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 ringgit Malaysia drop , how to I change my RM to USD

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AVFAN
post Aug 20 2015, 03:53 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Aug 20 2015, 03:48 PM)
PM Najib says Malaysia will not impose capital control, peg RM to US dollar
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yr 4.14 may come today.

now 4.129.
AVFAN
post Aug 20 2015, 05:56 PM

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QUOTE(Zanmai0146 @ Aug 20 2015, 05:19 PM)
When I saw the "Razak" the reply automatically come up. I don't know why laugh.gif
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that's called TRUST DEFICIT.
AVFAN
post Aug 20 2015, 06:44 PM

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crude will crash below 40.

usa, eu and china markets will continue to slip or dive.

bnm fx reserves will be ugly tmrw.

excess oil, excess commodities all over the globe, even excess milk in new zealand.

politicians can talk until the cows come home.

the rest, u can figure it out.
AVFAN
post Aug 20 2015, 07:15 PM

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QUOTE(T231H @ Aug 20 2015, 06:55 PM)
just saw this....
Kazakhstan's currency just lost a quarter of its value
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1/4 is mild. rm's -16% is really not bad but maybe worse coming.

check brazilian, turkish, russian, nigerian, venzuelan currencies.

some countries driven to recession already.

the result of being commodities dependent.

here, we also depend on banglas. tongue.gif

...

this is something, better not discount it...

QUOTE
The main reasons the minutes were viewed as putting off the date of a rate rise are the wish of several committee members to see more signs of pressure on inflation, and also the concerns expressed about further risks from abroad.

And this Fed meeting took place before the yuan devaluation rocked world markets in August. A line from the report stating: "several participants noted that a material slow-down in Chinese economic activity could pose risks to the U.S. economic outlook" caused particular consternation.

Yet the minutes did not, in fact "present a new, more dovish, posture" according to analysts at Citi, as they showed that the committee is still concerned about maintaining the current ultra-low interest rates for much longer. As a result, the analysts now expects even those spooked Wednesday to come back soon to expectations of a September move.

"Most importantly, the July FOMC discussion highlighted the potential difficulties in identifying and managing the emergence of new risks resulting from prolonged low rates," they wrote in a research note Thursday.
http://www.cnbc.com/2015/08/20/the-fed-mig...ember-citi.html


This post has been edited by AVFAN: Aug 20 2015, 07:18 PM
AVFAN
post Aug 20 2015, 10:39 PM

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QUOTE(yklooi @ Aug 20 2015, 10:31 PM)
hmm.gif is china manufacturing driven...?? HK % S'pore...financial hubs? kena also?
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the discussion is about currency, not economy or stock markets.

china imports and consumes loads of commodities from malaysia, australia, etc.

when they can't sell ther manufactured goods, they reduce buying, so commodity exporting countries suffer.

china, hk, sg problems are quite different...
AVFAN
post Aug 20 2015, 10:53 PM

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QUOTE(yklooi @ Aug 20 2015, 10:46 PM)
rclxms.gif yes...quite different...but are inter twined...guess 1 factor fall all related...different or not....but that is another thread lor.
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the commodity exporting countries which are mostly emerging markets are the worst hit.

because the currencies have gone so bad, people can't buy much or some essentials becoming scarce.

russia in recession, venezuela seeing riots. a few others incl nigeria and algeria are at "boiling point".
AVFAN
post Aug 20 2015, 11:02 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Aug 20 2015, 10:57 PM)
U think BNM can hold on to USD90 bil mark?  hmm.gif
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i think not. we'll see tmrw.
AVFAN
post Aug 21 2015, 08:56 AM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Aug 21 2015, 06:45 AM)
10 Currencies That May Follow Tenge in Tumble Triggered by China
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...ggered-by-china

MYR in the list...  sweat.gif
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4.20 on the cards today.
AVFAN
post Aug 21 2015, 01:15 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Aug 21 2015, 12:57 PM)
1.00 USD  = 4.16 MYR  yawn.gif  brows.gif
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4.18.

rm lost >1% today, asian peers mostly <0.5%.

likely bnm fx reserves data later today will be ugly.
AVFAN
post Aug 21 2015, 01:21 PM

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QUOTE(pustapazik @ Aug 21 2015, 01:18 PM)
Very soon I guess 😁✌

Highest so far
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that was only 4 months ago and everyone thought 3.7x was too much. biggrin.gif

no doubt u will get there, maybe today.

