hotels or any other commercial. Mind that SW's land is indeed very valuable due to its location.
Other malls like Gurney, actually it is pretty steady.
c) There is no dividend stocks or growth stocks that can yield more than 5%, (excluded one off special one). That's why reit with >7% yield seems attractive provided they can have consistent DPU.
d) highly DPU may slip, due to drag of SW, as well as not much rental revision upwards potential for others.
e) CMMT has quite strong and good management based on its track record.
f) Fund manager react to its fund movement, and trend. They overbought reit until yield fall to 4% when QE at its height time. Now doing the reverse when interest rate starting to rise.
Typically fund manager will sell aggressive when a particular industry, stock near term future seems gloomy.
h) Many fund managers are getting their fee based on new unit issued/listing, instead of receiving in cash. If they are not doing a good job to maintain DPU, in directly they are paid lesser, as their unit worth become less.
While it free up reit cashflow and a little bit extra DPU for shrareholders.
Quite a norm practice in reit across be it Mreit or Sgreit.