QUOTE(yok70 @ Aug 6 2015, 08:28 PM)
Thanks for feedback.
I'm still not too comfortable while facing rate hike market sentiment risk. Our M-REITs are trading at rather moderate yield despite currency disaster. Considering Axreit, Sunreit, Pavreit and IGBreit, their net yield are ranging from 4.7%-5.3%, where the troublesome sg wang makes cmmt a little higher at 5.6%. Ringgit had felt 24% yoy, which had not priced into the yield. I am not sure what is current weight on foreign investors in M-REIT, especially Singapore investors. It used to be quite a bit for Sunreit and cmmt. If they pull out because of low return (aka depressing ringgit + moderate but not high net yield), could depress the share price.
Currently I owned a bit of cmmt and Axreit. Not dare to hold too much, only about 3% of my portfolio.
With RM depreciation, property price will be looked more cheaper in term of newer foreign investor pov.
Once stock price of reit dropped down to higher yield range (like more than 6~7%), it actually look attractive for foreign investors.
Reit will become not attractive if USD carry yield more than 2-3%, which the chance is remote.
US rate hike won't go more than 1% range considered inflation is beneath due to commodities price slump and inflation figure staying low.
If US rate hike more than 2-3%, it just suggests that inflation start to become an issue, by then it just means commodities price going up already.
Commodities price going up, it just means property price may go up as well.
Property price up, reit valuation up.
There is always got positive and negative factor that falling in between. Not totally one sided.
With currency depreciation, hard asset is always preferred, and reit is one of kind of hard asset, the more important for reit is their portfolio has good premium property that always high in demand.