AVFAN
post Aug 21 2015, 01:32 PM

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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Aug 21 2015, 01:22 PM)
I am quite immune to the drop already. Like it is natural  sweat.gif

Even drop to 4.5 now is like nothing to me. Like "of course it would....why so surprised ?" kind of reaction  tongue.gif
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.. crude going below 40 very soon
.. gas prices following suit with a 6-month lag
.. cpo not much better
.. mgs yield now knocking at 4.3x%.
.. same same gomen spending
.. same same politicians doing same same dance

4.5 may be too generous. tongue.gif
AVFAN
post Aug 21 2015, 06:46 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Aug 21 2015, 06:05 PM)
The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) fell further to RM356.4 billion (US$94.5 billion) as at Aug 14, 2015 from RM364.7 billion (US$96.7 billion) as at July 31, 2015.
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better than i expected.

does look like bnm stopped intervening.

will see how the market will take it.
AVFAN
post Aug 21 2015, 06:55 PM

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QUOTE(CKKwan @ Aug 21 2015, 06:50 PM)
So, 4.5 may not reachable, as we are generously subsidizing our RM now.
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more like some petrol tax to fund the budget deficit and all the "u-know-what" goodies.

i will not be surprised if some petrol or fuel tax will emerge in 2016 budget.

AVFAN
post Aug 21 2015, 07:32 PM

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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Aug 21 2015, 07:17 PM)
crude oil price is down now. When it rises back to $90-100 level, at 4.5 exchange rate, I am guessing Ron95 will be close to RM3/l. If the administration cannot afford to bring back subsidy, then high inflation can occur. Just hope that by that time, petronas can give more dividend to subsidize the retail petrol
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i doubt petrol subsidy will ever come back.
with so many holes, u can make a guess where any "extra" will go first. biggrin.gif

QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Aug 21 2015, 07:21 PM)
Retail diesel is 1.95. Industrial diesel now can get around 1.55. We are already paying "petrol tax" quietly
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"complain not, you have been paying fuel tax, now it's official, ok?!" tongue.gif
AVFAN
post Aug 21 2015, 08:45 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Aug 21 2015, 07:43 PM)
In order to attract FDI to M'sia, our exchange rate must b attractive
At wat Level of USD/MYR (now 4.1815) will entice tis group of Investors?
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not so much about 4.0 or 4.5... foreign investors will only put the money if they see rm strengthening, not weakening.

imagine you buy a prop at rm1 mil at 4.0, then it appreciates to 1.1mil but ex rate is 4.5, u lose!

at this time, there are no signs or major reasons pointing to strengthening besides hot air from politicians.

when they stop yaking and do some real work, the change will come.

QUOTE(CKKwan @ Aug 21 2015, 08:29 PM)
Crude oil is a commodity that everyone will grab. If really no market, then should sell to us even cheaper price.
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visit venezuela. you can get black market crude for $10 a barrel, people desperate for $ cash.

oil is no different from any commodity. too much supply, not enough demand, it is just lying there, low price.
AVFAN
post Aug 21 2015, 09:31 PM

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currency wars...

china, followed by vietnam and kazakhstan.

next, possibly south africa, turkey, south korea whose currencies already badly hurt.
http://www.cnbc.com/2015/08/21/currency-wa...he-trigger.html

nobody thinks msia will devalue?
AVFAN
post Aug 21 2015, 09:49 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Aug 21 2015, 09:42 PM)
In fact, FDI will come in when MYR depreciate further
Imagine if US MNC were to invest USD5 mil in M'sia, it's worth MYR21 mil (@ 4.20) -v- MYR20 mil (@ 4.00)
The xtra sum of MYR1 mil is very handy coz it can finance opex/capex
If more n more US MNC q up to come in, M'sia will have a lot of USD
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i really don't know how these mnc's think when it comes to long term mfg investment.

i only notice some that i had biz with a few years ago quit for thailand and vietnam - no reason to do it here with imported foreign workers, might as well do it in that country.
AVFAN
post Aug 21 2015, 09:51 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Aug 21 2015, 09:42 PM)
From Rm3.5 to RM4.16, already devalued... you still ask for more?  sweat.gif
RM drop has been more than other people already, in other word, RM has been devalued already.

China, Vietnam currency trade band is controlled tightly by their central bank, their movement is not allowed to go beyond the range until it is allowed, so devalue or not is in the hand of their central bank, aka they are more and less being pegged one.
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was just wondering only... biggrin.gif

since rm lost <20% while some peers lost >30%.

u see no possibility our gomen/bnm thinks 4.16 is too strong need some devaluation to be more competitive?
AVFAN
post Aug 21 2015, 09:59 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Aug 21 2015, 09:50 PM)
One goods news (considered "good") is BNM foreign currency reserves just dropped USD2.2 bil, and stood at USD94 bil,
the pace of reserves shrinking is slowing down as compared few weeks ago, despite stock and bond market flee by foreign investors.
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yes, that was better than i had thought.

now holding at 4.17.

despite mgs 10 yr yield closing at 4.33% today:
http://www.bnm.gov.my/index.php?tpl=govtsecuritiesyield
AVFAN
post Aug 22 2015, 01:36 AM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Aug 21 2015, 11:00 PM)
One of the best theory for low oil price was to weaken ISIS activities
Does tis theory hold water or just an illusion?  hmm.gif
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i doubt it, too hard to engineer.

same bull as 911 was self engineered.

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Aug 22 2015, 01:53 AM

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